Annex A. Apprenticeships and the Scottish labour market

Digitalisation, automation, ageing populations, the transition to a low-carbon economy and the COVID-19 pandemic are having a major impact on the labour market skills needed across OECD countries, and therefore also on the role of apprenticeships and the skills that need to be formed through apprenticeships (OECD, 2020[1]).

Like other OECD countries, Scotland (United Kingdom) has experienced changing demand for skills in recent decades. For example, the share of high-skilled jobs increased by 9.3 percentage points between 2005 and 2020 (Rogers and Richmond, 2015[2]; Scottish Government, 2021[3]) (Figure A A.1). This is in line with OECD trends, where the relative importance of high-skilled employment increased in recent decades (OECD, 2017[4]). According to Oxford Economics (2021[5])), employment in high-skilled occupations accounted for almost half of Scotland’s total employment (48%) in 2021 and this share is projected to remain stable in the next decade. Nearly all sectors of industry have a serious shortage of skills at these higher levels (Thomas and Gunson, 2017[6]). At the same time, 46% of jobs in Scotland – or 1.2 million – are at high risk of automation up to 2030 and beyond (Thomas and Gunson, 2017[6]). Evidence from OECD countries shows that the jobs at highest risk of automation are routine jobs with low skill requirements and often low wages, while the lowest risk applies to a broader range of jobs from professionals to social workers (OECD, 2018[7]).

Just as automation and digitalisation can lead to both job creation and losses, the green transition will also contribute to job growth in some sectors and occupations, and losses in others. Oil and gas, cattle farming, and aviation could lose jobs due to measures to reduce carbon emissions. Other sectors, such as those concentrating on renewable energy, including insulation measures, wind and solar power, will grow. Sectors involving responses to climate change, such as flood and water management, will also develop quickly. Scotland has legislated to address climate change by committing to becoming carbon net-zero by 2045 (Scottish government, n.d.[9]). The transition to a low carbon economy is expected to create jobs in major sectors like the building and energy sector – with the right policies and funding in place (Figure A A.2) All of these changes will create a further need for reskilling and upskilling.

At the same time, an ageing population is changing the demographic mix of the workforce in Scotland (Figure A A.3, Panel A). This will increase the need for upskilling and reskilling and will also change skill needs in the labour market related to changing consumption patterns – a trend that is widely shared across OECD countries (OECD, 2017[11]). Brexit could also have an impact on the population through changes in migration – Scotland has so far relied on a rising migrant population and workforce (Figure A A.3, Panel B and C). A recent estimate expects migration to be lower than 2019-20 levels (Scottish Fiscal Commission, 2021[12]).

The Scottish labour market was performing well prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. In 2019, it recorded a historically low unemployment rate of 3.6% of the working-age population (16-64 year-olds). Scotland’s unemployment rate is significantly lower than the OECD average yet shows a similar trend as in other OECD countries (Figure A A.4). However, the pandemic inflicted a sudden and massive shock. Nearly three-quarters of jobs in Scotland, or 30% of the eligible workforce, had been furloughed with government support, according to July 2020 figures. The unemployment rate (aged 16+) for May-July 2021 was 4.3%, having peaked at 4.9% a year before (ONS, 2021[14]).

Likewise, Scotland has a relatively high employment rate. It reached 75% of the working-age population in 2020, compared to 69% on average across OECD countries. However, a substantial share of workers are not in full-time employment. Part-time employment in Scotland (26%) is relatively high compared to other OECD countries, and as in most OECD countries, is also increasing (Figure A A.5). The number of part-time workers increased from 614 900 in the first quarter of 2005 to 714 000 in the first quarter of 2020 (Scottish Government, 2021[17]).

While Scotland is doing well in terms of employment, its labour productivity is relatively low, which implies the need to boost skills and training (OECD, 2017[19]; OECD, 2004[20]). Gross value added (GVA) per worker in the United Kingdom (USD 86 139 in 2018) is lower than leading apprenticeship countries such as Austria (102 554), Denmark (101 951), Germany (92 391), the Netherlands (96 008) in 2019 and Switzerland (104 190) in 2016 (Figure A A.6)

As described above, several global trends such as the digital and green transition are changing skills needs in Scotland, and this has implications for the role that apprenticeships can play and their content.

