Annex B. Methods and findings of the 50 individual evaluations
This Annex documents the evaluation studies included in the report. They are listed by the dominant policy focus of the programme evaluated, as per our 8 policy themes. The evaluations fall under the areas of Finance; Business Advice, Coaching, Mentoring and Counselling; Internationalisation; Innovation; Enterprise Skills and Culture; Inclusive Entrepreneurship; Regional and Local Focus; and Support in Areas of Disadvantage. There are no examples of Cluster evaluations.
Table B.1. The impact of government financial assistance on the performance and financing of Australian SMEs | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B1 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Direct financial assistance from the Australian government, including grants, subsidies and rebates. | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2005-2010 Evaluation period: 2005-2010 Year of the report: 2017 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 1 The programmes of direct financial assistance (subsidies, grants and rebates) aimed to improve access to finance for SMEs, to mitigate the effects of the financial crisis and to enhance the competitiveness of the supported firms. |
No | Improved access to finance, increased competitiveness | |
EVALUATION THEME | Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | SMEs in Australia | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Xiang and Worthington, 2017[2]). The impact of government financial assistance on the performance and financing of Australian SMEs. Accounting Research Journal, 30(4), 447-464. Available at:https://doi.org/10.1108/ARJ-04-2014-0034 | |
COUNTRY | Australia | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Sales, profit, probability of obtaining other funding | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Survey data and accounting data: Data from the Business Longitudinal Database compiled by the Australian Bureau of Statistics combined with official accounting data. 508 supported firms (18.6% of surveyed firms) and non-supported firms from the survey. | |
STEP LEVEL | 5 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Random effects regressions The authors estimate firm-level effects in t+1 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 2 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of industry bias and area bias only partially. Although the authors use pre-intervention financial data and firm-level characteristics, the two-step estimation is not used as a methodological approach. Moreover, different kinds of interventions are combined in pooled results and we do not know any details about the outcomes of the individual programmes. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects of the governmental support on sales, profit and on obtaining other funding. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | N/A | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | N/A |
Table B.2. The effectiveness of investment subsidies: evidence from a regression discontinuity design | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B2 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Flemish government Entrepreneurship Agency programme | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2004-2009 Evaluation period: 2001-2012 Year of the report: 2016 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 1 The programme aimed to stimulate economic growth through investment subsidies allocated to firms. |
Yes | Increased investments, increased competitiveness | |
EVALUATION THEME | Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | SMEs in Flanders region | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Decramer and Vanormelingen, 2016[3]). The effectiveness of investment subsidies: evidence from a regression discontinuity design. Small Business Economics, 47(4), 1007-1032. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-016-9749-2 | |
COUNTRY | Belgium | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One region study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, fixed assets, sales, value-added, labour productivity and total factor productivity (TFP) | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No. | |
DATA SOURCES | Commercial data and administrative data: Firm-level data from Bel-First database (Bel-First) in combination with data from Flemish government´s Entrepreneurship Agency 932 firms supported during 2004-2009 in Flanders region (2,966 supported in total), 4,463 non-supported firms from Flanders region (rejected applicants) | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Regression discontinuity design The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+3 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. However, the number of SMEs included in the analysis is much lower compared to the population of supported enterprises. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects of subsidies on fixed assets, employment, sales, value-added, labour productivity and TFP growth for very small firms, and they do not find any effects for larger firms. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | 250 million Euro allocated through the Entrepreneurship Agency (Agentschap Ondernemen) programme during 2004-2008 in Flanders region, Belgium. The authors estimate that the cost of one job created through subsidy was high (500 ths. EUR). | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors summarised the results in a policy paper published on the website of their research unit and disseminated them in some of the national newspapers. However, they have not presented the results to policymakers. |
Table B.3. The economic impact of the Canada Small Business Financing Program | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B3 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Canada Small Business Financing Program (CSBFP) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2004 Evaluation period: 2002-2006 Year of the report: 2012 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to facilitate access to finance for SMEs through the allocation of credit guarantees in cooperation with commercial banks in response to distortions on the financial markets. |
Yes | Improved access to finance, increased competitiveness | |
EVALUATION THEME | Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | New and established SMEs in Canada | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Chandler, 2012[4]). The economic impact of the Canada small business financing program. Small Business Economics, 39(1), 253-264. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-010-9302-7 | |
COUNTRY | Canada | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, revenues, profit and wages | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Survey data and administrative data: Data from the Survey on Financing of Small and Medium Entreprises (SFSME) combined with the official accounting data. Four groups of firms: 199 firms supported by credit guarantees in 2004 (11 000 loans guaranteed in 2004 in total), 121 rejected applicants, 621 approved applicants but non-supported firms, and 2 105 non-supported firms (randomly selected SMEs from SFSME). | |
STEP LEVEL | 5 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach OLS regressions in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects in t+2 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 3 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of industry bias and area bias only partially. Although the authors use pre-intervention financial data and firm-level characteristics, the two-step estimation is not used as a methodological approach. Nevertheless, an asset of the study is combination of different kinds of control groups. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects of the programme on salary, employment and revenues, but no significant effects on profit. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated through both programmes was approximately 30 mil. USD. in 2004. | |
MACRO IMPACT | The authors estimate that the approximately 11 000 loans guaranteed in 2004 have created 0.63 jobs each, meaning that the CSBFP created approximately 5 000 jobs. The authors calculate that each job created costs of about 6 000 USD. | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The author did not present results to the policymakers. |
Table B.4. Assessing the microeconomic effects of public subsidies on the performance of firms in the Czech food processing industry: A counterfactual impact evaluation | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B4 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Subsidies allocated within the Czech Operational Programme for Enterprises and Innovation (OPEI) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2007-2013 Evaluation period: 2005-2015 Year of the report: 2019 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 1 The programme aimed to improve the competitiveness of the Czech firms through the allocation of investment subsidies. |
Yes | Increased competitiveness, increased investments | |
EVALUATION THEME | Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | SMEs in the Czech Republic, the evaluation focused on firms in the Food industry | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Dvouletý and Blažková, 2019[5]). Assessing the microeconomic effects of public subsidies on the performance of firms in the Czech food processing industry: A counterfactual impact evaluation. Agribusiness, 35(3), 394-422. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1002/agr.21582 | |
COUNTRY | Czech Republic | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Price-cost margin, return on assets (ROA), assets turnover, value-added per labour costs, long-run risk, tangible fixed assets, labour costs, sales | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and commercial data: Firm-level data from databases Magnus Web and SSV, in combination with data from the Czech Ministry of Industry and Trade. 143 firms supported by subsidies (203 firms were supported in the Food industry in total) and 604 non-supported firms from the Czech Food industry (non-applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects in t+2 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and industry bias. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects on price-cost margin, value-added per labour cost, growth of sales and growth of tangible assets. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated through subsidies to the firms in the Czech food industry was 86.4 mil. EUR. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The results were presented at the Czech Ministry of Industry and Trade for the relevant stakeholders and they promised to consider and incorporate recommendations on better data collection and better organisation of the programme, stressing the growth potential in the evaluation of project proposals. |
Table B.5. Do firms supported by credit guarantee schemes report better financial results 2 years after the end of intervention? | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B5 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | START and ZÁRUKA programmes | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2017-2013 Evaluation period: 2005-2015 Year of the report: 2019 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 Programme aimed to allocate financial capital to new and established SMEs in the Czech Republic. |
Yes | Increase in employment, higher competitiveness | |
EVALUATION THEME | Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | SMEs in the Czech Republic | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Dvouletý, Čadil and Mirošník, 2019[6]). Do Firms Supported by Credit Guarantee Schemes Report Better Financial Results 2 Years After the End of Intervention?. The BE Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, 19(1), 2018005. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1515/bejeap-2018-0057 | |
COUNTRY | Czech Republic | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study, focus on new and established SMEs | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Total assets, tangible fixed assets, personnel costs, sales, price-cost-margin (PCM), return on assets (ROA) | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | Yes, 17% of supported firms went out of business. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and commercial data: Firm-level data from databases Magnus Web and SSV, in combination with data from the Czech Ministry of Industry and Trade. 530 firms supported by credit guarantees (85 firms were supported within Start and 2,011 firms within Záruka scheme in total) and 4,945 non-supported firms (selected randomly from business register) | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects in t+2 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 5 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of industry bias and area bias. The authors analyse altogether schemes Start and Záruka. Separate results across schemes are not reported. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find only a positive change in tangible fixed assets for the programme participants and the effects for the remaining variables were not found to be statistically significant. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated through both programmes was 164 mil. EUR. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The results were presented at the Czech Ministry of Industry and Trade for the relevant stakeholders and they promised to consider and incorporate recommendations on better data collection and better organisation of the programme, stressing the growth potential in the evaluation of project proposals. |
Table B.6. The role of financial support in SME and economic development in Estonia | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B6 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Various grants managed by the Enterprise Estonia (EAS) government agency, i.e. start-up and development grants, research and development (R&D) grant, development of knowledge and skills grants, technology investment grants, export grants | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2004-2009 Evaluation period: 2004-2010 Year of the report: 2013 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 1 The programme aimed to promote regional economic development in Estonia through the allocation of public subsidies to firms. |
Yes | Increase in number of start-ups, increase in innovation activities, increase in competitiveness, higher export, higher competitiveness | |
EVALUATION THEME | Finance; Innovation; Internationalisation | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | SMEs in Estonia | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Hartšenko and Sauga, 2013[7]). The role of financial support in SME and economic development in Estonia. Business & Economic Horizons, 9(2), 10-22. Available at: https://doi.org/10.15208/beh.2013.6 | |
COUNTRY | Estonia | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Sales, labour productivity | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data: Data provided by Enterprise Estonia and Estonian Commercial Register. 508 firms supported during 2004-2009 by various grants (100% of population), 3,921 non-supported Estonian firms (non-applicants, 10% of all firms within sectors randomly selected) | |
STEP LEVEL | 5 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Fixed and random effects regressions in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 3 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | The analysis does not tackle the issue of area and industry bias. Control variables for firm-level observable characteristics are missing. The authors analyse altogether different kinds of grant schemes and programmes. Separate results across programmes are not reported. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects on sales and labour productivity. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | 13.87 mil. Euro allocated through Enterprise Estonia (EAS) government Agency during 2004-2009 in Estonia. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | N/A |
Table B.7. Impact evaluation of EU subsidies for economic development on the Hungarian SME sector | ||||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B7 | |||
PROGRAMME NAME | Economic Development Operational Programme and Regional Development Operational Programmes from the EU Structural Funds and the Cohesion Fund | |||
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2007-2013 Evaluation period: 2003-2015 Year of the report: 2017 (Published) | |||
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programmes aimed to mitigate regional disparities through investment subsidies allocated to firms. Eligible activities included employment enhancement; support of research, development and innovation; environmental investments; development of production plants, technology and capacity; development of tourism; development of corporate information and communication technology; corporate consultancy; and they were supported through the direct subsidies and financial instruments. | ||
Yes | Increase in employment, higher competitiveness, higher innovation activity | |||
EVALUATION THEME | Finance; Innovation | |||
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |||
TARGET GROUPS | SMEs in Hungary | |||
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Working paper: (Banai et al., 2017[8]). Impact evaluation of EU subsidies for economic development on the Hungarian SME sector. MNB Working Papers 8 (No. 2017/8). Available at: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/189891/1/mnb-wp-2017-8.pdf. | |||
