2. Pulling the pieces together for regional development

Advancing the regional lens, introduced in Chapter 1 to complement and guide national and local action, requires a strategic and co-ordinated regional perspective. Regional development policy calls for a long-term and integrated approach due to the complex interplay and evolving nature of the economic, social and environmental factors that affect regional development outcomes. By adopting a forward-looking approach and integrating activities across policy domains, strategies can be more effectively aligned with the Welsh Government’s ambitions and overarching policy goals, such as the well-being goals set out in the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act 2015. In Wales, the Welsh Government can benefit from charting a course for regional development in collaboration with other regional development actors and unifying the efforts of different parts of the Welsh Government in the chosen direction.

This chapter explores how Wales can “pull the pieces together” for regional development, understanding and expressing long-term needs and ambitions for Welsh regions and working across Welsh Government policy areas to bring about desired change. This chapter discusses the foundations necessary to apply a forward-looking strategic perspective to regional development in Wales. It explores how the Welsh Government can build upon existing groundwork in futures thinking and vision setting to develop a strategic thread for regional development that can guide Welsh Government activities. Finally, it considers how different parts of the Welsh Government can work together in a more integrated way to advance regional development objectives.

A long-term perspective for regional development can help the Welsh Government, local authorities and the Corporate Joint Committees (CJCs) make the most of the regional lens. The Welsh Government already has building blocks in place for setting a long-term regional view, including some inhouse capacity for futures thinking (including foresight and vision setting) and the seeds of a vision from an exercise conducted with the OECD in 2022-23. Legislation, such as the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act and key statements of Government policy aims and objectives such as the Programme for Government, the Regional Economic Frameworks and Framework for Regional Investment in Wales, provides a basis to look ahead towards the medium and long terms. The Welsh Government’s challenge is to continue strengthening its long-term perspective, translating it into a strategic thread that can guide cross-sector coherence and policy action. A strategic thread refers to a set of long-term, integrated regional development objectives distilled from existing sectoral strategies and plans that guide sectoral policies to contribute to regional development. This section presents those building blocks for a long-term perspective – foresight and vision setting – and considers how the Welsh Government can build upon them to strengthen its strategic planning.

Being forward-thinking in regional development starts with a clear idea of what a region’s future may hold and what stakeholders at all levels would like it to hold. The OECD identifies futures thinking and foresight activities as a tool in the strategic planning cycle for governments to develop policies, address complex policy problems, prepare for long-term changes and deal with unexpected developments, shocks and uncertainty (OECD, 2021[1]). The OECD Recommendation of the Council on Regional Development Policy also acknowledges the importance of anticipating change and preparing regions for the future as a step toward building their resilience (OECD, 2023[2]). Setting a vision helps stakeholders understand what futures they would like to work towards. Setting such a vision through a collaborative and participatory process – bringing together experts, stakeholders, government and non-government participants – helps reflect a broader group’s unique perspectives and needs. A shared vision-setting process also generates shared understanding and buy-in to the vision and subsequent objectives and policies, increasing the possibility that objectives are achieved. The Welsh Government has already been engaging in foresight and future-thinking activities, supported by the Sustainable Futures Division that oversees the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act and the vision-setting exercise conducted with the OECD.

A common reflection heard among regional development stakeholders in Wales is the need for a long-term vision (ten or more years) that can help guide strategy and objective setting, priority setting and policy design. Regional development stakeholders and actors from the public, private and third sectors participating in interviews for the 2020 OECD report The Future of Regional Development and Public Investment in Wales and this OECD project consistently identify the lack of a clearly communicated vision for where Wales wants to go as a nation in the regional development space, what it wants to look like as a territory and what it will take to get there as an obstacle to regional development in Wales (OECD, 2020[3]; OECD, 2023[4])

Through an online survey and a series of workshops in 2022-23, the Welsh Government and the OECD began to establish the seeds for a vision for Wales in 2037 (further details in Annex A). The work involved a broad group of representatives from the Welsh Government, local authorities and public, private and third sector stakeholders. Together, these participants began to express how they saw Wales evolving in 15 years and where they would like the nation to arrive – economically, socially and culturally – at the end of that period. The result was the seeds for a vision for development centring on maximising people’s well-being while also ensuring economic growth: a nation with a “stronger economy, green growth, that generates greater wellbeing, has a territory that is attractive to young people, and that is advanced in technology and innovation, while also maintaining its distinctive culture” (Figure 2.1) (OECD, 2023[5]). These elements align strongly with the aspirations that underpin the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act 2015, which focuses on well-being.

Equipped with the seeds of a vision for regional development, the next step would be for the Welsh Government to work together across sectors and with different government levels to further refine the vision and translate it into a regional development strategy, identifying priority areas for growth that are supported by realistic, short-, medium- and long-term actions.

There is an appetite in Wales, and within the Welsh Government, to reinforce futures thinking and foresight activities and to improve their application in regional development policy making. Efforts to do so can build upon existing capacity. The Sustainable Futures Division, which has responsibility for the sustainable development agenda and associated Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act and the statutory Future Trends Report, has led the charge to improve the use of foresight tools across the Welsh Government, most recently piloting the application of foresight exercises on policy projects in several areas of the Welsh Government. Other pockets of Welsh Government staff, like the Strategic Evidence Unit within the Climate Change and Rural Affairs Group, already apply foresight skills in their work (Welsh Government, 2024[6]).

Despite the use of futures foresight practices within the Welsh Government and among other public and third sector organisations, advancing such activities faces organisational and capacity challenges (Welsh Government, 2024[7]). A Welsh Government review of its use of futures thinking and foresight identified a set of barriers that include limited cross-sector working, limited resources, futures literacy gaps and limited “buy-in” by the political level (Welsh Government, 2024[7]). Futures work is extremely valuable for strategy setting and building resilience by helping policy makers prepare for and manage risks and opportunities. However, it is a difficult process, requiring human resources with the necessary skills and time to generate and apply insights from such activities. Simply using foresight tools is insufficient to deliver a long-term vision or strategy and relevant actions for regional development (Welsh Government, 2024[7]).