Demand for higher-level skills, soft skills and basic skills will increase

As high-skilled employment is growing, higher-level vocational programmes are increasingly in demand (OECD, 2022[21]). Multiple factors are driving the demand for higher-level technical skills, at Scottish Credit and Qualifications Framework (SCQF) Level 7/ International Standard Classification of Education (ISCED) Level 4) and above, as opposed to traditional trades and crafts which are more often at upper secondary level (SCQF 5-6 or ISCED 3; see Table A A.1 for details of the ISCED and SCQF educational levels). Some expanding sectors, such as healthcare, make extensive use of skills at higher technical levels. In some contexts, higher-level vocational programmes are also a vehicle for skilled workers to increase their specialisation, or to acquire broader skills in management or running a small business.

One effect of digitalisation, automation and computerisation is to increase the relative importance of skills that are difficult to computerise – notably social and emotional skills – also called “21st century”, or “interpersonal” skills. Scotland uses the terminology of “meta-skills” which are closely akin to these categories, although not identical. Scotland is now addressing meta-skills systematically (Skills Development Scotland and Centre for Workbased Learning, 2018[22]). While these skills have always been important, they are becoming one of the unique selling points of human workers, since the associated tasks cannot readily be undertaken by machines. A UK study shows the growing importance of interpersonal skills, relative to physical and analytical skills (Adecco, 2017[23]). Meta-skills are challenging to identify and measure, but progress is being made on this front (Kankaras, 2019[24]).

Dynamic modern economies, and ambitious young people, now need and expect initial vocational training to provide pathways to further learning, and not merely the skills for a first or specific job. In Scotland, for example, the avenue from Modern Apprenticeship to higher education, including Graduate Apprenticeship, is a vital pathway. Such pathways depend heavily on the acquisition of foundation competences that will allow individuals to thrive in new learning contexts. These foundation competences include numeracy, literacy and, increasingly, digital competences, as well as traits such as adaptability and willingness to learn new skills. However, young people in Scotland score relatively poorly in foundation competences. In the 2018 Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA), Scotland’s mean score for reading among 15-year-old students is at a similar level to England (United Kingdom), and below the top five performing countries. For mathematics, Scotland is below England and 17 other countries, and for science below England and 12 other countries (Scottish Government, 2019[25]). Therefore, efforts may be needed to motivate young people and boost their foundation skills, to encourage and enable them to take up an apprenticeship opportunity. Moreover, apprenticeship programmes may need to include remedial activities if learners are to be able to move on to other forms of further or higher education later on if they aspire to do so. Strengthening off-the-job learning and expanding Foundation Apprenticeships can help with this.

Employer support for training is on the decline

An important labour market trend that could have an impact on apprenticeship participation (and training participation more broadly) is the decline in employer support for training. Over the past 15 years, the share of individuals who received job-related training in Scotland fell from 12% in 2005 to 9% in 2020. For employed individuals the share fell from 16% to 12%. Those with lower qualifications receive significantly less training (Figure A A.7).

In particular, part-time workers have seen a larger fall in training, although their participation levels have been going up again since 2018. This requires attention because of Scotland’s large number of part-time workers (see above). Other factors, such as growth in platform work and zero-hours contracts, mean that a growing number of workers lack an employer with a long-term interest in their skills development. Data from OECD countries show that workers in such non-standard forms of employment participate less in job-related training than those in more standard jobs (Figure A A.8). As zero-hours contracts are concentrated among the low skilled in the United Kingdom (OECD, 2017[26]), this represents a double challenge to increasing participation in training.

Changing skill needs and the decline in the availability of employer support for training mean the apprenticeship system will have to adapt, but it also has a key role in tackling these challenges. A changing labour market highlights the importance of apprenticeships, as they have the ability to develop the skills that employers are looking for, smooth the transition into the world of work for young people, and provide adults with lifelong learning opportunities (OECD, 2018[28]).