COUNTRY | Hungary | |||
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |||
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, value-added, sales, profit, tangible assets, labour productivity | |||
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No. | |||
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data: Firm-level data were obtained from the National Tax, and Customs Administration (NTCA) and programme data come from the Unified Monitoring Information System (EMIR). Additional firm-level data were obtained from the Hungarian Central Statistical Office´s Business Register. 9 636 firms supported by subsidies (19 866 firms supported in total) and 2 587 firms supported by financial instruments (13 538 firms supported in total), 192 570 non-supported firms (non-applicants). | |||
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |||
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach, fixed-effects (FE) regressions The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+4 | |||
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |||
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and industry bias. A large sample and a complex evaluation study. | |||
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects on employment, value-added, sales, profit, tangible assets, but insignificant effects on labour productivity. The separate results across firm-size (micro, small and medium) are provided as well as results across the programmes. The authors do not find differences between the outcomes of subsidies and financial instruments. | |||
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | 11 067 billion Hungarian Forints (HUF) was allocated through the programmes during years 2007-2013 (1$ = 221 HUF in November 2013). | |||
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |||
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The results were presented to the governmental agencies responsible for the allocation of EU subsidies (Prime Minister’s Office and the Ministry for National Economy) in 2017, and the authors were then asked for a consultation concerning the programming period 2021-2027. |
Table B.8. Public credit guarantee schemes and SMEs’ profitability: Evidence from Italy | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B8 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Credit Guarantee Scheme Fondo Centrale di Garanzia (Central Guarantee Fund) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2000- (nowadays) Evaluation period: 2005-2011 Year of the report: 2019 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to facilitate access to finance through the allocation of the credit guarantees in cooperation with commercial banks in response to distortions on the financial markets. |
Yes | Improved access to finance, increased competitiveness | |
EVALUATION THEME | Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | SMEs in Italy, focus on new and established SMEs | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Caselli et al., 2019[9]). Public Credit Guarantee Schemes and SMEs’ Profitability: Evidence from Italy. Journal of Small Business Management (forthcoming). Available at: https://doi.org/10.1111/jsbm.12509. | |
COUNTRY | Italy | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Return on investment (ROI) | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and commercial data: Firm-level data from AIDA Bureau van Dijk, in combination with data from the Central Guarantee Fund. 15 562 firms supported by credit guarantees (55% of all supported firms) and 23 000 non-supported firms (collected from commercial database, i. e. non-applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+2 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of industry bias and area bias. The authors provide estimates across firm size and industry. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive outcomes of the programme on ROI, however only for micro and small firms. They further report negative impact in the case of medium-sized firms. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated to the scheme was 2 bil. EUR during 2008-2012. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors have presented results to the representatives of the Central Guarantee Fund and the Italian national promotion bank. However, the authors are not familiar about the specific changes, based on this evaluation report. |
Table B.9. Are lending relationships beneficial or harmful for public credit guarantees? Evidence from Japan's Emergency Credit Guarantee Programme | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B9 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Japan’s Emergency Credit Guarantee (ECG) Programme | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2008-2011 Evaluation period: 2008-2009 Year of the report: 2013 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to mitigate the negative effects of the financial crisis and to improve access to finance for SMEs. |
Yes | Improved access to finance, higher competitiveness, mitigation of negative effects of the financial crisis | |
EVALUATION THEME | Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | SMEs in Japan | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Ono, Uesugi and Yasuda, 2013[10]). Are lending relationships beneficial or harmful for public credit guarantees? Evidence from Japan's Emergency Credit Guarantee Program. Journal of Financial stability, 9(2), 151-167. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2013.01.005 | |
COUNTRY | Japan | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, loans obtained from a bank, interest payments, cash ratio, credit score, tangible fixed assets, sales, return on assets (ROA) | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and survey data: Data obtained via a RIETI survey that was conducted by Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry, a research institution affiliated with the Ministry of Economy, Trade, commercial firm-level data from Nikkei Financial QUEST, data from Financial Services Agency, and other online sources. 365 firms supported by credit guarantees in 2008 and 2 134 non-supported firms (non-applicants, selected randomly from Tokyo Shoko Research database). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects t+1 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of industry bias and area bias. The authors provide interesting insights into firm-bank relationships by incorporating many bank-related variables. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find that the programme significantly improved credit availability for supported firms. However, the authors could not find positive effects on profitability, investment and employment. On the contrary , they found a negative effect of the scheme on credit score of the supported firms. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated through the programme was 27.1 trillion yen (approximately 300 billion U.S. dollars). | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors presented the paper to the government representatives (SME Agency of the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry) and the central bank (Bank of Japan) officials on several occasions. Officials at the SME Agency collected academic research results on the effectiveness of the credit guarantee scheme and used them for drafting a policy package to reform Japan's credit guarantee programme. The reform started in 2018. The paper was also presented at the International Monetary Fund (IMF). |
Table B.10. Evaluation of credit guarantee policy using propensity score matching | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B10 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Credit Guarantee Schemes provided by Korea Credit Guarantee Fund (KCGF) and the Korea Technology Credit Guarantee Fund (KOTEC) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2001-2003 Evaluation period: 2000-2003 Year of the report: 2009 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to mitigate the negative effects of the financial crisis and to improve access to finance for SMEs. |
Yes | Improved access to finance, increased competitiveness, mitigation of negative effects of the financial crisis | |
EVALUATION THEME | Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | SMEs in Korea in manufacturing with at least five employees | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Oh et al., 2009[11]). Evaluation of credit guarantee policy using propensity score matching. Small Business Economics, 33(3), 335-351. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-008-9102-5 | |
COUNTRY | Korea | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Total factor productivity (TFP), employment, sales, wage level, investment intensity, change in R&D status, firm survival | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | Yes, firm survival is an outcome variable. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and survey: Annual Survey on Mining and Manufacturing in Korea in combination with data from the Korea Credit Guarantee Fund (KCGF) and Korea Technology Credit Guarantee Fund (KOTEC). 8 714 firms (100% of the population) supported by credit guarantees (3 996 firms were supported within KOTEC scheme, 3 818 firms within KCGF scheme and 900 firms within both schemes) supported between 2001-2002 and 35 299 non-supported firms. | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+2 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 5 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of industry bias and area bias. The authors analyse separately firms supported by KOTEC, KCGF and both schemes. The details about the control group concerning application for public support are missing. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects on sales, employment, wage levels and survival rates. The remaining variables differed across both schemes. Firms supported by KOTEC scheme showed positive effects on changes in R&D status, and firms supported by both schemes showed positive effects on TFP. The remaining results were not conclusive. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated through both programmes in 2003 was nearly 12 trillion of Korean Won (1$ = 1037 KRW in November 2005). | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | No. The authors have not presented the results to the government. |
Table B.11. The impact of investment support on labour productivity in Lithuanian family farms: A propensity score matching approach | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B11 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Modernisation of agricultural holdings, rural development programme | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2007-2012 Evaluation period: 2007-2012 Year of the report: 2019 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 1 Rural Development programme aimed to improve regional competitiveness of farms through the allocation of investment subsidies for modernisation of agricultural holdings. |
Yes | Higher competitiveness, higher investments | |
EVALUATION THEME | Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Lithuanian family farms | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Namiotko et al., 2019[12]).The impact of Investment support on labour productivity in Lithuanian family farms: A propensity score matching approach. Economics and Sociology, 12(1), 342-352. Available at: https://doi.org/10.14254/2071-789X.2019/12-1/21 | |
COUNTRY | Lithuania | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Labour productivity | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data: The authors use Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN) dataset obtained from Lithuanian Institute of Agrarian Economics. 284 farms were included in the empirical analysis. 62 farms were supported during 2007-2010 (5 445 farms were supported in total) and 222 non-supported (non-applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects in t+2 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis does not tackle the issue of area bias, but it does address industry bias as it is a one-industry study. Firm size is not included in matching regression. We do not know the total number of supported recepients. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors conclude that Lithuanian farmers’ participation in investments promoting policy did not result in labour productivity gains. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | Total financial allocation for the Rural Development programme was 2 524.7 mil. EUR. For the modernisation of agricultural holding was allocated 498.5 mill. EUR. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The results were not presented to the representatives of the government. |
Table B.12. Mexico: Impact evaluation of SME programmes using panel firm data | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B12 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Entrepreneurship support programmes administered by various government agencies and ministries (Ministry of Economy, Nafinsa, Bancomext, Conacyt, Ministry of Labour). The evaluated programes include those run by: CIMO-PAC, FIDECAP, FAMPYME, Fondo PYME, COMPITE, CRECE, ROMODE, PROSEC, MEX-EX, PATCI, Crediexporta, PAT, PMT, PCI, PAIDEC, Fiscal Support and Technological Innovation | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2001-2006 Evaluation period: 1994-2005 Year of the report: 2010 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programmes differed in their stated objectives, but they seek to promote the productivity, quality, and competitiveness of small enterprises, encourage technology upgrading, training, and conservation, and improve earnings and safe working conditions for the workforce in firms. |
Yes | Increased competitiveness, increased hard and soft skills, innovation boost | |
EVALUATION THEME | Finance; Business advice, coaching, mentoring and counselling; Innovation | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Both | |
TARGET GROUPS | All kinds of firms, depending on a specific programme | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Policy Research Working Paper: (Lopez-Acevedo and Tinajero, 2010[13]). Mexico: impact evaluation of SME programs using panel firm data. The World Bank, Available at: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/421151468282531628/Mexico-impact-evaluation-of-sme-programs-using-panel-firm-data | |
COUNTRY | Mexico | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, value added, gross production, sales, worked hours, wages, fixed assets, foreign sales, technology transfers payments, maquila services | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and survey data: Data were obtained from surveys National Employment Salary, Training and Technology (Encuesta Nacional de Empleo, Salarios, Capacitación y Tecnología—ENESTYC) and Annual Industry Survey (Encuesta Industrial Annual—EIA) that are maintained by Mexico’s National Statistics Office (Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía—INEGI) and from the programme data come from Ministry of Economy and National Science and Technology Council (Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología—CONACyT). 838 firms supported (3 664 065 firms supported during 2001-2006 in total) and 1 540 non-supported (non-applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) with a difference-in-differences (DID) approach, fixed effects regressions The authors estimate mainly firm-level effects in t+2 (DID), but they also attempt to study long-term effects from t+1 to t+9 (and longer) | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 3 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. Nevertheless, the data on participation were collected retrospectively in 2001 and 2005 via a survey and thus they may be unreliable. The proportion of the sample analysed in the study is very small when compared with the population of treated firms. Different types of support (trainings, grants, financial instruments, technical assistance) are all mixed together in the findings. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find that participation in any programme had a positive effect on value added, exports, sales, employment and fixed assets. However, the outcomes differed across the programmes. Once the authors separated the results across programmes, the results become very mixed, some of the schemes reported negative and non-significant results. The results across programmes are reported in the study. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | Programmes administered by Ministry of Economy: 782 mil. USD Programmes administered by Nafinsa: 43,412 mil. USD Programmes administered by Bancomext: 34,449 mil. USD Programmes administered by Conacyt: 977 mil. USD Programmes administered by Ministry of Labor: 75 mil. USD The authors provide summary tables indicated number of recepients benefited from selected programmes and the total financial allocation. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors published two reports based on the study and they presented them to government officials. The focus of presentations was on how to better design the forthcoming policies. |
Table B.13. Impotence of crisis-motivated subsidization of firms: The case of Slovenia | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B13 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Slovenia’s anti-crisis state aid programmes | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2009-2015 Evaluation period: 1998-2015 Year of the report: 2018 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programmes aimed to mitigate the negative effects of the financial crisis. SMEs received a financial subsidy for R&D activities, employment, training and rescuing and restructuring. |