Moving forward, the Welsh Government could mobilise existing inhouse capacity to build and apply futures thinking practices to regional development throughout the organisation. To do so, it can enlist the help of the current Sustainable Futures Unit and tap into the existing knowledge in the Strategic Evidence Unit in the Climate change and Rural Affairs Group within the government. International experience covering broader areas also provides different models for embedding futures thinking, foresight and vision setting in government practices, which can help drive regional development. As the most advanced example, Finland has institutionalised strategic foresight through departments, committees and government networks with specific mandates and responsibilities related to strategic foresight. Ireland is undertaking a project to develop a model and tools for the whole public administration to build foresight capacity. For its part, New Zealand created a simple instrument – a long-term insights briefing – to encourage line ministries to look at future challenges (Box 2.1).

Ultimately, the Welsh Government can more actively apply its futures thinking, foresight and vision-setting work to regional development, helping it identify and prioritise regional development objectives. By systematically exploring possible future scenarios and their implications, governments can identify long-term objectives and prioritise actions in a way that is adaptive and resilient to change. Governments can make more informed decisions by anticipating emerging trends, challenges and opportunities. A desired future, expressed through a regional development vision developed with stakeholders, provides direction to policy making and is a beacon towards which the government can orient its activities in this area. Building on its existing foundations in place for futures thinking, foresight and vision setting, the Welsh Government can translate these into a single strategic thread for regional development across Welsh Government departments, the focus of the next section.

The OECD 2020 report highlighted the fragmented strategic and policy backdrop for regional development in Wales. It drew attention to the fact that a fragmented policy approach to regional development – one that depends on individual sector policies and their implementation at the regional level – can produce limited results (OECD, 2020[3]). Fragmented policy making has been a recognised problem since the earliest days of devolved government in Wales and it remains a challenge (Wales Centre for Public Policy, 2021[12]). A fragmented and siloed approach to policy making and implementation makes it difficult for governments to define and agree on clear, long-term regional development objectives. In Wales, the challenge is not restricted to regional development policy, however, but spans a range of policy areas, such as poverty (Auditor General for Wales, 2022[13]) and the well-being of young people (Wales Audit Office, 2019[14]). Fragmentation and silos were also identified by the Future Generations Commissioner for Wales as an obstacle to implementing the cross-cutting Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act (Future Generations Commissioner for Wales, 2020[15]).

While a single, integrated (i.e. cross-sector) national-level strategy for regional development is ultimately a political decision, ensuring high-level strategic guidance remains of fundamental importance. The 2020 OECD report noted the significant value of having a single national-level, long-term regional development strategy to guide national and subnational actors in their regional development activities. Such an approach – driven by broad and strong political support – may be ideal to meet regional development objectives in a place like Wales, where there are multiple (generally sector-driven) strategic documents and multiple sectoral policies to support them. While it may be the best option, a single regional development strategy backed by strong political support is not the only way to promote strategic coherence for regional development across the Welsh Government. Even without it, strategic direction can still take shape by assembling relevant high-level objectives in other government strategies. This strategic thread can provide some of the same benefits as a single strategy, helping regional development actors optimise their use of resources, co-ordinate efforts towards objectives and ultimately produce better policy outcomes (OECD, 2020[3]).

Within a fragmented strategic landscape, Welsh Government staff turn to three main sources for strategic guidance for regional development: the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act, the Programme for Government and the Framework for Regional Investment in Wales. None of these, however, aim to provide what a single integrated strategic thread for regional development would contribute: a fixed and apolitical beacon that serves to translate ambitions into action, guiding planning and delivery related to regional development across the Welsh Government.

  • The Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act 2015. This act provides the statutory foundation for all policy action in Wales, including regional development. It aims to help Wales better address critical challenges (e.g. climate change, poverty, health inequalities, jobs and growth) and promote long-term thinking when making policy decisions. It established the legal requirement for 48 public bodies to contribute to the act’s seven well-being goals.1 It also created 13 Public Service Boards that produce well-being plans for their localities, describing how they will comply with the act’s goals, and a national-level Future Generations Commissioner for Wales to support, monitor and review implementation of the act  (Future Generations Commissioner for Wales, 2015, p. Parts 3 and 4[16]; OECD, 2020[3]).

    With well-being goals to guide objective setting throughout the public sector, it is understandable that Welsh Government staff would see the act as a potential source of strategic guidance for regional development (OECD, 2023[4]). As its name highlights, however, the act is a written law, not a strategy. The challenge faced by the act – one recognised by the previous Future Generations Commissioner for Wales (2020[15]) – is how to operationalise its aspirational goals. A strategic framework for regional development can help bridge this gap, translating the aspirations into action.

  • The Programme for Government. In Wales, the Programme for Government sets out the political priorities for a fixed term of government (currently 2021-26). It consists of 115 commitments, falling under 10 overarching well-being objectives2 selected by the Welsh Government to make the greatest contribution to the 7 national well-being goals enshrined in the Well-being of Futures Generation (Wales) Act (Welsh Government, 2021[17]).

    Some Welsh Government staff participating in this project noted that they sometimes turned to the priorities in the Programme for Government as a potential source of strategic direction for regional development, even though its aim is very different. Their comments suggest that Welsh Government staff may be – perhaps unrealistically – expecting what is essentially an expression of a political manifesto to have the characteristics of a strategy (OECD, 2023[4]). For example, when discussing the Welsh Government’s objectives and priorities during OECD interviews, some Welsh Government staff perceived a mismatch between the Programme for Government’s commitments and the resources available for its delivery – including the time of staff and others who would contribute to its realisation, like local authorities.