Vocational education and training (VET) involves programmes, including apprenticeships, designed to give learners the knowledge, skills and competences specific to a particular occupation, trade, or class of occupations or trades. The evidence suggest that they offer a good path into employment. As Figure A A.9 shows, young people (aged 15-34) in Scotland who completed upper secondary VET have better employment outcomes (87%) than their counterparts from general education programmes who did not continue to tertiary education (76%) and are even comparable to tertiary graduates (88%). Leading apprenticeship countries, including Austria, Denmark, Germany, the Netherlands, Norway and Switzerland have even better outcomes; VET systems in all these countries have strong work-based learning and industry connections.

Apprenticeships depend heavily on work-based learning, which is a particularly effective means of developing both hard skills using the latest industry tools and techniques, and interpersonal skills such as teamwork and negotiation, all in a real-word environment, under the guidance of an experienced practitioner. Evidence from European countries shows that young adults with vocational qualification who gained work experience during their studies have higher employment rates than those who did not gain such experience (OECD, 2020[31]). Indeed, leading apprenticeship countries with strong work-based learning elements show lower levels of young people who are neither employed nor in education or training (NEET) (Figure A A.10) and higher levels of employment than most other OECD countries.

Most countries spend substantially more on tertiary education institutions than on those providing upper secondary VET, despite their comparable employment outcomes for young adults in many countries. Although no separate data for Scotland are available, the United Kingdom stands out as having one of the greatest spending disparities between its VET and tertiary education systems. In 2018, the United Kingdom had the second largest gap between spending per student in upper secondary VET and tertiary education (after Luxembourg) among OECD countries with available data (Figure A A.11). Similarly, the United Kingdom has high spending on tertiary education relative to gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, while its spending on VET was only average (OECD, 2020[31]). While these figures only cover part of a country’s total expenditure on VET, and employment rates are not the only relevant outcome measure, these data highlight the strong returns on investment that VET can have.

Apprenticeships are also beneficial for employers. They can often reduce recruitment and turnover costs and expand recruitment choices. Often, firms recoup all or most of their costs during the apprenticeship period although the benefits depend on the hours apprentices spend at work, the type of work involved, and the productivity level of each apprentice (Lerman, 2019[33]). In 2016, Switzerland estimated that Swiss companies involved in VET programmes enjoyed an average net benefit of CHF 3 170 per apprentice per year. These companies gained an additional benefit of about CHF 10 700 on average per apprentice if they hired the trained apprentice after completing the apprenticeship (SEFRI, 2019[34]). In addition, the high level of occupational mastery achieved by apprentices may also increase the pace of innovation and the ease of implementing new technologies (Lerman, 2019[33]).

Apprenticeships offer social benefits as well. By providing an alternative to general education or school-based vocational programmes, apprenticeships can be particularly attractive to those with limited interest in academic teaching and learning and/or in developing skills in a traditional classroom setting or have weaker academic skills. For instance, collaborative, experiential and contextualised learning is often used to teach vocational skills, and this may better suit certain students (OECD, 2021[35]) Moreover, by providing employment opportunities for migrants, VET is an essential integration tool: in Germany, migrants are more likely to continue working in the same firm where they did their apprenticeship than their native peers (Jeon, 2019[36]). Scotland also uses apprenticeships as an effective tool to support inclusion and pathways for all, particularly students from disadvantaged backgrounds. For example, almost 70% of Modern Apprenticeship starts are from the three lowest quintiles of the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) and the same holds for about 50% of Graduate Apprenticeship starts (Figure A A.12) (see below for a discussion on the difference between the different types of apprenticeship in Scotland).

There are three forms of apprenticeships in Scotland, constituting the “apprenticeship family”: Modern Apprenticeships (MAs), Foundation Apprenticeships (FAs) and Graduate Apprenticeships (GAs).