Yes | Improved access to finance, mitigation of negative effects of the financial crisis, increased firm-survival | |
EVALUATION THEME | Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | SMEs in Slovenia | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Burger and Rojec, 2018[14]).Impotence of crisis-motivated subsidization of firms: The case of Slovenia. Eastern European Economics, 56(2), 122-148. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1080/00128775.2017.1416294. | |
COUNTRY | Slovenia | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, sales | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data: Firm-level data obtained from the Agency of the Republic of Slovenia for Public Legal Records and Related Services (AJPES) and from the Bank of Slovenia. Programme data were obtained from the Ministry of Finance State Aid. 24 385 firms supported by subsidies and 709 914 non-supported firms (non-applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+5 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of industry bias and area bias. The analysis provides results for a long-term effects of public anti-crisis subsidies. Separate estimates across a type of subsidy are reported. Large-sample study. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find that the programme increased employment, but it did not lead to an increase in sales. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated through the programmes was 688 mil. EUR. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors published results in a local language journal and a policy report, but the results were not presented to the government. According to authors judgement, the evaluation had no impact. |
Table B.14. Loan guarantee schemes in the UK: the natural experiment of the enterprise finance guarantee and the 5 year rule | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B14 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Enterprise Finance Guarantee Scheme (EFG) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2009-2013 (ongoing) Evaluation period: 2009-2013 Year of the report: 2018 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to facilitate access to finance through the allocation of loan guarantees in cooperation with commercial banks in response to distortions on the financial markets. |
Yes | Improved access to finance | |
EVALUATION THEME | Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | SMEs in the UK | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Cowling et al., 2018[15]). Loan guarantee schemes in the UK: the natural experiment of the enterprise finance guarantee and the 5 year rule. Applied Economics, 50(20), 2210-2218. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2017.1392004 | |
COUNTRY | United Kingdom | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, sales | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No. | |
DATA SOURCES | Survey data: Data provided by the UK Department for Business Innovation and Skills Enterprise Finance Guarantee (EFG). 500 firms supported by credit guarantees (6 504 supported in total in 2009), authors divided them into two groups: SMEs that would be supported only under Five Year Rule conditions (treated) and vs the remaining supported firms (control). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | A natural experiment investigating whether a policy shift led to better economic firm-level outcomes or not Panel data approach OLS regressions The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+3 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 3 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of industry bias but not area bias. Only t+3 effects are calculated, and the results are based on survey data. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects on employment but they do not find positive effects on sales. The evaluation study indicates that a shift in a policy from a 5-Year Rule towards more relaxed conditions for applicants (higher credit guarantees and less constraints in terms of sales) for credit guarantee loans is less beneficial in terms of firm-level economic effects. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The supported enterprises could obtain a maximum loan guarantee of one mill. GBP. 23 762 loans with a total value of 2 106.7 mil. GBP were guaranteed between 2009-2013. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | N/A |
Table B.15. Finance and growth at the firm level: evidence from SBA loans | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B15 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Small Business Administration (SBA) loans (lending programmes 7a and 504) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 1992-2007 Evaluation period: 1987-2012 Year of the report: 2017 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to increase employment through the allocation of subsidised loans. |
Yes | Improved access to finance, increase in employment | |
EVALUATION THEME | Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Firms in the United States, focus on all kinds of firms | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Brown and Earle, 2017[16]). Finance and growth at the firm level: evidence from SBA loans. The Journal of Finance, 72(3), 1039-1080. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12492 | |
COUNTRY | United States | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data: Data for both groups were obtained from the Census Bureau. 128 900 firms were supported within scheme 7(a) and 28 600 firms were supported within the scheme 504. The control group was constructed from the population of non-recepients (500 000 firms). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach, instrumental variables (IV) approach, ordinary least squares (OLS) regressions The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+5 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of industry bias and area bias. Different kinds of methods are used in to obtain more reliable results. Large sample study. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive outcomes of the programme on employment. The authors report larger effects for younger and larger firms. The authors also report estimates on the effects across the intensity of public support. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | N/A | |
MACRO IMPACT | The authors find positive outcomes of the programme on employment. The authors report larger effects for younger and larger firms. The authors also report estimates on the effects across the intensity of public support. | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors have presented results to the government and discussed the evaluation in the U.S. Senate. As a result of the discussion, a Senate bill was introduced to increase loans in manufacturing. |
Table B.16. Publicly funded business advisory services and entrepreneurial outcomes | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B16 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Investment Network Programme administered by the Innovation Synergy Center | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2007-2009 Evaluation period: 2006-2009 Year of the report: 2012 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The main goal of the Investment Network Programme was to pursue entrepreneurial outcomes (i.e. performance and financial resources) in growth- and investment-oriented SMEs through provision of advisory services and counselling. |
Yes | Increased competitiveness, improved access to additional funding | |
EVALUATION THEME | Business advice, coaching, mentoring and counselling | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Soft | |
TARGET GROUPS | Growth-oriented SMEs located in Ontario region | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Cumming and Fischer, 2012[17]). Publicly funded business advisory services and entrepreneurial outcomes. Research Policy, 41(2), 467-481. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2011.09.004 | |
COUNTRY | Canada | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One region study, Ontario region | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Sales, obtaining an angel equity investment, patents, formation of a strategic alliance | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | Yes, 17 supported firms that went out of business are included in the analysis. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data: Data were provided by the Investment Network. 101 treated firms and 127 non-supported (firms that were in touch with the Innovation Synergy Center, but not applied for the programme). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Two-stage Heckman selection model, Tobit regressions, Instrumental variables (IV) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects in t+1 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 5 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. The analysis contains a wide range of control variables, including characteristics of the top management team. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find a positive impact of the programme on sales, patents, obtaining an angel equity investment and on formation of a strategic alliance. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The programme costs were totalled at 662 360 USD. The authors calculated that financing raised per dollar of cost at only 0.10 USD. Given that, the authors consider the programme to be cost-efficient. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors have presented the results to the Ontario Government and proposed several changes to the scheme, however, these changes were in the end voted out. |
Table B.17. Supplier development programmes and firm performance: Evidence from Chile | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B17 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Chile Supplier Development Programme (Programa de Desarrollo de Proveedores - PDP) administered by the economic development agency CORFO. | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 1998-ongoing Evaluation period: 1998-2008 Year of the report: 2013 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to promote, improve and stabilise mutually beneficial, long-term commercial relationships between large buyer firms — potential exporters — and their SME suppliers to increase competitiveness through tax-deductible expenses from corporate income tax. Eligible projects included purchases of specialised services, management training, technical assistance, advice and technology transfer services. |
Yes | Increased competitiveness, more intense cooperation between SMEs and large companies | |
EVALUATION THEME | Business advice, coaching, mentoring and counselling; Enterprise skills and culture | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Soft | |
TARGET GROUPS | SMEs in Chile, evaluation focused on all firms in the agribusiness sector | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Arráiz, Henríquez and Stucchi, 2013[18]). Supplier development programs and firm performance: evidence from Chile. Small Business Economics, 41(1), 277-293. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-012-9428-x | |
COUNTRY | Chile | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Firm sustainability (positive sales), sales, export orientation (exporting), employment and wages | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data: Firm-level data from the Chilean tax administration agency (Servicios de Impuestos Internos - SII) and programme data from CORFO agency. The effects were estimated separately for sponsoring firms (large firms) and SMEs. There were 1 811 supported SMEs and 6 347 non-applicant SMEs, and 92 sponsoring firms and 9 916 non-applicant large firms. | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+3 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of industry bias and area bias. It is an interesting evaluation indicating programme outcomes across two different groups of beneficiaries. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find that both groups of firms (SMEs and large sponsor firms) benefited from the programme´s coordination efforts. The results show that SMEs improved their sales, employment, wages and sustainability, while large firms increased their sales and export orientation. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The programme expenditures during the years 2005-2008 were about 42.3 mil. USD. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors have presented evaluation results to the government, but they are not aware of any specific resulting policy change. |
Table B.18. Assessing the effectiveness of guided preparation for new venture creation and performance: Theory and practice | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B18 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | North Jutland Entrepreneurial Network (NiN) Programme | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2002-2006 Evaluation period: 2002-2008 Year of the report: 2012 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The main goal of the NiN programme is to guide and assist individuals engaged in the creation of a new venture as their primary occupation through the allocation of soft business support such as counselling and advisory. The programme offered three levels of counselling, including counselling provided by the local business centre (I), counselling with private-sector advisors (II), and extended counselling during the start-up with private-sector start-up consultants (III). |
Yes | Increase in start-ups, higher survival rates of new businesses | |
EVALUATION THEME | Business advice, coaching, mentoring and counselling | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Soft | |
TARGET GROUPS | All SMEs located in North Jutland County except entrepreneurs doing business in agriculture, fisheries, fur and forestry | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Rotger, Gørtz and Storey, 2012[19]). Assessing the effectiveness of guided preparation for new venture creation and performance: Theory and practice. Journal of Business Venturing, 27(4), 506-521. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusvent.2012.01.003 | |
COUNTRY | Denmark | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One region study, North Jutland County, Denmark | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Survival, employment, numbers of firms with 20% growth in employment or sales | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | Yes, firm-survival is the main outcome variable. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and survey data: The authors used programme data that were combined with administrative data from the Statistical Office of Denmark. Financial data available until 2006, survival data available until 2008. The authors worked with three treated groups of firms supported during 2002-2005. They divided them according to the intensity of support received. The control group was firms receiving a lower level of support. The numbers of treated firms are reported as follows: 932 enterprises supported by Level I (1 124 enterprises supported in total); 1 165 enterprises supported by Level II (1 541 enterprises supported in total), and 1 072 enterprises supported by Level III (1,525 enterprises supported in total). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) with a difference-in-differences approach The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+3 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 5 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. However, no group of non-applicant firms is used as an additional control group. Supported firms in cohorts 2002-2003, and 2004-2005 are analysed separately. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find a positive impact of the programme on firm survival. The authors also report mostly positive effects on employment, turnover and growth. However, some of the coefficients were statistically insignificant. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated through the programmes was approximately 1 mil. USD. in 2009. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors have presented the results to policymakers. However, they are not aware of any specific policy changes driven by their evaluation. |
Table B.19. The effect of business coaching on New Technology Based Firms: Survival–findings and lessons learned from a randomized controlled trial | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B19 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Business coaching programme for new technology-based firms | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2016-2017 Evaluation period: 2016-2017 Year of the report: 2019 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to increase survival rates of new technology-based firms through the facilitation of tactical business coaching. |
Yes | Increased firm survival, increase in entrepreneurial skills | |
EVALUATION THEME | Business advice, coaching, mentoring and counselling | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Soft | |
TARGET GROUPS | New technology-based firms | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article published in conference proceedings: (Ungerer et al., 2019[20]). The Effect of Business Coaching on NTBF Survival–Findings and Lessons Learned from a Randomized Controlled Trial. In Pallot, A., Zarli, A., Razek, A., R., A., Lecossier, A. (Eds.). 2019 IEEE International Conference on Engineering, Technology and Innovation (ICE/ITMC), 1-10. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1109/ICE.2019.8792604 | |