  • The 2020 Framework for Regional Investment in Wales. Sitting below the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act and the Programme for Government, it is currently the most comprehensive framework document to support regional development in Wales. With its four overarching investment priorities – i) more productive and competitive businesses; ii) reducing economic inequality; iii) transitioning to a zero-carbon economy; iv) ensuring healthier, fairer, more sustainable communities – the Welsh Government has taken a significant step, following consultation with local authorities, other regional development actors and the public, to guide public investment initiatives at the national, regional and local levels. The advantage of the four priorities in the framework is their relevance to most, if not all, sector policies. They are also sufficiently broad to resonate with the objectives of different Welsh Government departments and limit dissonance between higher-level aims and on-the-ground policy design and implementation.

    Conceived as a model for replacement European Union (EU) funds, the framework, while supporting regional development, is not a long-term regional development strategy. First, it explicitly focuses on public investment, which is an important driver of regional development but only part of the regional development picture. Second, the framework does not fully apply the regional lens (Chapter 1). While the framework synthesises national-level sectoral objectives and priorities relevant to regional development (e.g. supporting job creation, workforce upskilling, mobility, research and development, housing, transport), the regional perspective could be strengthened by specifying how nationwide priorities and development needs manifest within regions. The framework and its supporting socio-economic analysis look at national sectoral development needs and data (e.g. it analyses the disruption of trade for business, the need to enhance mobility). It could take the application of the regional lens one step further and consider how sector policies and activities advance both national and regional-level development objectives, taking advantage of synergies between them.

    One good practice is that the Framework for Regional Investment is supplemented by the Regional Economic Frameworks (REFs), which further detail the needs and opportunities of individual regions. However, the REFs are not a substitute for an overall strategic thread for regional development in national-level policy making. In addition, as analysed in the OECD (OECD, 2020[3]) report, there are some shortcomings in developing these REFs (e.g. strict focus on economy and productivity, limited consideration of the links with existing regional plans such as the City and Growth Deals, questions regarding its necessity).

Figure 2.2 shows how these three de facto sources of strategic direction for regional development map onto the OECD hierarchy of strategic framework and planning documents. The hierarchy shows how strategy cascades throughout government activities: first informing policy, which then gives rise to specific (sector or cross-sector) programmes and projects. In Wales, the Well-being for Future Generations (Wales) Act sits above the other levels of the hierarchy, providing an overarching framework for government strategies, policies, programmes and projects. However, there is still a role for regional development strategy – one single strategy or a strategic thread weaving together other sectoral strategies – to connect the high-level act to the Welsh Government’s regional development activities. Regional development strategy in Wales can serve as a tool to operationalise this act. Regardless of changing political priorities, the strategy becomes a long-term and stable beacon. This strategy can guide policies that support regional development. While Wales has no single regional development policy (OECD, 2020[3]), it has many policies that are of great relevance to regional development, such as developing enterprise zones in Wales and transport policies that involve interventions at the regional level. The Programme for Government also feeds into the policy that supports regional development in Wales, linking political priorities with policy objectives. Finally, specific programmes, projects and investments are developed to deliver the policies, such as the operations of specific enterprise zones or projects to construct and upgrade regional transport infrastructure. Clearly defining its own strategic hierarchy, understanding the purpose of each part of the hierarchy and using each as intended form a critical step for the Welsh Government to build the strategic thread for regional development.

In the absence of a more complete and integrated strategy for regional development and because of policy fragmentation, cross-government strategic documents that are relevant to regional development have proliferated across the Welsh Government. In 2022, the OECD identified over 70 Welsh Government strategic documents in force, ranging from general Welsh Government planning documents to those that only focused on a specific region or sector. Many lacked ties to other relevant strategic documents and to the Programme for Government and Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act (Box 2.2). When not co-ordinated in their design and implementation, numerous strategies create complexity and potential for misalignment. At best, it means that the government is not taking full advantage of complementarities among policies, which can affect optimising resources; at worst, it can result in policies working at cross-purposes.

The proliferation of strategic documents – coupled with the lack of a strategic thread for regional development to ensure coherence – makes it difficult to direct financial and human resources to areas of first concern, like the just transition to net zero or opportunities for youth. Without ensuring that a few key strategic priorities for regional development permeate throughout the Welsh Government and frame decision-making governmentwide, the Welsh Government is de facto delegating priority setting for regional development to individual teams. With different parts of the Welsh Government prioritising independently, the result is a proliferation of priorities. Stakeholders perceived that the Welsh Government would benefit from a clearer and cross-government view of regional development priorities, which would help it to make more effective trade-offs in budget and investment-funding allocation (OECD, 2023[4]) and support staff to focus their work on areas of highest priority.

A single strategic thread for regional development – presented in a unified strategic document – can help the different parts of the Welsh Government and different regional development actors work together more effectively. The guidance provided by this strategic thread can help all actors – different government sectors, regional-level institutions, local authorities, institutions of higher and further education, private and third sectors, civil society, etc. – know in which direction their policies and activities should go in order to: support achieving a national or regional vision; help meet large societal goals and manage societal challenges such as climate and demographic change; or even guide fundamental objectives in healthcare, education or social services. Barring an integrated regional development policy for Wales, ensuring that this strategic guidance exists can help coalesce individual sector strategies and policies to build greater coherence and take advantage of complementarities.

Views shared by Welsh Government staff and stakeholders suggest that addressing the issue of fragmentation and silos would help make the Welsh Government more effective. The government is aware of the obstacles that fragmentation and silos represent, and several practical activities could help it begin to overcome these, starting with mapping and streamlining strategies supporting regional development and better defining and focusing on priorities. These activities are discussed in the subsections that follow.

A unified strategic document for regional development can create a “strategic perimeter” that would help policy teams prioritise and help the Welsh Government allocate resources for regional development. Mapping diverse strategies relevant to regional development is the first step to finding a strategic thread that weaves them together.