Modern Apprenticeships

Modern Apprenticeships are the “typical” apprenticeship in Scotland: industry-designed programmes which support employees to acquire certificated competences required to deliver their job role through work-based learning and/or off-the-job training (Kuczera, 2013[38]). MAs, introduced in 1994, extend across SCQF Levels 5-11 (ISCED 3-7). They are predominantly provided at levels 5 to 7, but also exist on levels 8/9 (referred to as technical apprenticeships) and 10+ (referred to as professional apprenticeships). They have a much wider range than many international comparators, where apprenticeships are usually found primarily at ISCED Level 3. The field of construction accounts for 23% in 2019/20 (27% in 2020/21) of MA starts, followed by sport, health and social care (20%), reflecting policy priorities, employer demand and contribution rates (Figure A A.13). Off-the-job training and assessments are delivered by learning providers contracted by Skills Development Scotland (SDS). MAs for those aged 16-24 are given priority for funding. Learning providers receive lower funding contributions for older apprentices, leaving employers to make up the shortfall. Despite this priority given to youth, the proportion of modern apprentices aged over 24 has increased from just 21% of starts in 2013/14 to 39% in 2019/20. In the same year, 22% of starts were for those aged 20-24 and 39% for those aged 16-19 (SDS, 2020[39]). These changes may also reflect the demographic changes in Scotland noted in the previous section (Figure A A.3). MAs have grown in recent years, at least until the arrival of COVID-19 (see Chapter 1). Most of the headline indicators for MAs are positive (Table A A.2).

Foundation Apprenticeships

Foundation Apprenticeships were introduced in 2014. They are a work-based option for students entering the senior phase of secondary school, primarily 16-17-year-olds. They are usually taken over two years, with the work placement usually undertaken in the second year. Typically, FAs involve students going to a workplace one whole day or a couple of afternoons a week for a programme delivered through a three-way partnership between the “home” school where the student is enrolled, employers, and a learning provider that delivers the off-the-job element of the programme. FAs lead to a SCQF Level 6 (ISCED 3) qualification, and are delivered alongside traditional school qualifications, such as Highers and Nationals, at the same level. During 2016-20, 9 550 FA places were taken up at SCQF Level 6 (Figure A A.14). FAs at SQCF Level 6 cover 12 frameworks (related to occupations; see below), with 30% of starts in the field of social service children and youth, followed by social services & healthcare (Figure A A.15).

In 2018, a pilot of work-based learning (WBL) at SCQF Level 4 and 5 was launched and became part of the FA initiative in 2020 (SDS, 2020[47]). These also aim to embed WBL into the senior phase of secondary school to offer an alternative to classroom-based learning, allowing employers to make a structured contribution to school learning through project-based learning with the employer. They are intended to offer a pathway to other work-based learning opportunities, including FAs at SCQF Level 6, and Modern and Graduate Apprenticeships (see Figure A A.14). The scheme is currently still in the pilot phase, and in 2020, 1 265 students pursued programmes in construction, hospitality, and automotive sectors in selected schools across Scotland (SDS, 2021[48]). The Level 4 and 5 pilots were evaluated during 2021 (SDS, 2021[48]) – initial evaluation shows that it has been successful in improving employability skills and work-readiness, as well as successfully developing the meta-skills of self-awareness, and social and innovation skills (Field, 2020[49]).

Graduate Apprenticeships

Scotland launched its tertiary level Graduate Apprenticeships in 2017/18. They are undertaken in co-operation with most universities in partnership with employers, and lead to a university degree. The programmes range from SCQF Level 8 to 11, but the overwhelming majority of students are at Levels 10 and 11. Students spend most of their four-year programmes with their employer, with different release schedules for education at the university. More than half of the higher education institutions in Scotland are already involved in the programmes. The programme has grown rapidly, so that in the third year of delivery in 2019/20 there were 1 160 starts on the programme (SDS, 2021[37]), with almost 1 400 funded full-time equivalent places being made available in 2021/22 (SFC, 2021[50]).

GAs have expanded rapidly to offer programmes in 13 different fields, mostly in technical fields including engineering, cybersecurity, and information technology, but also in accounting and business management (which appeared particularly attractive to older students). In 2019/20, 506 employers were engaged in the programme, up from 141 in 2017/18 and 346 in 2018/19 (SDS, 2021[37]). Of the GA students starting in 2018/19 two-thirds were male; half were over 24, and nearly 28% over 34. Just over 10% were allowed to enter the second or third year of the programme directly, in recognition of prior learning (SDS, 2021[37]).