COUNTRY | Germany | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One region study, experiment conducted in Baden-Wuerttemberg state | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Firm survival, business scale-up | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | Yes, this is the main outcome variable | |
DATA SOURCES | Survey data: Data were collected from a survey among participants. 36 treated firms (101 supported in total) and 57 non-supported firms. | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Randomized controlled trial (RCT) The research team initially allocated firms randomly into treatment and control groups. However, after the experiment started, they did not manage to fulfil their initial selection and thus, the original samples were combined. The authors estimate effects in t+1 year | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 3 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | The analysis intended to tackle the issue of area and selection bias through conducting a randomized controlled trial. However, the study relies only on survey data and the authors fail in meeting implied analytical assumptions as they did not manage to control the firm distribution, i.e. to carry out the treatment to the firms according to the initial randomization into groups. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors do not find conclusive effects on firm survival. The authors provide a valuable lesson on the procedures of a randomized controlled trial. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated through both programmes was 500 mil. EUR. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors have presented the results to the Nesta, an organization that funded the RCT and that generally supports the execution of experiments in the field of business. The organisation may use the results to improve instructions for future studies, however, the authors are not familiar with the specific outcomes. |
Table B.20. The impact of consulting services on small and medium enterprises: Evidence from a randomized trial in Mexico | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B20 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Business counselling services for SMEs in Puebla region | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2008-2009 Evaluation period: 2005-2014 Year of the report: 2018 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to expand the managerial skills of the owners/managers of SMEs by giving them access to subsidised consulting and mentoring services. |
Yes | Better firm performance, increase in entrepreneurial and managerial skills | |
EVALUATION THEME | Business advice, coaching, mentoring and counselling | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Soft | |
TARGET GROUPS | SMEs | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Bruhn, Karlan and Schoar, 2018[21]). The impact of consulting services on small and medium enterprises: Evidence from a randomized trial in Mexico. Journal of Political Economy, 126(2), 635-687. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1086/696154 | |
COUNTRY | Mexico | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One region study, experiment conducted in Puebla region | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, total factor productivity, return on assets (ROA), wages, managerial and entrepreneurial skills | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Survey and administrative data: Data were obtained via follow-up survey and from administrative data on employment and wages from the Mexican Social Security Institute (IMSS). 150 treated firms and 282 non-supported firms. | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Randomized controlled trial (RCT) Programme applicants were randomly allocated into treatment and control groups. The authors estimate effects from t+1 to t+5 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | The analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias through conducting a randomized controlled trial (RCT). The RCT was conducted in a very transparent way. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects on total factor productivity, return on assets, wages, employment and entrepreneurial skills. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The average cost of the consulting services was 11 856 USD per firm. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors presented the results to the government, but the unit that implemented the programme was later shut down for reasons unrelated to the programme, so they did not have a chance to continue or modify the programme. |
Table B.21. Broader or deeper? Exploring the most effective intervention profile for public small business support | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B21 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Business Link Programme | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2003 Evaluation period: 2003-2005 Year of the report: 2011 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The Business Link Programme aimed to improve performance of small businesses in the UK through the allocation of soft business support, such as counselling and advisory services. The programme recipients received different types and intensities of soft support from the local Business Link Organisations and their partner organisations. |
Yes | Better firm performance, increase in skills of management and employees | |
EVALUATION THEME | Business advice, coaching, mentoring and counselling | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Soft | |
TARGET GROUPS | SMEs in the UK | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Mole et al., 2011[22]). Broader or deeper? Exploring the most effective intervention profile for public small business support. Environment and Planning A, 43(1), 87-105. Available at:https://doi.org/10.1068/a43268 | |
COUNTRY | United Kingdom | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, sales, sales revenue per employee | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Survey and administrative data: Data were obtained via follow-up survey, from the Dun and Bradstreet UK database and from the government’s Small Business Service (SBS). A randomly selected sample of 2 296 supported firms and 1 152 non-supported firms in 2003. 1 130 firms received intensive support and 1 166 firms received less intensive support. | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Two-stage Heckman selection model The authors estimate effects in t+1.5 (18 months) | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | The analysis tackles the issue of selection bias. However, it does not reflect the regional dimension of support recipients. The results are weighted across survey sampling. The authors report results across the intensity (less vs more intense) and type of public support (managed brokerage, light-touch brokerage, pipeline forcing, managed brokerage pipeline forcing). | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find a positive impact of the intensive support on employment and sales growth, and a negative impact of less intensive support on sales per employee. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The authors report that the average costs per company supported were 527.63 GBP. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors have presented results to the government and the evaluation was used to adjust the Business Link Programme in the shape of the new Growth Accelerator Programme. |
Table B.22. The effect of grant receipt on start-up size: Evidence from plant level data | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B22 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Grants for industrial development allocated by the Industrial Development Agency (IDA) and by Forbairt, Ireland | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 1970-ongoing Evaluation period: 1972-2000 Year of the report: 2010 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to increase employment through investment subsidies (i.e. grants for industrial development) allocated to start-ups (new firms) in manufacturing. |
Yes | Increase in employment | |
EVALUATION THEME | Internationalisation; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | New start-ups (plants) in manufacturing | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Girma et al., 2010[23]). The effect of grant receipt on start-up size: Evidence from plant level data. Journal of International Entrepreneurship, 8(4), 371-391. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10843-010-0061-y | |
COUNTRY | Ireland | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | Yes, 10% of all start-ups had already closed down by the second year. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and survey data: Data were provided by Forfás, the Irish policy and advisory board and by the Industrial Development Agency (IDA). 3 409 firms supported during 1972-2000 (of 3 901 firms supported in total during 1972-2000), 1 144 non-supported firms (non-applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach, ordinary least squares (OLS) and quantile regressions The authors estimate firm-level effects in t+1 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and industry bias. Effects across firm size are reported. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects of the programme on employment. They find greater effects for foreign firms when compared to domestic firms. They also found heterogeneous effects across the firm size. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The authors report that the average costs per company supported were 553 286 EUR. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | N/A |
Table B.23. Entrepreneurship policy and firm performance Chile’s CORFO seed capital programme | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B23 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Chile’s CORFO Seed Capital Programme | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2001-ongoing Evaluation period: 2008-2013 Year of the report: 2018 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme targets innovative, dynamic projects that would not otherwise be able to start up or grow. Beneficiaries receive a subsidy from CORFO agency to create and develop new innovative firms with high growth potential. The programme aims to boost start-ups’ sales and their ability to obtain external funding. |
Yes | Higher economic growth, increase in the number of high-growth start-ups | |
EVALUATION THEME | Innovation; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | New high-growth oriented start-ups from Chile | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Navarro, 2018[24]). Entrepreneurship policy and firm performance Chile’s CORFO Seed Capital Program. Estudios de Economía, 45(2), 301-316. Available at: https://estudiosdeeconomia.uchile.cl/index.php/EDE/article/view/51345/53731 | |
COUNTRY | Chile | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | New business formation, firm survival, increase in sales | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | Yes, firm survival is one of the outcome variables. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data: Data were obtained from the CORFO agency. 376 projects supported during 2008-2012, 167 non-supported projects (rejected applicants). However, the authors acknowledge that initially there were 629 projects applying for the funding. | |
STEP LEVEL | 5 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Ordinary least squares (OLS) regressions The authors estimate firm-level effects in t+1 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 2 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | The analysis does not fully tackle the issue of area and industry bias as the number of control variables is limited. A control group of non-applicants is not included in the analysis. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects of the programme on the new business formation, firm survival and sales growth. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The average amount of public resources allocated to the recipients of the programme was 67 000 USD. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The author has presented results to the Chilean development agency and based on his recommendations, the policymakers focused more on the selection of the projects, when allocating public support. |
Table B.24. Retaining winners: Can policy boost high-growth entrepreneurship? | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B24 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Finnish Governmental National Technology Agency’s (TEKES) programme NIY (Finnish acronym for young innovative growth companies) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2008-2012 Evaluation period: 2006-2013 Year of the report: 2016 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to support young innovative and high-growth-oriented firms. |
Yes | Increase in number of fast-growing young ventures, increase in high-growth-oriented firms | |
EVALUATION THEME | Innovation; Business advice, coaching, mentoring and counselling | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard & Soft | |
TARGET GROUPS | Young Finnish innovative ventures | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Autio and Rannikko, 2016[25]). Retaining winners: Can policy boost high-growth entrepreneurship?. Research policy, 45(1), 42-55. Available at:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2015.06.002 | |
COUNTRY | Finland | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Sales | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and survey data: Data were obtained from National Technology Agencys (TEKES), from official statistics of financial records and other surveys. 56 firms supportedduring 2008-2010 in Sweden (of 160 firms supported in total), 101 non-supported Finnish firms (non-applicants) and (rejected applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) with a difference-in-differences approach The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+3 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find that supported companies reported higher growth in sales by 120 percentage points compared to non-supported firms. Using multiplication analysis, the authors find that one Euro of public funding had generated 1.11 Euro of surplus sales growth (beyond trend growth) by 2013. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | 641.5 ths. EUR per supported venture (102.64 mil. EUR in total) allocated through the Finnish Government's National Technology Agency during 2008-2012 in Finland. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The results were presented to the government and disseminated to relevant stakeholders in Finland. |
Table B.25. Can grants to consortia spur innovation and science-industry collaboration? Regression-discontinuity evidence from Poland | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B25 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Polish In-Tech programme on science-industry collaboration, research and innovation, and product commercialisation | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2012-2013 Evaluation period: 2012-2016 Year of the report: 2017 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The objective of the programme was to enhance the innovation activity of Polish enterprises through the allocation of innovation subsidies. The innovation subsidies were distributed by Poland’s National Centre for Research and Development (NCBiR) to partnership projects submitted by a team of a firm and a partner research institution (e. g. university). |
Yes | Increase in innovation activity | |
EVALUATION THEME | Innovation | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Technology-oriented firms in Poland aiming to improve their innovation capacities | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Working paper: (Bruhn and McKenzie, 2019[26]). Can grants to consortia spur innovation and science-industry collaboration? Regression-discontinuity evidence from Poland. The World Bank Policy Research Working Series, Paper No. 7934. Available at: https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/25943/WPS7934.pdf?sequence=1 | |
COUNTRY | Poland | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Patent application, publication of a scientific article, citations, development of new industrial design, prototype, product, process, commercialisation of a new product/process, share of sales from new products/processes, new collaboration, commercialisation index, research and innovation index, collaboration index | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No. | |
DATA SOURCES | Survey and administrative data: Programme data obtained from the National Center for Research and Development (NCBiR) and from the follow-up survey. 158 firms supported by the programme (164 firms were supported in total) and 301 non-supported firms (rejected applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Regression discontinuity design (RDD) The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+2.5 to t+3.5 (years) | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | The analysis tackles the issue of area and industry bias. Most of the outcome variables are measured through a results of survey. Wide range of outcome variables. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find that the programme improved science-industry collaboration, increased the probability of applying for a patent and probability of publishing an academic article, and they also report positive effects on the commercialisation of new products/processes (including sales). | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The average amount of public resources allocated to the recipients of the programme was 660 000 USD. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors presented the results to the government, and report that the representatives of the public administration said that their evaluation contributed to encouragement of evidence-based innovation policy design in Poland. The evaluation was further used to support an extension of programmes focusing on innovation grants, R&D grants, and science and technology grants provided by NCBiR. |