The mapping can aim to identify overlaps, synergies and trade-offs among strategies. The OECD analysis provides a foundation, having already identified strategic documents for regional development across the Welsh Government. With a birds-eye view of the current strategic landscape for regional development, the Welsh Government can consider how to manage the overlaps, synergies and trade-offs identified during the mapping. It can take inspiration from experience in Piedmont, Italy (Box 2.3) when it considers how to weave the different strategic threads together, creating a unified strategic document to help teams prioritise and help the Welsh Government allocate resources for regional development. Such a document makes explicit the links, synergies and even trade-offs between relevant Welsh Government strategies. Instead of sifting through multiple strategic documents for direction, Welsh Government teams can refer to a single integrated document for regional policy that clearly illustrates the thread from the high-level transversal documents (which set the legislative requirements and express the government’s overarching political priorities) and a vision for regional development.

Where conflicts or overlaps exist, the Welsh Government can also consider streamlining the different strategic threads by encouraging owners of strategies with significant overlap to collaborate on a single shared framework strategy instead of maintaining separate ones. Such a strategy could then be supported with more tailored policies. This streamlining step may also be a good time to ensure that strategies are coherent and consistent with foundational legislation, such as the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act.

Going forward, providing additional structure can keep strategies that have an impact on regional development from proliferating in an uncoordinated way. The Welsh Government could begin to optimise its strategic planning system for regional development by defining different types of documents (i.e. strategies, policies, policy plans, action plans, programmes), when they should be developed, which type should be developed, a development methodology (planning procedure), structures (basic elements to be included in different types of documents) and the hierarchy or relationship among the different types of documents. A well-defined relationship among these strategic documents is particularly important for ensuring that regional development priorities can be established, policies are well-targeted to objectives, plans are coherent and aims are deliverable. Ultimately, this hierarchy can form the basis of guidance for the creation of strategic documents that Welsh Government staff can consult before creating a new strategic document to make sure that documents show good practice – they are the appropriate type of document, they have clear ties to overarching strategic documents and they are actionable.

The strategic thread must extend to the regions themselves. Piedmont created its Unitary Strategy Document for a single region but Wales must consider its four economic/CJC regions. Therefore, creating a unified strategic thread for regional development in Wales entails uncovering overarching goals and relating these to the unique needs and opportunities of each region. Examples from Austria, Germany and Norway (Box 2.4) underscore the importance of working closely with regions to understand and make explicit the connections between umbrella objectives and regional ambitions.

With a unified strategic document for regional development in place, the Welsh Government can shift to policy delivery. Cross-cutting strategic objectives will be almost impossible to achieve without strong co-ordination across policy areas. In Wales, this may include the formation of a dedicated team tasked with overseeing and co-ordinating the delivery of strategic objectives. Co-ordination – and the formation of such a team – are discussed in the next section.

Addressing fragmentation and silos requires not only an agreed-upon vision and a set of common high-level objectives – discussed in the previous section – but also multi-level governance arrangements that ensure the various actors across the administration and at different levels of government advance in unison. This section explores three avenues to promote a more co-ordinated approach for designing and implementing regional development policy in Wales. This includes having a team with a clear mandate to co-ordinate regional development activities, strengthening and diversifying co-ordination mechanisms for regional development and fostering co-ordination and collaboration across teams and departments in the Welsh Government, as well as with other relevant actors, like local authorities. Together, these avenues create an enabling environment for integrated regional development policy making and delivery.

No single entity in the Welsh Government has a clear mandate to co-ordinate strategy, policies or programming relevant to regional development. As highlighted in Chapter 1, the Welsh Government’s Welsh European Funding Office (WEFO) was responsible for overseeing European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) and European Social Fund (ESF) programming and funds management, serving as the fund co-ordinator and also as the implicit regional development co-ordinator. It was not aligned to any sector policy or specific ministerial agenda. With the advent of Brexit, the UK Government’s introduction of the Shared Prosperity Fund (SPF) and the closing of the 2014-20 EU programming period at the end of 2023, this co-ordination structure has dissipated. This leaves Wales without the built-in common, strategic regional development thread and resources that the European funds created across policy areas, as well as the processes that provided rigour to planning, implementation and monitoring and evaluation for regional development. Currently, many regional development activities are conducted by multiple teams (e.g. Economic Policy, Strategy and Regulation, Regional Officers, Operational Delivery, Business and Entrepreneurship, Innovation, Foundational Economy and Industrial Transformation, Borders) in the Economy, Treasury and Constitution (ETC) Group. At the same time, most policy sectors have some regional-level activity associated with their mandate. In addition to national-level line ministries (departments), there are a series of regional-level entities (CJCs, regional skills partnerships, Public Service Boards, etc.) as well as local authorities whose activities affect regional development. However, no single actor is charged with the co-ordination of all these activities. There is also no mechanism to identify and create an overview of sectoral policy interventions in regions. In other words, there is currently a co-ordination gap for regional development.

The absence of a common regional development thread and overall co-ordinator presents two risks: i) unclear roles and responsibilities; and ii) a focus on economic development at the expense of a more integrated approach. First, in the Welsh Government, “who does what” for regional development is not always clear. Stakeholders have noted a lack of clarity in the roles and responsibilities for regional development (OECD, 2023[4]). Furthermore, Welsh Government teams involved in regional development do not have the mandate, incentive or appropriate forum to initiate a systematic discussion about roles and responsibilities for regional development.

The second risk is a predominant focus on economic growth in the regional development policy agenda. On the Welsh Government website, regional development initiatives are largely featured in “Regional and city economies”, as a sub-topic under “Business, economy and innovation”. Most of this web page content focuses on growth zones, the REFs, the City and Growth Deals, enterprise zones and freeports (Welsh Government, 2023[27]). This may simply reflect the emphasis placed by the Welsh Government on a regional development approach focused primarily on economic factors. While a focus on economic development is more than reasonable, attention should be paid to avoid reducing regional development to regional economic development (OECD, 2020[3]). Without a regional development strategy, a unified strategic thread or a designated co-ordinator who could also promote and oversee cross-sector collaboration, regional development will continue to be realised through sector-specific policies, programmes and investments, which risks further compounding fragmentation in the regional development space. In the long run, it could lead to a narrow and/or unclear focus of regional development and the strategies or policies that support it, as well as a suboptimal use of already scarce resources (OECD, 2020[3]).