Apprenticeship numbers have increased significantly in Scotland in recent years, except for the period of the COVID-19 pandemic. Between 2013/14 and 2019/20, MA and GA starts increased by 10% (see Chapter 1). Despite this recent growth, aided by a strong improvement strategy and the development of new types of apprenticeships, apprenticeships remain a small part of the overall skills system. Only about 6% of 16–19-year-olds were in apprenticeships between 2016 and 2020. Compared to leading apprenticeship countries such as in Austria, Germany and Switzerland, the number of apprenticeships is small in Scotland – for example, Switzerland has three times as many apprentices relative to its total workforce as Scotland (Figure A A.16). In contrast, Scotland has a large share of tertiary-educated 25-34-year-olds compared to most OECD countries. Although some of these tertiary-educated adults in Scotland will have completed a vocationally oriented tertiary programme like a GA, the numbers are still relatively small (see above).

Due to the pandemic, overall MA and GA starts were 33% lower in 2020/21 than the year before. An employer survey1 found that 38% of employers in Scotland had to make apprentices redundant in 2020 (Open University, 2020[51]). During 2020/21, 936 Modern Apprentices were made redundant, up 538 from the year before. Of those, 342 MAs continued their apprenticeship with a different employer, and there were 285 approved applications to the Adopt an Apprentice programme enabling former MAs to complete their training (SDS, 2021[52]). In 2021, 55% of employers in Scotland reported they found it more difficult to recruit new hires, including apprentices, in the past six months than in the same period last year, with nearly two-thirds (63%) of Scottish businesses reporting a skills shortage and 59% having struggled due to the skills shortage (Open University, 2021). In light of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on different aspects of the economy, education and society, and young people being disproportionally affected, SDS has launched a national campaign encouraging employers to retain and recruit apprentices. The campaign aims to demonstrate that apprenticeships are a proven way for employers to develop talent and gain real business benefits and can be part of the solution to provide employers with the skills they need to adapt, sustain and strengthen their business (Scottish Government, 2020[53]).

Standards and frameworks

The Scottish apprenticeship systems is underpinned by Standards and Frameworks.

  • An apprenticeship standard is “an industry agreed set of knowledge, skills and behaviours identified as being necessary to the achievement of a given SCQF Level of education and professional competence and capable of being consistently assessed over time”.

  • A framework is “a structure that provides employers, employees and learning providers with guidance on the features and mandatory and optional components (e.g., qualification (s), design, recruitment, delivery, assessment, QA and experience) associated with a Scottish Apprenticeship within a given area of occupation and level. A framework will provide guidance on the expectations for procurement, delivery, awarding and review.”

In 2019, SDS in conjunction with SAAB, developed a new approach to Apprenticeship development, intended to ensure that it was employer led and owned with direct engagement from all parts of industry. This direct engagement has been achieved using technical expert groups (TEGs) that include a variety of employers, trade unions, apprentices, and representatives of wider society.

The new development approach allows the requirements of a job to be better understood by gathering information from employees on the skills, knowledge, and behaviours an individual needs in a role across the layers of meta, generic, specific, and local skills. This information is then reviewed and updated via a series of TEGs with a wider membership. SDS will continue to utilise Technical Expert Groups as the means of developing apprenticeship frameworks that reflect the needs of the labour market and to develop NOS as the underpinning standards.

Standards created in this way will allow the creation of clear pathways across different job functions and for current apprenticeships to be clustered into broad occupational groups that link to work based learning pathways from schools. What remains to be decided is the extent to which the new standards will appear in the form of a qualification regulated and supported by SQA and/or other qualification bodies, or as a free-standing standard.

Quality assurance and evaluation mechanisms

Four major stakeholders are involved in the quality assurance of apprenticeships: awarding bodies, SDS, SQA (as the accreditation body), Education Scotland and the Quality Assurance Agency (for GAs). Training providers must be approved by an awarding body to be eligible to contract with SDS for apprenticeships. SDS regularly undertakes monitoring through quality reviews of a sample of providers, employers and apprentices. It pays apprenticeship contribution instalments to training providers based on agreed milestones and the achievement of certificates. To support this process, SDS also offers providers continuing professional development on quality provision and assessment. The Apprenticeship Quality Assurance and Improvement Framework developed by SDS is based on a number of quality frameworks including the European Foundation for Quality Management and encompasses delivery, leadership, culture, outcomes and impact as well as employer involvement, innovation, diversity and equality aspects (SDS, 2021[62]). SQA (as the accreditation body) ensures the quality of qualification delivery by regulating approved awarding bodies and their accredited qualifications. Education Scotland also carries out independent reviews of Mas (off-the-job training) and FAs in major sectors. All these reviews and quality assurance mechanisms are aligned and complement each other, as are the results of the review.