Table B.26. Do selected firms show higher performance? The case of Portugal’s innovation subsidy | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B26 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Portuguese Innovation Incentive System (SI Innovation), an instrument of the National Strategic Reference Framework (NSRF), included in the Operational Programme for Competitiveness Factors (COMPETE) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2007-2013 Evaluation period: 2006-2016 Year of the report: 2019 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to promote innovation in the business sector, support firms’ progression in the value chain, their orientation to international markets, and stimulate qualified entrepreneurship and investments in new areas with growth potential. |
Yes | Increased innovation, increased competitiveness | |
EVALUATION THEME | Innovation | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | New and established firms with innovation potential operating in Portugal | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Santos, 2019[27]). Do selected firms show higher performance? The case of Portugals innovation subsidy. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 50, 39-50. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2019.04.003 | |
COUNTRY | Portugal | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, sales, EBITDA, gross value added (GVA), labour productivity, total factor productivity (TFP), value creation, tangible fixed assets, patent stock | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and commercial data: Firm-level data from the Amadeus database (Bureau van Dijk), in combination with data from the Portuguese National Institute of Statistics (INE) and the Information System of the Portuguese NSRF Incentive Systems. 134 firms supported by soft loans (of about 2 600 firms supported in total) and 186 non-supported firms (rejected applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 5 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+4 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 3 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of industry bias and area bias. Long-term effects are analysed. Representation of treated firms is, however, rather small. An additional control group of non-applicants is missing. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The evaluation finds positive effects on investments, sales, technological progress and job creation, however, negative effects on labour productivity and value creation. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated through SI Innovation was 2 000 mil. EUR. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The author has sent the results to the government officials in charge of European Union funding. |
Table B.27. The impact of government-supported participative loans on the growth of entrepreneurial ventures | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B27 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | EBT and PYME participative loans (loan contracts) programmes allocated by the governmental agency Empresa Nacional de Innovacin (ENISA). | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2005-2011 Evaluation period: 2005-2014 Year of the report: 2019 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 Young ventures were supported by two programmes, the PYME programme that aimed to support high-growth entrepreneurial ventures and the EBT programme that supported high-technology firms. |
Yes | Improved access to finance, increased competitiveness | |
EVALUATION THEME | Innovation; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Young entrepreneurial SMEs in Spain | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Bertoni, Martí and Reverte, 2019[28]). The impact of government-supported participative loans on the growth of entrepreneurial ventures. Research Policy, 48(1), 371-384. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2018.09.006 | |
COUNTRY | Spain | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, sales, survival rate | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | Yes, it is one of the outcome variables. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and accounting data:Accounting data (source not reported) and administrative data obtained from a governmental agency ENISA. 512 firms established after 2003 that received a participative loan from ENISA between 2005 and 2011 (of 293 firms supported by EBT and 466 firms supported by PYME in total) and a control group of 9 050 firms founded in Spain between 2003 and 2011 (randomly selected). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach and 2-stage least squares (2SLS), GMM, fixed effects and OLS regressions The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+2 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 5 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of industry bias and area bias. Many different evaluation methods (PSM + DID, 2SLS regressions, dynamic panel regressions) are used. Separate effects for young, small and high-tech firms, intensity of public support and during the financial crisis are reported. The authors analyse together the EBT and PYME schemes and programmes. Separate results across programmes are not reported. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects on employment and sales. The effects are larger for high-tech, young and small entrepreneurial ventures and for those that received a participative loan during the global financial crisis. The evaluation failed to find a statistically significant effect on survival rates. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated through both programmes during 2005-2011 was 263.5 mil. EUR. | |
MACRO IMPACT | The authors estimate that one mil. EUR invested in participative loans generates 12 114.7 jobs and 1 091.97 mil. EUR in sales. | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The evalution was presented to the ENISA institution and to other high-rank officials of the government. It served to endorse the evaluated schemes as well as a new scheme for young entrepreneurs that started as a pilot programme in 2010. |
Table B.28. Inside the black box of outcome additionality: Effects of early-stage government subsidies on resource accumulation and new venture performance | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B28 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | VINN NU (Win Now) programme operated by the Swedish Governmental Agency for Innovation Systems (VINNOVA) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2002-2008 Evaluation period: 2001-2011 Year of the report: 2015 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 3 The programme aimed to support new innovative and high-growth-oriented firms. |
Yes | Increase in number of new and innovative start-ups, increase in number of high-growth-oriented firms | |
EVALUATION THEME | Innovation; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | New Swedish innovative ventures | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Söderblom et al., 2015[29]). Inside the black box of outcome additionality: Effects of early-stage government subsidies on resource accumulation and new venture performance. Research Policy, 44(8), 1501-1512. Available at:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2015.05.009 | |
COUNTRY | Sweden | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, equity, sales | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | Yes, 13% of the sample went out of business. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data: Data were obtained from Swedish Governmental Agency for Innovation Systems (VINNOVA). 130 firms supportedduring 2002-2008 in Sweden (100% of population), 154 non-supported firms from Sweden (rejected applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) with a difference-in-differences approach The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+7 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 5 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects on employment, sales and external equity funding. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | 28 ths. EUR per supported venture (3.64 mil. EUR in total) allocated through Swedish Governmental Agency for Innovation Systems during 2002-2008 in Sweden. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The results from the study were presented on several occasions to government representatives and other policymakers, including Swedish Governmental Agency for Innovation Systems (VINNOVA). VINNOVA launched a new and more extensive programme, Innovative Startups, replacing the programme the study investigated, and the study had some impact on that decision. |
Table B.29. Impact of Swiss technology policy on firm innovation performance: an evaluation based on a matching approach | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B29 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Swiss innovation policy administered by the Commission of Technology and Innovation (CTI) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2000-2002 Evaluation period: 2000-2004 Year of the report: 2010 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The objective of the programme was to enhance the innovation activity of Swiss enterprises through the allocation of innovation subsidies. The innovation subsidies are distributed to partnership projects that have been submitted by a team of firm and a partner research institution (e. g. university). |
Yes | Increase in innovation activity | |
EVALUATION THEME | Innovation; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Technology-oriented firms in Switzerland aiming to improve their innovation capacities | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Arvanitis, Donzé and Sydow, 2010[30]). Impact of Swiss technology policy on firm innovation performance: an evaluation based on a matching approach. Science and Public Policy, 37(1), 63-78. Available at: https://doi.org/10.3152/030234210X491623 | |
COUNTRY | Switzerland | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Share of sales from new products, share of sales from new markets worldwide, percentage increase in sales, percentage reduction of average variable production costs due to the innovation process, economic importance of the innovations introduced, technical importance of the innovations introduced | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No. | |
DATA SOURCES | Survey and administrative data: Firm-level data obtained from the Commission of Technology and Innovation (CIT). 199 firms supported by the programme (307 firms were supported in total) and 996 non-supported firms (non-applicants) that participated in the Swiss Innovation Survey 2002 and reported the introduction of innovations in the period 2000-2002. | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+2 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | The analysis tackles the issue of area and industry bias. Most of the outcome variables are measured through a results survey and two of them as ordinary variables. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find that the programme improved the innovation performance of supported firms with respect to six different measures of innovation performance. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated the programme during the years 2000-2002 was 120 mil. Swiss francs (CHF). | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The results were presented to the Commission of Technology and Innovation (CTI) and the study encouraged usage of econometric methods for programme evaluation for projects financed by the CTI. |
Table B.30. Evaluating effectiveness of public support to business R&D in Türkiye through concepts of input and output additionality | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B30 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | The TUBITAK-TEYDEB Public R&D Programme administered by the Scientific and Technological Research Council of Türkiye (TUBITAK) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 1995-ongoing Evaluation period: 2003-2006 Year of the report: 2011 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The objective of the programme was to enhance the international competitiveness of industrial companies in Turkey by means of higher R&D and innovation expenditures. |
Yes | Increase in innovation activity, increased competitiveness | |
EVALUATION THEME | Innovation; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Technology-oriented firms in Türkiye aiming to improve their innovation capacities | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic working paper: (Tandogan and Pamukcu, 2011[31]). Evaluating effectiveness of public support to business R&D in Turkey through concepts of input and output additionality. Economic Research Forum Working Paper 593, The Economic Research Forum (ERF), Egypt. Available at: http://erf.org.eg/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/593.pdf | |
COUNTRY | Türkiye | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | R&D intensity, R&D expenditures per employee, share of R&D personnel, export intensity, import intensity | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No. | |
DATA SOURCES | Survey and administrative data: Firm-level data from the Structural Business Statistics Survey (SBS), Foreign Trade Statistics, General Census of Industry and Establishments and Producers Price Index collected by the Turkish Statistical Institute (Turkstat) and administrative data maintained by the governmental agency TUBITAK. 97 firms supported by the programme in 2004 (326 firms were supported in 2004 in total) and 6 511 non-supported firms (non-applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+2 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | The analysis does not tackle the issue of area bias. It addresses only industry bias. The authors do not include regional variables in the matching regression. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find only a positive change in share of R&D personnel, R&D expenditures per employee and R&D intensity for the programme participants. The effects for the remaining variables were not found to be statistically significant. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated the programme in 2004 was 491 mil. USD. | |
MACRO IMPACT | The authors follow-up on time series of the R&D outcome indicators for the whole country and they assume a positive trend related to the public programme, however, no direct associations are tested. | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors presented the study to the policymakers and stakeholders, however, they are not aware of any specific changes implemented based on their evaluation. |
Table B.31. Boon or boondoggle? Business incubation as entrepreneurship policy | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B31 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Business incubators in the United States. | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 1990-2007 Evaluation period: 1990-2008 Year of the report: 2010 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to support new innovative and high-growth-oriented firms (depending on the type of incubator). |
Yes | Employment growth, increase in the firms survival rates, increase in number of high-growth-oriented firms | |
EVALUATION THEME | Innovation; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard & Soft | |
TARGET GROUPS | New businesses less than 5 years old | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Published doctoral dissertation (Academic): (Amezcua, 2010[32]).Boon or Boondoggle? Business Incubation as Entrepreneurship Policy,ProQuest Dissertations Publishing,Syracuse University. Available at:https://search.proquest.com/docview/874370586?accountid=17203. | |
COUNTRY | United States | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Survival, sales, employment | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | Yes, survival is one of the outcome variables. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and survey data: Data were obtained from a panel of demographic information on business incubators from the National Business Incubation Association, and from the National Establishment Time-Series Database (NETS). 18 426 firms incubated firms (from 65 incubators), 28 346 non-incubated firms. | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) with a difference-in-differences approach,generalized method of moments (GMM) regressions,Hausman-Taylor generalized IV regressions The author estimates firm-level effects from t+1 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 5 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The results show that incubated firms have a slightly lower survival rate, but slightly higher employment and sales growth than non-incubated firms. The evaluation finds that firms from university-sponsored incubators report better results compared to other incubators. The results also show that tenants of profit-oriented incubators outperform firms from non-profit incubators. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | N/A | |