The present co-ordination gap will need to be addressed to advance regional development more successfully. The ideal approach – and the one highlighted in the 2020 report – is to establish a team with a clear mandate to co-ordinate regional development activities (OECD, 2020[3]). This team may be ideally placed within the Office of the First Minister to boost its sector-neutrality. Doing so may require strong political consensus and could also take some time to set up. Alternatively, in the short term, the Welsh Government could either appoint one team as the regional development co-ordinator or a taskforce consisting of staff across several teams responsible for activities with regional development impact. This regional development co-ordination team, or taskforce, could undertake three main activities in the short and medium terms:

  1. 1. Conduct a comprehensive review on “who does what” and establish a new “norm” for sharing regional development responsibilities. If the Welsh Government wants to reinforce a more vision-oriented, objective-based approach to regional development, a comprehensive review of how regional development is connected among policy areas and teams could be the first step. Such a review could map current roles and responsibilities, potential synergies and the decision-making processes. The government could then use this as a basis to establish a new “norm” regarding the division of responsibility in regional development work, clearly identifying who is expected to do what and the expected outcomes. This includes, for example, how Welsh Government departments can work with regional bodies in areas related to regional development. A precondition for a new norm is agreement at the ministerial level followed by senior civil service leadership with staff. Clarifying roles and responsibilities is particularly critical if the regional development policy objectives intend to address broad and cross-cutting societal issues (e.g. sustainability, demographic change, green energy, enhancing the quality of public services) and cover a wide range of policy areas (e.g. transport, education, health) (Box 2.5). The mapping exercise should be done collaboratively with policy makers in different sectors, including the Future Generations Commissioner to ensure coherence with the Well-being for Future Generations (Wales) Act.

  2. 2. Better define the links among objectives, resources, actors and policy interventions in regional development and evaluate the policy impact. In the Welsh Government, it is currently difficult to get an overview of the scope and financing of initiatives related to regional development or how different initiatives are interrelated, a difficulty also faced by other countries, including Sweden (Box 2.5). For example, in the absence of EU funds, there is no Welsh budget category/expenditure area dedicated to regional development (Welsh Government, 2022[28]). Stronger links between objectives, resources, actors and policy interventions could help the Welsh Government gauge how effective different regional development activities are in advancing policy objectives and assess whether resources allocated to these activities are being optimised. This evidence can support the Welsh Government’s improvement of regional development policy design and implementation.

  3. 3. Actively co-ordinate with sectoral policy makers to ensure the regional perspective in relevant sectoral policies. This team could be responsible for streamlining the regional development issues discussed in different inter-ministerial dialogue platforms and systematically help sectoral policy makers adopt the regional lens when they design strategies and policy interventions that strongly impact the regions (see further analysis in the section below). To this end, it would be important for this team to have regional development data and analyses that can support sectoral policy making. This team can also lead the development of the regional development dashboard, as recommended in Chapter 1.

In the long term, if the Welsh Government develops an integrated regional development strategy, this team could also help ensure the implementation of such a strategy. This means ensuring that priorities are translated from the strategic to the operational level. Such a team can draw inspiration from other initiatives to improve policy delivery across the Welsh Government, such as the recently instituted Office of Project Delivery to help “professionalise” policy and programme delivery, including through functional standards. Such a team could also enhance monitoring and reporting on priority areas, creating and disseminating more integrated, bigger-picture assessments of the success of government policy in regional development priority areas.

In addition to a co-ordination gap in the regional development space, the Welsh Government faces other co-ordination challenges in this domain. Today, despite numerous permanent and ad hoc dialogue platforms5 focusing on diverse aspects of regional development – from investment to economic development to co-operation and partnerships – none are explicitly mandated to co-ordinate and assume responsibility for an overarching regional development agenda. While the meetings and relevant reports generated from these groups are published on line, how the agendas and priorities discussed across these bodies align or complement each other remains unclear. In addition, the outcomes of these discussions are not binding for Wales’s various departments when making decisions with regional-level impact. There is no actor that “connects the dots” among these regional development discussions and debates for the Welsh Government. A more effective use of these platforms and clearer uptake of the discussion results could sharpen the regional lens that the Welsh Government is establishing for regional development policy making and implementation.

The Strategic Forum for Regional Investment in Wales serves as a dialogue platform, in the main to discuss EU replacement funds, and the Welsh Government could consider broadening its scope and boosting its ability to collaborate with more regional development stakeholders. The current terms of reference for the strategic forum describe its purpose as sharing “a strategic overview of regional investment”, including applying the principles of the Framework for Regional Investment in Wales, sharing expertise, experiences and good practices to ensure maximum impact from investment funds and supporting Welsh local authorities in their delivery of UK investment funds (Welsh Government, n.d.[31]). To do so, it brings together a wide array of stakeholders, including the Welsh Government, the CJCs, local governments, the third sector, trade unions, higher and further education institutions, a Future Generations Commissioner representative, and natural resources, environment, rural, equality, well-being, economy and business representatives (Welsh Government, n.d.[31]). Its Welsh Government representation includes staff working in the areas of EU replacement funds, the regional offices, economic strategy, skills and higher education, housing and regeneration and rural development. Policy makers in other sectors closely related to regional development (e.g. health, environment, transport, spatial planning, etc.) are not represented in this forum.6