Evaluations and pilots are widely used to enhance the performance of apprenticeships in Scotland. Regular statistics are published on apprenticeships, and there are surveys of employers and apprentices to explore their experience of the apprenticeship system and its outcomes, including labour market outcomes. While this is commendable, most of the evaluations appear to be directly undertaken in one way or another by SDS, which is also directly responsible for the initiatives (Field, 2020[49]). The latest audit by Audit Scotland was on MAs in 2012/13 (Audit Scotland, 2014[63]) and its recommendations have been implemented (Audit Scotland, 2018[64]). The framework for evaluating apprenticeships in Scotland has made much progress, as highlighted in Chapter 3 (see Box 3.9).

Governance, stakeholders and financing

Apprenticeship systems are run by multiple stakeholders with a shared responsibility for the development and management of the system. Such shared responsibility is critical to ensuring a dynamic apprenticeship system which serves the needs of the labour market and learners. The legislative framework that governs an apprenticeship system usually stipulates how the relevant stakeholders co-operate and divide their roles and responsibilities, but how they work in practice varies from country to country. As in many other countries, multiple stakeholders with a shared responsibility are involved in the apprenticeship system in Scotland (Table A A.3), but their roles and responsibilities are not defined in a legal framework. In Scotland, the supporting policy framework for apprenticeships is the Scottish Government’s youth employment strategy started in 2014, Developing Scotland's Young Workforce (Commission for Developing Scotland's Young Workforce, 2014[65]; Cedefop, 2019[41]).

The financing of apprenticeships mirrors the governance arrangements. In Scotland, it is based on a co-financing model between employers and the government. Employers are supposed to cover the cost of in-company training, including the costs of supervision, equipment and apprentice wages. Apprenticeship wages are determined by the employer but must meet the UK-wide Apprenticeship National Minimum Wage (ANMW) and employers are encouraged to pay the living wage in accordance with Scotland’s Fair Work policy and the UK National Minimum and Living Wage. All Modern and Graduate Apprentices must be legally employed in relation to Scottish employment law and the rights and responsibilities are the same as for any other employees and employers in Scotland. Foundation Apprenticeships are considered a form of schooling so Foundation Apprentices are not employed and do not get a wage as they are still in school.

On the government side, SDS pays a contribution towards Modern Apprenticeships, while Graduate Apprenticeships and Foundation Apprenticeships that have college delivery are fully funded by the SFC. SDS contracts with about 225 learning providers, who may subcontract some of the training to other providers. Of these 225, about 70% are independent training providers, 22% are employers and 8% are further education (FE) colleges (SDS, 2019[70]). The Scottish Government’s letter of guidance to the SFC, the Programme for Government, and Spending Reviews set important context and will be looking for the right balance between flexibility and accountability for the significant investment of public funds as well as for value for money (SFC, 2020[71]).

Apprenticeships should be designed and delivered in line with skills needs and skills policies. Scotland has already undertaken several measures to strengthen the fundamentals of its apprenticeship system. Table A A.4 lists apprenticeship programmes and their financing and Table A A.5 lists the major skills policy and other relevant policies that have aimed to make apprenticeships more relevant and stronger. In addition, Scotland’s labour market strategy (developed well before the COVID-19 crisis) identifies in-work poverty, job quality, inequality of access to labour market opportunities as challenges, proposing to tackle these challenges through fair work and jobs, and investment in skills including apprenticeships (Scottish Government, 2016[72]). Co-ordination with other parts of the education and skills system has been addressed by the Enterprise and Skills Review (Scottish Government, 2017[73]).

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Note

← 1. A survey, commissioned by the Open University, of 1 000 senior business leaders in 2020, of which 200 are in Scotland. It was designed to be 50:50 split between SMEs (10-250 employees) and large enterprises (250+ employees).

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