MACRO IMPACT | The author predicted annual growths of survival, sales and employment for the population of incubated and non-incubated firms. The prediction shows, based on employment and sales performance, that incubation generally has a positive effect but there are net losses in employment and sales for the incubated group. Firms in incubation are better off than had they not been incubated, but they are still more likely to fail and not grow. | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | N/A |
Table B.32. Counterfactual impact evaluation on EU cohesion policy interventions in training in companies | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B32 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | The Human Resources and Employment Operational Programme (HREOP), Czech Republic | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2007-2013 Evaluation period: 2008-2012 Year of the report: 2016 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to support the competitiveness of companies through the development of professional knowledge, competence and improvement in the qualification of employees. Supported companies benefitted from various training activities. These were especially focused on modern management methods and human resource management. |
Yes | Higher firm performance, increase in employee and management skills | |
EVALUATION THEME | Enterprise skills and culture | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Soft | |
TARGET GROUPS | Firms in the Czech Republic | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Potluka et al., 2016[33]). Counterfactual Impact Evaluation on EU Cohesion Policy Interventions in Training in Companies. Ekonomicky Casopis, 64(6), 575-595. Available at: https://www.ceeol.com/search/article-detail?id=443303 | |
COUNTRY | Czech Republic | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data: Data were collected from the programme monitoring system Monit7+ and from the Czech Statistical Office (CZSO). 373 treated firms supported during 2009-2012 (of 1 447 firms supported in total), 202 non-supported firms (of 1 183 rejected applicants in total). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Instrumental variables (IV) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects in t+1 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors do not find statistically significant positive effects on employment. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated through trainings to the firms was 618 mil. EUR. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The results were presented at the Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs for the relevant stakeholders. The authors recommended to the Ministry representatives to focus training support on smaller firms and only on hard skills. These recommendations were adopted by the Ministry in the subsequent programming period. Specifically training activities focusing on soft skills have been removed from the eligible list of training activities. |
Table B.33. The impact of entrepreneurship education on entrepreneurship skills and motivation | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B33 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Junior Achievement Young Enterprise student mini-company (SMC) programme coordinated by the Jong Ondernemen Association | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2005 Evaluation period: 2005-2006 Year of the report: 2010 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to improve (build) entrepreneurial competences, skills and intentions of young students through the student mini-company (SMC) programme. The students were involved in the development of a small-sized and short-duration business from its early establishment supported by one or two advisers from the business world. |
Yes | Higher entrepreneurial competences, skills and intentions of students | |
EVALUATION THEME | Enterprise skills and culture | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Soft | |
TARGET GROUPS | University students in areas of management, economics and law | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Oosterbeek, van Praag and Ijsselstein, 2010[34]). The impact of entrepreneurship education on entrepreneurship skills and motivation. European Economic Review, 54(3), 442-454. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2009.08.002. | |
COUNTRY | Netherlands (However, the programme operates worldwide) | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study, the evaluation focused on the three locations of one University (AVANS Hogeschool) | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Entrepreneurial competences and intentions (validated scales) measured as need for achievement, need for autonomy, need for power, social orientation, self efficacy, endurance, risk taking propensity, market awareness, creativity, flexibility | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No. | |
DATA SOURCES | Survey data: Data were collected via non-anonymous surveys at the presences of staff and lecturers. 104 students that participated in the programme (189 students participated in total), 146 non-supported students (non-participants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 5 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach A difference-in-differences (DID) approach and a DID combined with an instrumental variables (IV) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects in t+1 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. However, the control variables do not include student´s home town´s (regional) variables. Effects across gender are reported. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find that students’ self-assessed entrepreneurial skills (and traits) did not improve after the participation in the programme and the effect of the programme on entrepreneurial intentions was found to be negative. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | N/A | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | N/A |
Table B.34. The effect of a tax training programme on tax compliance and business outcomes of starting entrepreneurs: Evidence from a field experiment | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B34 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Netherlands' Tax and Customs Administration (NTCA) tax training programme | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2008-2009 Evaluation period: 2008-2012 Year of the report: 2019 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The training programme aimed to increase tax compliance of newly established entrepreneurs and to improve their business outcomes as a result of more efficient dealing with tax authorities and business legislation. |
Yes | Increased tax compliance, higher firm performance | |
EVALUATION THEME | Enterprise culture and skills | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Soft | |
TARGET GROUPS | New first-time entrepreneurs | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Nagel et al., 2019[35]). The effect of a tax training program on tax compliance and business outcomes of starting entrepreneurs: Evidence from a field experiment. Journal of Business Venturing, 34(2), 261-283. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusvent.2018.10.006 | |
COUNTRY | Netherlands | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study, the programme took place in East Netherlands | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Firm survival, profit, business costs, filing tax return correct, complete and in time, and paying the amount of taxes due in time, bookkeeping skills | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | Yes, it is one of the outcome variables. | |
DATA SOURCES | Survey and administrative data: Data were collected via surveys and from the Netherlands' Tax and Customs Administration. 352 new entrepreneurs that participated in the programme, 466 non-supported entrepreneurs (non-participants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Randomized controlled trial (RCT) Programme applicants were randomly allocated into treatment and control groups. The authors estimate effects from t+1 to t+3 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 5 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias through conducting a randomized controlled trial (RCT). The RCT was conducted in a very transparent way. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects on profit due to different handling of business costs and some areas of tax compliant behaviour, however, they find no impact on firm survival. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | N/A | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The study examined one of the changes within the NTCA’s strategy and was presented to and discussed with the NTCA. The results of the study led to continuation of the training programme in an adapted version. |
Table B.35. The impact of employees' and managers' training on the performance of small‐and medium‐sized enterprises: Evidence from a randomized natural experiment in the UK service sector | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B35 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Business Innovation and Skills (BIS) training programme | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2002-2003 Evaluation period: 2002-2006 Year of the report: 2016 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to expand the skills of the employees and the general management and human resource management skills of owners/managers of SMEs, through the allocation of business training activities (i.e. employee training, human resource management training, and manager training). |
Yes | Higher firm performance, increase in skills of management and employees | |
EVALUATION THEME | Enterprise skills and culture; Business advice, coaching, mentoring and counselling | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Soft | |
TARGET GROUPS | SMEs in the UK service sector | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Georgiadis and Pitelis, 2016[36]). The impact of employees' and managers' training on the performance of small-and medium-sized enterprises: Evidence from a randomized natural experiment in the UK service sector. British Journal of Industrial Relations, 54(2), 409-421. Available at:https://doi.org/10.1111/bjir.12094 | |
COUNTRY | United Kingdom | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Profit margin, sales revenue per employee | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Survey data: Data were obtained via follow-up survey. The final sample consisted of 430 firms responding to the survey, out of which 287 firms received at least one training activity (845 firms received at least one training activity in total) and 143 represented the control group (the initial size of the control group was 480 firms). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Randomized controlled trial (RCT) Programme applicants were randomly allocated into treatment and control groups. The authors estimate effects in t+2 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias through conducting a randomized controlled trial (RCT). The analysis relies on survey data. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors generally find positive effects on profit margin and sales revenue per employee for firms participating in at least one training activity. However, the authors also study the effects of different training activities, and there the effects vary across the type of training. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | N/A | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors are not aware of any policy impact of the evaluation. |
Table B.36. Behind the GATE experiment: Evidence on effects of and rationales for subsidized entrepreneurship training | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B36 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Project Growing America through Entrepreneurship (GATE) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2003-2005 Evaluation period: 2003-2005 Year of the report: 2015 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 GATEs objective was to help emerging entrepreneurs in rural and urban communities to establish their own business. The programme randomly offered free entrepreneurship training to individuals (applicants) interested in starting or improving their established business. |
Yes | Increase in start-ups, increase in entrepreneurial skills | |
EVALUATION THEME | Enterprise skills and culture | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Soft | |
TARGET GROUPS | Individuals interested in starting or improving their business, focused mainly on unemployed individuals | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Fairlie, Karlan and Zinman, 2015[37]). Behind the GATE experiment: Evidence on effects of and rationales for subsidized entrepreneurship training. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 7(2), 125-61. Available at:https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20120337 | |
COUNTRY | United States | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study, training is offered at seven sites in three states | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Business start-up, household income, employment, sales | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | Yes, 20% firms went out of business. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data and survey data: Data were obtained from the US Department of Labor and the Small Business Administration (SBA) and from a survey among participants 2 094 participants and 2 103 non-participants (applicants) | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Randomized controlled trial (RCT) Programme coordinators randomized applicants to treatment or control with equal probability The authors estimate effects (Difference-in-Differences DID) in t+6, t+18 and t+60 months | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 5 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive short-term effects on business start-up, but the effects mitigated in the long-run. The authors do not find positive effects on business performance. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | Total costs of providing training to GATE recipients were estimated as 1 321 USD per person (approximately 2 766 ths. USD). The authors conclude that the programme was not cost-efficient. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The results were presented to the representatives of the U.S. Small Business Administration. Because of the findings, the U.S. Department of Labor asked for help in designing a new pilot programme, which included some of the recommendations the authors made. In particular, it provides a small amount of seed capital and targets only individuals with previous experience in the same industry as the proposed business. The pilot programme is under evaluation. |
Table B.37. The effects of micro-entrepreneurship programmes on labour market performance: experimental evidence from Chile | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B37 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Micro-entrepreneurship Support Programme (MESP) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2002-ongoing Evaluation period: 2010-2014 Year of the report: 2018 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to provide individuals with the skills and capital required to generate income through self-employment by developing their own businesses. The programme targets individuals from extremely poor households who receive start-up subsidy, training and mentoring. |
Yes | Poverty reduction, increase in earnings, increase in start-ups | |
EVALUATION THEME | Inclusive entrepreneurship; Business advice, coaching, mentoring and counselling; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard & Soft | |
TARGET GROUPS | Poor individuals (i.e. beneficiaries of the anti-poverty programme) | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Martínez, Puentes and Ruiz-Tagle, 2018[38]). The effects of micro-entrepreneurship programs on labor market performance: experimental evidence from Chile. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 10(2), 101-24. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1086/696154 | |
COUNTRY | Chile | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One region study, experiment conducted in Santiago Metropolitan Area. | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, earnings | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Survey and administrative data: Data were obtained via follow-up survey and from the administrative data on employment and wages from the Unemployment Insurance (UI) system. There were 689 treated individuals in the MESP programme, and 693 idividuals in the MESP+ programme (receiving an extra subsidy) and 566 individuals in the control group. | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Randomized controlled trial (RCT) Programme applicants were randomly allocated into treatment and control groups. The authors estimate effects from t+2 to t+3 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias through conducting a randomized controlled trial (RCT). The RCT was conducted in a very transparent way. Separate results for MESP and MESP+ programme participants are reported. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects on employment and earnings, however, the effects are decreasing over time in the long run. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The authors conduct cost-benefit analysis of the programme by comparing the total labor income increase to the programme’s direct costs which are 1 200 USD for MESP participants and 1 440 USD for MESP+ participants (1.83 mil. USD in total). They conclude that the programme´s direct benefits exceed the costs. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | Based on the evaluation efforts, the programme has been in operation over time until the present day without significant modification. The programme has been continuously evaluated on an annual basis. |