The future mandate of the forum could be expanded beyond sharing knowledge and views on the replacement EU funds landscape to supporting integrated regional development by co-ordinating various policy areas. The forum has the potential to be a platform to discuss: i) the territorial impact of different sectoral strategies and policies; ii) how regions can better help achieve regional development goals while advancing sectoral objectives; and iii) how to ensure the complementarities of investment activities at national and regional levels, including regional investments (e.g. City and Growth Deals, investment zones, the ARFOR programme, the Heads of the Valleys programme) and sectoral investments at the regional level. To expand the mandate of the forum, its membership may need to be updated to include policy makers in sectors related to regional development. It could start with sectors mentioned in the regional investment framework and/or sectors highly relevant to CJC functions (e.g. transport, land use, potentially energy). These policy makers could, in the beginning, be engaged on an ad hoc basis. For example, one meeting could be dedicated to transport in regions with policy makers from the transport department and another could focus on spatial planning and land use. In the long term, these policy makers could become permanent members of the forum. The results of the discussions could be directly reflected in sectoral policies and strategies (for example, relevant policy strategies could have one section dedicated to assessing the territorial impact or demonstrating how it aligns with regional development priorities). The results of discussions should be presented to relevant ministers and the First Minister’s Office at least annually or biannually. To expand the scope of the forum would require updating its terms of reference, an activity that could be led by the regional development co-ordination team recommended in the previous section.

Overall, more attention could be paid to the co-ordination environment for regional development overall, which could help create a more robust and effective cross-sector, multi-stakeholder system. To do so, a mix of co-ordination mechanisms will need to be adopted to buttress and advance the work of a dedicated co-ordination team and dialogue platform like the Strategic Forum for Regional Investment in Wales. Consideration should be given to the most appropriate cross-sectoral co-ordination mechanisms for regional development given Wales’ multi-level governance arrangements and its development ambitions. Table 2.1 presents four main categories of co-ordination mechanisms – organisational, strategic and policy instrument and rules-based – forming a theoretical framework the Welsh Government could use as it considers the practicalities of co-ordination mechanisms. The absence of a clear strategic thread for regional development, and the currently limited level of cross-sector, multi-level co-ordination for regional development indicates focusing on organisational and strategic co-ordination mechanisms (i.e. designating a co-ordination team, strengthening the dialogue platforms and defining integrated regional development objectives) should be priorities. Regardless of the mechanisms the Welsh Government chooses to reinforce and diversify co-ordination and create an effective cross-sectoral system to support regional development, it will require ministerial agreement and strong senior leadership to move forward.

In the long term, the Welsh Government could strengthen and pursue other types of co-ordination mechanisms, such as policy instrument co-ordination. For example, this could take the form of formal agreement among relevant line ministries and CJCs to co-design and deliver a package of investment projects. For this to be successful, CJCs must have sufficient investment design and implementation capacity. Alternatively, the Welsh Government could consider using financial or non-financial incentives to encourage the pooling of sectoral resources together to develop and deliver co-ordinated regional investment programmes. One inspiration comes from Poland, which harnesses policy instrument co-ordination for investment through its sectoral contracts (Box 2.6). This form of co-ordination can bring together policy makers from diverse sectors to advance concrete regional development programmes and projects, setting a foundation for trust-based, long-term partnerships. This form of co-ordination benefits from strong ties to regional development strategy. If it is used without a clear, agreed-upon strategy for regional development, it could backfire; line ministries may be reluctant to share resources without understanding the strategic importance. Regardless of whether a government depends on a strategy for regional development or focuses on ensuring that a strategic thread is in place, clear and effective co-ordination of actors and objectives is fundamental. In the case of a single strategy, this can serve as a co-ordination platform as the relevant parties have, in theory, contributed to and agreed with its aims. In the case of a strategic thread, there may be a need for a mix of co-ordination mechanisms as there are multiple actors (sectors), each with their own objectives contributing to regional development. In this scenario, co-ordination becomes even more critical to unite diverse strategies and policies, and ensure that activities also support the strategic objectives.

In the near future, the Welsh Government may need to develop clear guidance, standards or even regulatory provisions (rules-based co-ordination) regarding how line ministries systematically consider regional/CJC strategies and priorities. This can be in a “softer form” of territorial impact assessment methodology as developed by the Ministry of Regional Development in Czechia, voluntarily used by line ministers (Box 2.6), or in a “harder” form such as the regulatory provision on territorial impact assessment in Norway (Government of Norway, 2017[35]; Ferry, 2021[32]). The Welsh Government could also provide guidance or standards around how line ministries effectively engage with CJCs in national policy making, especially as the CJCs advance in regional planning and policy delivery in the future. If the Welsh Government is set to do so, such guidance or standards should be established together with regional bodies and local authorities to ensure buy-in.

Examples of cross-sectoral, or integrated, working – fundamental for more effective regional development – exist in the Welsh Government but are the exception rather than the rule. Welsh Government staff shared the perception that when faced with a common challenge, teams are able to come together and work effectively, efficiently and successfully (OECD, 2023[4]). The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated that various sectors of the Welsh Government can collaborate to respond to rapidly evolving circumstances. However, like in many governments, Welsh Government teams tend to operate within their specific policy and budget areas. A shift towards a more integrated Welsh Government starts from within, with measures to encourage a collaborative culture and streamline internal processes. A shift towards a more integrated Welsh Government starts from within, with measures to encourage a collaborative culture and streamline internal processes.

The Welsh Government has taken steps to improve integrated work in specific areas. For example, the First Minister7 requested a Cabinet review of the effectiveness of cross-government work in six key areas (including infrastructure, climate, mental health and the fight against racism), which concluded that cross-government engagement should take place at an earlier stage to identify and properly consider any conflicts, trade-offs, multiple outcomes and benefits (Welsh Government, 2024[39]). The Welsh Government plans to take forward the findings related to working methods as part of WG2025, a three-year programme for organisational change and continuous improvement (Welsh Government, 2024[39]).

As the COVID-19 response illustrated, there is significant capacity for collaborative working in the Welsh Government that could be harnessed to advance regional development across the organisation. However, this task is not without its challenges. Collaborative working is not systematic and is frequently rooted in personal relationships among staff (often at the G6/G7 level)8 who have been in the Welsh Government for some time (OECD, 2023[4]). While this is a characteristic of small-state administrations (OECD, 2011[33]), it creates risks, not least that staff turnover undermines collaborative work currently taking place in the form of existing relationships. In addition, personal relationship building depends in part on individual motivation and time. With human resources already stretched thin, some Welsh Government staff interviewed by the OECD can feel they do not have time to co-operate or build the relationships that underpin co-operation within the organisation. In a context of limited resources, Welsh Government staff feel that co-operation is often a luxury their teams cannot afford (OECD, 2023[4]).

Senior civil servants and executive bands (G6s/G7s) have a role to play in setting clear and realistic expectations for collaborative work and modelling such work for regional development. Working together ranges from simply sharing information (co-ordination) to actively working towards shared goals (co-operation) and deeply integrated teamwork with open, direct communication and joint planning (collaboration) (Box 2.7). The greater the level of engagement – from co-ordination, co-operation to collaboration – the higher the “cost” in terms of dedicating time and resources into building the structures, processes and relationships (Wales Centre for Public Policy, 2021[12]).

Another factor that may undermine joint working – especially when based on personal relationships – is a lack of common identity and goals. In the case of regional development policy, research found that when policy makers share a common understanding or policy paradigm, co-ordination is more likely to happen (Zitton, 2015[42]; Ferry, 2021[32]). However, focus group interviews with Welsh Government staff suggested that they did not always feel a strong sense of group identity as a single public service, committed to shared goals: “one Welsh public service” (OECD, 2023[4]). While the causes of this are difficult to pin down, silos and competition among teams for limited resources may be two contributors. Regardless of the causes, a lack of unity can strongly impact the Welsh Government’s work, discouraging co-operation and alignment across departments.

Internal processes can complicate collaboration, hindering integrated working. Welsh Government staff shared a view that internal communication and decision-making processes could be more streamlined. Bureaucratic obstacles and slow processes within organisations can create delays, consume resources for tasks that do not contribute to overarching goals, and discourage innovation. Some of the obstacles have their roots in organisational culture that can hinder effective collaborative working between civil servants (OECD, 2023[4]; 2023[43]).

The Welsh Government could increase its agility and take a more integrated approach to regional development by reconsidering certain aspects of the way it works. The same challenge has been raised for the implementation of the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act. Fully embedding and operationalising the act and achieving an integrated approach to regional development will rely on the work – and understanding – of individual staff that design and deliver policy on a daily basis. The Future Generations Report 20209 acknowledges this, recommending that the Welsh Government “put in place arrangements to ensure staff understand how and why the Act should be applied, and support opportunities to collaborate, including to second staff to other organisations and make joint appointments” (Future Generations Commissioner for Wales, 2020[44]). While these arrangements are important, championing cross-sector collaboration is not as simple as putting formal mechanisms to collaborate in place. One study describes how some of the actors implementing the act believe that cross-sector collaboration (important for the act and also regional development) will take time and daily operational collaboration to lead to a culture shift (Nesom and MacKillop, 2020[45]). A “complex and bureaucratic” governance and public administration (Wales Centre for Public Policy, 2021[12]), however, can undermine this process and thus should be addressed.

In this context, the Welsh Government could develop concrete measures to encourage changes in the ways of working among staff. One way to do so is to develop a “ways of working charter” that reflects staff input into how specific ways of working, processes, procedures or embedded cultural practices promote or impede integrated and efficient working for regional development across the Welsh Government. To help reduce burdens on teams, the Welsh Government could consider how to streamline internal processes: for example, by creating a form repository and a commissioning checklist to minimise duplicative commissions. Managers should be closely engaged in this exercise to help streamline discussions and empower decision making at the right level.

The Welsh Government could embed the regional lens more effectively by introducing a strategic thread for regional development activities. An integrated regional development strategy or set of agreed-upon long-term (ten years or more) objectives is not yet in place. While developing a long-term regional development strategy is a ministerial decision, weaving together existing strategic documents to draw out a set of high-level, clearly defined regional development objectives could still be productive. This could help ensure that various regional development activities, as well as sectoral policies, are contributing to achieving regional development goals.

  • Recommendation: Develop a strategic thread for regional development guided by a long-term, futures-thinking perspective

    • Mobilise and further build inhouse capacity for foresight and futures thinking (for example, existing capacity in the Sustainable Futures Unit and Strategic Evidence Unit) throughout the Welsh Government, specifically for regional development.

    • Map the diverse set of strategies in the Welsh Government and make sure that they are coherent with the regional development objectives. Identify long-term, high-level, integrated regional development objectives, drawing on the Framework for Regional Investment in Wales and its priorities, and based on a vision for regional development supported by a broad range of stakeholders and evidence-driven analysis of the four economic regions.

    • Further translate these objectives into a regional development strategy with objectives, priorities, policy actions, identified resources and performance measurement mechanisms in the medium and long terms.

    • Consider streamlining different strategies, such as combining those with significant overlap, once the Welsh Government has a birds-eye view of the current strategic landscape for regional development.

    • Define a hierarchy among documents, where higher-level strategies and policies guide action plans and programmes. This hierarchy can become guidelines that Welsh Government staff consult before developing new strategic documents. Ultimately, these guidelines can make it easier for the Welsh Government to ensure different policies are coherent with the regional development objectives.

Another key obstacle is a loose set of co-ordination arrangements for regional development activities in the Welsh Government. No single actor or governance body within the Welsh Government is charged with co-ordinating regional development activities. Consequently, who does what for regional development is not clear. At worst, this lack of clarity could lead to potential duplication or conflicts between regional development activities and suboptimal use of public resources. Also, without an integrated framework specifically for regional development, there is currently a predominant focus on regional economic development at the expense of a more integrated approach to regional development.