Table B.38. Long term effect of public subsidies on start-up survival and economic performance: An empirical study with French data | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B38 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | ACCRE start-up support for the unemployed (Aide aux chômeurs créant ou reprenant une entreprise) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 1998 Evaluation period: 1998-2006 Year of the report: 2015 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to activate unemployed individuals through public support (lump-sum payment) and encourage them to become self-employed. |
Yes | Reduction of unemployment, increase in start-ups | |
EVALUATION THEME | Inclusive entrepreneurship; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Unemployed individuals | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Duhautois, Redor and Desiage, 2015[39]). Long Term Effect of Public Subsidies on Start-up Survival and Economic Performance: An Empirical Study with French Data?. Revue d'conomie industrielle, 149(1), 11-41. Available at:https://journals.openedition.org/rei/6063 | |
COUNTRY | France | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Survival | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | Yes, firm survival is the main outcome variable. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and survey data: Data were obtained from the SINE survey, INSEE (the French Institute of Statistics) and from an administrative database FICUS. 1 960 entrepreneurs supported in 1998 in France and 2 643 non-supported entrepreneurs (non-applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) with a difference-in-differences approach The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+8 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 5 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. The authors combine entrepreneur and firm-level data and they study long-term effects of the programme. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find a positive long-term impact of the programme on firm survival. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated through the programme was 700 mil. EUR. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | No. The authors have not presented the results to the government. |
Table B.39. You can go your own way! The long‐term effectiveness of a self‐employment programme for welfare recipients in Germany | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B39 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | German start-up subsidy programme Einstiegsgeld | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2005-ongoing Evaluation period: 2005-2011 Year of the report: 2016 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to activate unemployed individuals through start-up subsidy and encourage them to become self-employed. |
Yes | Reduction of unemployment, increase in start-ups | |
EVALUATION THEME | Inclusive entrepreneurship; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Unemployed individuals | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Wolff, Nivorozhkin and Bernhard, 2016[40]). You can go your own way! The long-term effectiveness of a self-employment programme for welfare recipients in Germany. International Journal of Social Welfare, 25(2), 136-148. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1111/ijsw.12176 | |
COUNTRY | Germany | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Return to unemployment | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data: Data were obtained from the Department of Statistics of the German Federal Employment Agency. 1 206 recepients of start-up subsidy in 2005 (treated) and a control group of 224 641 non-supported individuals (other unemployed individuals). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) The authors estimate individual-level effects from t+2 to t+6 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. The authors provide estimates across German regions and across various individual characteristics. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive and long-term effects on the probability of being employed or self-employed, i. e. economically active (in other words non-returns to unemployment). | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | 169.66 mil. EUR allocated through the programme during 2007-2012 in Germany. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The results of the paper were included in the annual reports of the Institute for Employment Research concerning research on the system of “Basic Income Support for Job-Seekers” (Grundsicherung für Arbeitsuchende). The authors also wrote to inform the German Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs. However, the authors cannot confirm that the government incorporated any of their recommendations. |
Table B.40. New evidence on long-term effects of start-up subsidies: Matching estimates and their robustness | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B40 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | German start-up subsidy (SUS) programme Gründungszuschuss | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2012-ongoing Evaluation period: 2012-2015 Year of the report: 2019 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to activate unemployed individuals through start-up subsidy and encourage them to become self-employed. |
Yes | Reduction of unemployment, increase in start-ups | |
EVALUATION THEME | Inclusive entrepreneurship; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Unemployed individuals | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Caliendo and Tübbicke, 2020[41]). New evidence on long-term effects of start-up subsidies: matching estimates and their robustness. Empirical Economics, (forthcoming). Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-019-01701-9 | |
COUNTRY | Germany | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Self- or regular employment, earnings | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and survey data: Data were obtained from the Integrated Labor Market Biographies (IEB) of the Federal Employment Agency (FEA) and from the follow-up surveys. 1 248 recepients of start-up subsidy in 2012 (20 000 treated indviduals in 2012 in total) and a control group of 1 204 non-supported individuals (other unemployed individuals). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM), instrumental variables (IV) approach The authors estimate individual-level effects in t+20 months and t+40 months | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive and long-term effects on income and the probability of being employed or self-employed, i. e. economically active. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | 268 mil. EUR | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors have not presented their findings to the policymakers. |
Table B.41. The outcome of coaching and training for self-employment. A statistical evaluation of outside assistance support programmes for unemployed business founders in Germany | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B41 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | German start-up subsidy programme Überbrückungsgeld (Bridging Allowance) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 1986-ongoing Evaluation period: 2000-2005 Year of the report: 2015 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to activate unemployed individuals through a start-up subsidy (that could have been combined with coaching and training activities, and with discretionary start-up support) and encourage them to become self-employed. |
Yes | Reduction of unemployment, increase in start-ups | |
EVALUATION THEME | Inclusive entrepreneurship, business advice, coaching, mentoring and counselling, finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard & Soft | |
TARGET GROUPS | Unemployed individuals | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Oberschachtsiek, 2015[42]). The outcome of coaching and training for self-employment. A statistical evaluation of outside assistance support programs for unemployed business founders in Germany. Journal for Labour Market Research, 48(1), 1-25. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12651-014-0161-6 | |
COUNTRY | Germany | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Survival | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | Yes, firm survival is the main outcome variable. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data: Data were obtained from the Integrated Employment Biographies (IEB) and from the Institute for Employment Research of the German Federal Employment Agency. The authors work with the four treated groups of self-employed individuals supported during 2000-2003, and they divide them according to the intensity of support received. The control group is composed of individuals receiving only the start-up subsidy (bridging allowance). The numbers of treated individuals are reported as follows: 209 040 individuals supported by start-up subsidy (of 418 856 individuals supported in total); 1 983 individuals who received an additional training (of 2 131 individuals supported in total), 10 107 individuals who received an extra coaching (of 13 737 individuals supported in total), and 17 790 individuals who received an extra discretionary start-up support (of 30 481 individuals supported in total). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) The authors estimate firm-level effects in t+3 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 5 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. The authors provide estimates across German regions and across gender. Large sample study. However, no group of non-applicant entrepreneurs (or other unemployed individuals) is used as an additional control group. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors do not find conclusive evidence that the extra forms of support (in addition to the start-up subsidy) significantly increase the survival rates of subsidised businesses. The authors find empirical support for this assumption only for some forms of extra support and only in selected regions. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | N/A | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | N/A |
Table B.42. The ambiguous effects of public assistance to youth and female start-ups between job creation and entrepreneurship enhancement | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B42 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Start-up Programme Fare impresa (Doing Business) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2011-2015 Evaluation period: 2011-2015 Year of the report: 2019 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to support youth and female business owners and unemployed individuals starting up in entrepreneurship in their early stages through allocation of soft loans and credit guarantees. |
Yes | Improved access to finance, reduction of unemployment | |
EVALUATION THEME | Inclusive entrepreneurship; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Youth, females, and unemployed individuals, irrespective of age or gender, with reference to a wide range of economic activities in the manufacturing, trade and tourism sectors | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Mariani et al., 2019[43]). The ambiguous effects of public assistance to youth and female start-ups between job creation and entrepreneurship enhancement. Scienze Regionali, 18(2), 237-260. Available at: https://www.rivisteweb.it/doi/10.14650/93649 | |
COUNTRY | Italy | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One region study, programme focused on new businesses in Tuscany region | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, firm survival | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | Yes, firm survival is one of the outcome variables | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data: Programme data and data from the regional job information system obtained from the regional government combined with the data obtained from the Business Register maintained by the Chambers of Commerce. 1 837 firms have received a credit guarantee in total. Out of these, 1 563 firms received, in addition, a subsidised soft loan. Firms that received also a soft loan were considered to be treated (1 563 firms), and the remaining were used as a control group (274 firms). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with survival analysis The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+3 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of industry bias and area bias. Separate estimates for youth and female start-ups are reported. Different kinds of treatment groups are, however, mixed together. An additional control group obtained from the population of non-applying firms is missing. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects on firm survival and, to some extent, on further employment creation. Nevertheless, the positive effect on survival vanishes before the guaranteed loan is fully reimbursed. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | N/A | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | Results were presented to the regional government and also to the wider public in a public event organised by the government. Regional start-up programmes launched after this evaluation offer microcredit in combination with a voucher to buy specialised services from consultants, which could raise managerial abilities and thus improve the quality/prospects of the supported projects. |
Table B.43. Evaluation of the Spanish flat rate for young self-employed workers | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B43 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Social security reduction programme for youth self-employment from unemployment | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2013-ongoing Evaluation period: 2013-2014 Year of the report: 2017 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to activate unemployed individuals and specifically youth through social security contributions deduction and encourage them to become self-employed. |
Yes | Reduction of unemployment, increase in start-ups | |
EVALUATION THEME | Inclusive entrepreneurship; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Unemployed youth individuals | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Cueto, Mayor and Suárez, 2017[44]). Evaluation of the Spanish flat rate for young self-employed workers. Small Business Economics, 49(4), 937-951. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-017-9853-y | |
COUNTRY | Spain | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Firm survival | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | Yes, firm survival is the main outcome variable. | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data: Data were obtained from the Continuous Sample of Working Lives (CSWL, Muestra Continua de Vidas Laborales), an administrative dataset maintained by the Spanish Ministry of Employment and Social Security. 2 927 newly established youth self-employed in 2013 (about 50 000 treated individuals in 2013 in total) and a control group of 6 664 non-supported individuals (other newly established self-employed individuals in 2013). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level survival effects in t+1 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 5 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find no statistically significant effect on firm survival. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | N/A | |
MACRO IMPACT | The programme has significantly contributed to the increase of youth self-employment, as documented by the increase in rates of newly-established self-employed individuals. Nevertheless, this increase was followed by an increase in business closure rates. | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors have presented results to the government and published a newspaper article about the results of the evaluation. However, they are not aware of any specific impact of the evaluation. |
Table B.44. Is starting a business a sustainable way out of unemployment? Treatment effects of the Swedish start-up subsidy | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B44 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | The Swedish Start-up Grants programme (SEP Programme) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 1984 (nowadays) Evaluation period: 2003-2007 Year of the report: 2016 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to activate unemployed individuals through public support (in the form of a non-repayable grant) and encourage them to become self-employed. |
Yes | Reduction of unemployment, increase in start-ups | |
EVALUATION THEME | Inclusive entrepreneurship; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Unemployed individuals | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Behrenz, Delander and Månsson, 2016[45]). Is starting a business a sustainable way out of unemployment? Treatment effects of the Swedish start-up subsidy. Journal of Labor Research, 37(4), 389-411. Available at:https://doi.org/10.1007/s12122-016-9233-4 | |