  • Recommendation: Designate a team to co-ordinate activities to ensure that everyone moves in the same direction to contribute to regional development goals

    • This team can undertake several tasks:

      • Conduct a comprehensive review and analysis of how regional development work should be organised. This includes who does what for regional development, the expected outcomes, decision-making bodies and processes and functions of different teams. The aim is to help all involved actors understand their roles and responsibilities in meeting regional development objectives. This exercise should be done in close co-operation with policy makers in different sectors and ensure alignment with the Well-being for Future Generations (Wales) Act.

      • Clearly define the linkages among regional development objectives, resources, actors and policy interventions. This team can conduct this investigation and analysis as a second stage of the review recommended above. The idea is to identify the policy interventions across the Welsh Government that are contributing to regional development work, how they do so and with what resources. Such an analysis can serve as the basis for an integrated regional development strategy should the Welsh Government develop one in the future.

      • Actively co-ordinate with sectoral policy makers to ensure the regional perspective in relevant sector policies. This team can be responsible for streamlining the regional development issues discussed in different inter-ministerial dialogue platforms and systematically help sectoral policy makers apply the regional lens when they design strategies and policy interventions that strongly impact the regions.

      • Ensure the delivery of regional development strategy and policy, should the Welsh Government develop one in the future. For example, the team can be responsible for monitoring and evaluating the outcomes and impact of the regional development policy.

  • Recommendation: Consider reinforcing and maximising the use of the Strategic Forum for Regional Investment in Wales for co-ordination with a broader group of stakeholders

    • This may include expanding the forum’s mandate and scope of discussions to support integrated regional development and facilitate co-ordination across policy areas.

    • This also means engaging policy makers from sectors related to regional development (e.g. transport, land use and spatial planning, the environment, health) in the forum, on an ad hoc basis at the beginning.

    • The forum can provide a platform to discuss: i) the territorial impact of different sectoral strategies and policies; ii) how regions can better help achieve regional development goals while advancing sectoral objectives; and iii) ensure the complementarities of investment activities on the national and regional levels, including regional investments (e.g. City and Growth Deals investment zones, etc.) and sectoral investments at the regional level.

  • Recommendation: Gradually enhance the mix of co-ordination mechanisms for regional development

    • Examine the existing dialogue platforms that contribute to regional development to identify their current and potential concrete contributions. Moving forward, clarify how the outcomes of their discussions and reports can be directly used to advance regional development in a series of next steps, each associated with a contact for implementation and a timeline, when relevant.

    • Pilot a scheme for line ministries and CJCs to co-design and deliver development projects in regions or use financial or non-financial incentives to encourage the pooling of sectoral resources to support co-ordinated regional investment programmes in the long term. Ideally, this pilot can be oriented towards the strategic thread highlighted in the first recommendation.

    • Develop clear guidance and standards regarding how line ministries systematically consider regional needs and priorities and how line ministries effectively engage with CJCs (and other regional and local bodies) in policy making. This could be done as the CJCs further develop and advance in regional planning and policy delivery in the future.

The Welsh Government’s current ways of working sometimes impede agile, integrated co-operation. There is significant potential for collaborative work among Welsh Government departments, as shown during the COVID-19 pandemic response, which can become the rule rather than the exception. Challenges impeding this sort of collaborative work include bureaucratic hurdles and aspects of organisational culture, both of which hamper efficient and united efforts towards regional development objectives. Welsh Government staff can foster a more collaborative culture by setting clear expectations for working together.

  • Recommendation: Consider how to improve ways of working to favour regional development collaboration

    • For example, the Welsh Government could develop a “ways of working charter” with a plan for embedding collaborative working for regional development across the Welsh Government. It could be developed based on an internal engagement exercise to reflect staff input into how specific ways of working, processes, procedures or embedded cultural practices promote or impede integrated and efficient working.

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Notes

← 1. Prosperity, resilience, health, equality, cohesiveness, culture and heritage, and global responsibility.

← 2. These objectives are: “(1) Provide effective, high quality and sustainable healthcare; (2) continue our long-term programme of education reform, and ensure educational inequalities narrow and standards rise; (3) protect, re-build and develop our services for vulnerable people; (4) celebrate diversity and move to eliminate inequality in all of its forms; (5) build an economy based on the principles of fair work, sustainability and the industries and services of the future; (6) push towards a million Welsh speakers, and enable our tourism, sports and arts industries to thrive; (7) build a stronger, greener economy as we make maximum progress towards decarbonisation; (8) make our cities, towns and villages even better places in which to live and work; (9) embed our response to the climate and nature emergency in everything we do; and (10) lead Wales in a national civic conversation about our constitutional future, and give our country the strongest possible presence on the world stage” (Welsh Government, 2023[47]).

← 3. “Linked” is defined broadly, insomuch as they referred in the document to the fact that the planning instrument was contributing to the programme.

← 4. The two core work streams are “continue our work with all protected groups to counter discrimination and ensure opportunities for all” and “work to ensure that membership of our democratic bodies better reflects the whole of society and improve equal representation on elected bodies and public sector boards”.

← 5. These include the Regional Investment for Wales Steering Group (last meeting in April 2021), the Strategic Forum for Regional Investment in Wales, the Council for Economic Development and the Workforce Partnership Council.

← 6. In addition to the Welsh Government representatives, the majority of forum members are regional and local representatives (the four CJC regions and the Wales Local Government Association) and a wide range of non-governmental actors (14), including the Third Sector Partnership Council, the Higher Education Funding Council, trade unions, the chamber of commerce, the Wales Rural Network, experts, etc.

← 7. By the time this report is published, Vaughan Gething MS will have succeeded Mark Drakeford MS as First Minister following his resignation in March 2024 (Deans, 2023[46]).

← 8. G6 is senior management, typically reporting to the most senior civil servants. G7, positioned below G6, acts as middle management.

← 9. Supported by the Audit Wales report on the implementation of the act (Auditor General For Wales, 2019[48]).

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