COUNTRY | Sweden | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Probability of leaving unemployment | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data: Data were obtained from the Swedish Social Insurance Agency. 15 106 entrepreneurs supportedin 2003 in Sweden and a control group of 466 691 unemployed individuals who were not supported by any instrument of active labour market policy (non-applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) with a difference-in-differences approach The authors estimate effects in t+3 and in t+5 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. The authors provide estimates across different levels of education attainment. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find that participation in the programme has increased the probability of leaving unemployment. The results by educational attainment levels showed the largest effects for low educated unemployed. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total programme expenditures were 800 mil. SEK annually from 2003 on and 500 mil. SEK annually from 2007 on (1 EUR = 10.7 SEK). | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The results were presented to representatives of the government (Swedish NAO) and based on the authors’ recommendations, the programme received more funding and expanded from 2016. |
Table B.45. Publicly funded prestart support for new firms: who demands it and how it affects their employment growth | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B45 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Pre-start support via a Funded Business Development Centre (PFBDC) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2002-2005 Evaluation period: 2000-2005 Year of the report: 2011 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to support new business formation in Navarra region. Individuals interested in starting a business could ask for public support for business start-up through a Funded Business Development Centre (PFBDC). Depending on the stage of the business development, they could obtain counselling, training, a place in an incubator or a direct financial subsidy. |
Yes | Increase in start-ups | |
EVALUATION THEME | Regional and local; Business advice, coaching, mentoring and counselling; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard & Soft | |
TARGET GROUPS | New firms in Navarra region | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Capelleras, Contín-Pilart and Larraza-Kintana, 2011[46]). Publicly funded prestart support for new firms: who demands it and how it affects their employment growth. Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, 29(5), 821-847. Available at:https://doi.org/10.1068/c10110b. | |
COUNTRY | Spain | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One region study, programme focused on new businesses in Navarra region | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Survey and administrative data: Survey data collected in 2001 and 2005 in combination with the data collected from the Government of Navarra. 78 firms supported (100% of population), 114 non-supported firms (non-applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Two-stage Heckman selection model The authors estimate firm-level effects in t+5 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and selection bias. Three different kinds of support are analysed and the separate findings are reported. The authors do not report the total number of supported start-ups by the government. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects on employment growth only in the case of soft business support (i.e. knowledge development support), and not in the case of tangible public support. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | N/A | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors have presented the results to the government and to the relevant stakeholders. The outcomes were considered during the establishment of the First Plan for Entrepreneurship in Navarra (I Plan de Emprendimiento de Navarra), which also included entrepreneurship training activities as pointed out by the research study. |
Table B.46. Public investment subsidies and firm performance – Evidence from Germany | ||
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TABLE REFERENCE | B46 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Improving regional economic structures (Verbesserung der regionalen Wirtschaftsstruktur - GRW) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 2007-2013 Evaluation period: 2007-2014 Year of the report: 2018 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 Programme aimed to mitigate regional disparities through investment subsidies allocated to firms. All subsidised investment projects had to generate employment in the region where the project was realised. |
Yes | Increase in employment, wealth and competitiveness | |
EVALUATION THEME | Support in areas of disadvantage; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Firms in East Germany (lagging regions) | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Brachert, Dettmann and Titze, 2018[47]). Public investment subsidies and firm performanceEvidence from Germany. Jahrbcher fr Nationalkonomie und Statistik, 238(2), 103-124. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1515/jbnst-2017-0131 | |
COUNTRY | Germany | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One region study, the evaluation focused on manufacturing firms in Saxony-Anhalt region | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, turnover, gross fixed capital, labour productivity | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Statistical office data and administrative data: Annual surveys provided by the German Research Data Centre within the AFiD database in combination with GRW programme data. 254 firms supported in 2007 in Saxony-Anhalt region (of 1 208 supported in total during 2007-2013), 19 821 non-supported firms from West German regions (no access to funding). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Coarsened exact matching (CEM) in combination with a fixed-effects difference-in-differences (FEDiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+6 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and industry bias. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive short- and medium-run effects on firm employment. The effects on firm turnover remain significant and positive only in the medium-run. Gross fixed capital formation responds positively to GRW funding only during the mean implementation period of the projects but becomes insignificant afterwards. Finally, the effect of GRW funding on labour productivity remains insignificant throughout the whole period of analysis. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | 7.422 billion Euro allocated through GRW during 2007-2013 in Germany,1.377 billion Euro allocated to Saxony-Anhalt region. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The results were presented to the government and disseminated to relevant stakeholders in Germany, but also in the European Commission (Directorate-General for Regional and Urban Policy). The authors say that based on their findings, the Federal State of Thuringia has changed the guidelines on the GRW-funding. The policymakers incorporated the recommendation to make a change in policy goal, i.e. to shift from to the goal of job creation to productivity issues in the funding. |
Table B.47. How are growth and productivity in private firms affected by public subsidy? Evidence from a regional policy | ||
---|---|---|
TABLE REFERENCE | B47 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Regional policy determined by the Law 488/1992 (L.488) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 1996-2007 Evaluation period: 1996-2004 Year of the report: 2011 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to boost private investments in industrial structure development and job creation in less developed regions through the allocation of investment subsidies. |
Yes | Higher competitiveness, increase in employment | |
EVALUATION THEME | Support in areas of disadvantage; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Manufacturing and extractive firms doing business in lagging regions | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Bernini and Pellegrini, 2011[48]). How are growth and productivity in private firms affected by public subsidy? Evidence from a regional policy. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 41(3), 253-265. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2011.01.005 | |
COUNTRY | Italy | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study, the programme focused on manufacturing and extractive firms doing business in lagging regions | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, sales, fixed assets, value added per labour costs, debt costs, total factor productivity (TFP) | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and commercial data: Firm-level data from the AIDA database in combination with the programme data. 574 firms supported by subsidies during 1996-1998 (665 firms were supported in total) and 848 non-supported firms (rejected-applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 5 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Propensity score matching (PSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects in t+1 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and industry bias. The results are not compared with the additional control group of non-applicants and the analysis lacks data for small firms participating in the programme. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects on sales, value added, employment and fixed assets, but negative effects on total factor productivity. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated through subsidies to the firms during 1996-2007 was 23 bil. EUR. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors did not present the results to the government. |
Table B.48. Do subsidies to private capital boost firms' growth? A multiple regression discontinuity design approach | ||
---|---|---|
TABLE REFERENCE | B48 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Regional policy determined by the Law 488/1992 (L.488) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 1996-2007 Evaluation period: 1995-2004 Year of the report: 2014 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to boost private investments in industrial structure development and job creation in less developed regions through the allocation of investment subsidies. |
Yes | Higher competitiveness, increase in employment | |
EVALUATION THEME | Support for disadvantaged areas; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Manufacturing and extractive firms doing business in lagging regions | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Cerqua and Pellegrini, 2014[49]). Do subsidies to private capital boost firms' growth? A multiple regression discontinuity design approach. Journal of Public Economics, 109, 114-126. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2013.11.005 | |
COUNTRY | Italy | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study, the programme focused on manufacturing and extractive firms doing business in lagging regions. Evaluation focused on southern regions. | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, sales, fixed assets, value added per labour costs | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and commercial data: Firm-level data from the AIDA database in combination with programme data from the Ministry of Economic Development. 428 firms supported by subsidies during 1996-1998 in south Italy (1 784 firms were supported in total) and 531 non-supported firms (rejected applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Regression discontinuity design (RDD) The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+6 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and industry bias. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The evaluation finds positive effects on tangible assets, turnover and employment, but insignificant effects on value added per labour costs (labour productivity). | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated through subsidies to the firms during 1996-2007 was 23 bil. EUR. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | N/A |
Table B.49. Industrial policy evaluation in the presence of spillovers | ||
---|---|---|
TABLE REFERENCE | B49 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Regional policy determined by the Law 488/1992 (L.488) | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 1996-2007 Evaluation period: 1995-2001 Year of the report: 2017 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 The programme aimed to boost private investments in industrial structure development and job creation in less developed regions through the allocation of investment subsidies. |
Yes | Higher competitiveness, increase in employment | |
EVALUATION THEME | Support in areas of disadvantage; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Manufacturing and extractive firms doing business in lagging regions | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Cerqua and Pellegrini, 2017[50]). Industrial policy evaluation in the presence of spillovers. Small Business Economics, 49(3), 671-686. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-017-9855-9 | |
COUNTRY | Italy | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, sales, fixed assets, total factor productivity (TFP) | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative and commercial data: Firm-level data from database AIDA, in combination with the programme data. 213 firms supported by subsidies during 1996-1998 (665 firms were supported in total), 693 rejected applicant firms and 1 352 non-supported firms (non-applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Coarsened exact matching (CSM) in combination with a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects from t+1 to t+3 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and industry bias. The authors also report results for firms located around the treated firms to observe possible spillover effects. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects on fixed assets, sales and employment and negative effects on TFP. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | The total amount of public resources allocated through subsidies to the firms during 1996-2007 was 23 bil. EUR. | |
MACRO IMPACT | N/A | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors have not presented results to the government, because the policy under analysis was phased out from 2007 onwards. |
Table B.50. Some causal effects of an industrial policy | ||
---|---|---|
TABLE REFERENCE | B50 | |
PROGRAMME NAME | Regional Selective Assistance (RSA) Programme | |
DATES | Years when the programme was operating: 1972-ongoing Evaluation period: 1997-2004 Year of the report: 2019 (Published) | |
STATED OBJECTIVES Programme goal stated Final objectives available | Yes | Objective specification score: 2 Programme aimed to increase employment through investment subsidies (i.e. grants for industrial development) allocated to firms doing business in manufacturing located in lagging regions. |
Yes | Increase in employment, increase in competitiveness | |
EVALUATION THEME | Support in areas of disadvantage; Finance | |
INTERVENTION TYPE | Hard | |
TARGET GROUPS | Manufacturing firms located in lagging regions | |
SOURCE OF EVIDENCE | Academic article: (Criscuolo et al., 2019[51]). Some causal effects of an industrial policy. American Economic Review, 109(1), 48-85. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20160034 | |
COUNTRY | United Kingdom | |
REGIONAL/LOCAL | One country study, the programme focused on manufacturing firms in lagging regions | |
PERFORMANCE METRICS | Employment, investments, value-added per employee, total factor productivity (TFP) | |
NON-SURVIVORS INCLUDED? | No | |
DATA SOURCES | Administrative data: Data were provided by the UK Census Bureau (Office of National Statistics), Selective Assistance Management Information System (SAMIS) database, the Interdepartmental Business Register (IDBR), and the Annual Respondents Database (ARD). 4 550 firms supported during 1997-2000 (82% of all RSA recipients), 39 308 non-supported firms (non-applicants). | |
STEP LEVEL | 6 | |
METHODS | Panel data approach Instrumental variables (IV) approach The authors estimate firm-level effects in t+3 | |
EVALUATION QUALITY SCORE | 4 | |
RELIABILITY COMMENTS | Analysis tackles the issue of area and industry bias. Effects across firm size are reported. | |
KEY FINDINGS | The authors find positive effects of the programme on employment and investments, but no effects on total factor productivity (TFP). They also found heterogeneous effects across firm sizes. Statistically significant effects are reported for small firms, but smaller or no effects for large firms. | |
PROGRAMME EXPENDITURE | 164 mil. GBP allocated through RSA during 1997-2004. | |
MACRO IMPACT | The authors report the overall increased employment in lagging regions and reduction of unemployment. | |
POLICY IMPACT OF THE EVALUATION | The authors have presented results to UK and European Union (EU) policymakers. The findings of this study have influenced the governance of state aid investments at the EU for large firms. The authors refer to the following two documents: (European Commission, 2014[52]). Common methodology for state aid evaluation. Brussels. Available at: http://ec.europa.eu/competition/state_aid/modernisation/state_aid_evaluation_methodology_en.pdf (European Commission, 2019[53]). Explanatory note on the paper of the services of DG Competition containing draft regional aid guidelines 2014-2020. [online] Available at: http://ec.europa.eu/competition/consultations/2013_regional_aid_guidelines/explanatory_note_en.pdf |
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