2. The double burden of informal employment and low-paying work

Informal employment has been on the policy agenda since around the 1960s. Despite many countries’ numerous commitments to take a proactive stance on informal employment, progress towards the sustainable formalisation of economies is slow. Informal employment is extremely persistent. In contrast, the meagre formalisation gains are often reverted by an array of forces, including national, regional and global crises, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Still today, nearly 2 billion workers, representing close to 60% of the world’s employed population, are in informal jobs (OECD, 2023[1]).

Informal employment is a concern in many countries around the world for a number of reasons. One of the key reasons is that, by definition (Box 2.1), informal workers throughout the world lack social protection and enjoy fewer rights at work (OECD/ILO, 2019[2]). As will be shown in this report, they have fewer opportunities to upgrade their skills that could help them access formal jobs.

Another reason why informal employment is a concern is that informal workers can also be more vulnerable to different types of crises, which is often the result of a lack of social protection. For example, during the COVID-19 crisis, the informal economy did not play the traditional “cushioning” countercyclical role of absorbing workers who had been displaced from the formal economy (OECD, 2023[1]). During the 2020-21 period, informal workers were more likely than formal workers to lose their jobs or be forced into inactivity because of the prevalence of informal employment in sectors that were heavily affected by lockdown and containment measures; limited possibilities to telework; the relative ease of terminating informal employment relationships; and a higher proportion of informal workers in smaller enterprises, which struggled to survive longer periods of inactivity and had less (or no) access to support measures, including worker retention schemes (ILO, 2020[8]; ILO, 2020[9]; ILO, 2022[10]; OECD, 2023[1]). Informally employed women were disproportionately affected (Figure 2.1), not only exacerbating workers’ vulnerability to COVID-19-related policy measures but also widening gender employment gaps during the pandemic.

Another concern with informal employment is the fact that many informal workers earn low labour incomes.

Evidence from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development’s (OECD’s) Key Indicators of Informality based on Individuals and their Households (KIIbIH) database confirms a well-known feature of informal employment: in many countries, it follows a two-tier structure (Jütting and de Laiglesia, 2009[11]; Tonin, 2013[12]; Fields, 2020[13]; Fields et al., 2023[14]). Workers in the upper tier are more productive (possibly due to higher-level skills relative to workers in the lower tier) and enjoy higher earnings than those in the lower tier. Workers in the lower tier are engaged in low-productivity activities (possibly due to a lack of skills, but also due to the lack of opportunities elsewhere) and have low earnings. “Middle” earners are relatively few among informal workers. The lower tier is larger in size than the upper tier in the vast majority of countries with available data. Across countries with available data, nearly 54% of informal workers on average have earnings below 50% of the median earnings level; this proportion exceeds 80% in Costa Rica (Figure 2.2).

If these results are not new, what is “distressing”, in the words of (Rodrik, 2014[16]), is that in many developing and emerging economies, the proportion of lower-tier informal earners is not shrinking; on the contrary, in many cases, it is expanding, as particularly witnessed during the COVID-19 crisis (OECD, 2023[1]).

The median individual monthly labour earnings of informal workers are also substantially lower than the median individual monthly earnings of formal workers. Individual monthly labour earnings are composed of wages for employees, and labour incomes for employers and own-account workers. Comparing the median earnings of all workers (Figure 2.3, Panel A), informal workers are earning 9.0 times less than formal workers in Nigeria, 5.5 times less in Honduras, and 2.5 times less in Indonesia. There are sizeable differences in the formal-to-informal median individual monthly labour earnings across and within regions, with the greatest disparity between countries being observed in Africa. Informal workers of all statuses in employment, whether employees (Figure 2.3, Panel B), employers (Figure 2.3, Panel C) or own-account workers (Figure 2.3, Panels D and E), are affected by this earnings penalty. Excluding agricultural workers somewhat narrows (but does not eliminate) the gap, especially in countries where the size of the agricultural sector is relatively large compared with other sectors, and where informal employment is largely confined to the agricultural sector (Figure 2.3, Panels D and E).

There are many reasons why median individual monthly labour earnings vary across formal and informal workers. One of them may be the unequal number of hours that formal and informal workers devote to productive activities. The information on hours worked is available for wage employees only in selected countries. Taking these data into account, one can see that the gap between formal and informal earnings is still present in all countries, although it is different from the monthly earnings gap: it is lower in some countries, but higher in others. Across 41 countries for which data are available, the ratio of median formal to informal individual hourly earnings is 2.3; it ranges from 1.1 in Armenia to 4.9 in Rwanda (Figure 2.4). In some countries, such as Kenya, the gap between the median formal and informal hourly wage for employees is smaller than the gap between the median formal and informal monthly wage (Figure 2.3, Panel B), while in others, such as Senegal, it is larger, suggesting that, depending on the country, informal workers may work more or fewer hours per month compared with formal workers. Other factors that explain this earnings penalty include the generally lower level of education among informal workers, informal workers’ lower level of productivity, and informal workers’ over-representation in occupations and sectors that generally pay lower wages (OECD/ILO, 2019[2]).

Empirical evidence – which takes into account other job-related and worker characteristics, including workers’ age, gender, education, employment status, sector of activity and occupation – also confirms that informal jobs usually pay lower wages and incomes, even in similar formal jobs (Bertranou et al., 2014[17]; Reich, 2008[18]; Peña, 2013[19]; Pratap and Quintin, 2006[20]; Nordman, Rakotomanana and Roubaud, 2016[21]; Xue, Gao and Guo, 2014[22]; Bargain and Kwenda, 2014[23]; Tansel and Acar, 2016[24]). Informally working women are usually penalised more than men (Wirba, Akem and Baye, 2021[25]). For employees, enterprise characteristics – including enterprise size – also affect earnings (Nordman, Rakotomanana and Roubaud, 2016[21]).

Individual earnings typically contribute significantly to household income. Indeed, the average share of household income from labour as a percentage of total household income per capita, across countries with available data, stands at 72.0% among informal households, 81.5% among mixed households and 80.5% among formal households; it exceeds 95.0% for all types of households in Kenya and Nigeria (Figure 2.5).

Because informal workers’ earnings are generally lower than those of formal workers, the formal to informal earnings disparity often makes informal workers more susceptible to falling into low-wage and poverty traps (Pham, 2022[26]; Amuedo-Dorantes, 2004[27]; Devicienti, Groisman and Poggi, 2010[28]; Tassot, Pellerano and La, 2019[29]). This is especially true for workers who are in the lower tier of informal employment, making poverty and informal employment intimately interrelated (OECD/ILO, 2019[2]; Kanbur, 2017[30]).

Moreover, depending on the composition of workers in the household, low pay for informal workers can be a determinant of not only individual but also household poverty. Indeed, the association between households’ degree of informality and the incidence of household poverty seems to be quite strong in several countries, especially in African countries, in Bangladesh, and in Albania (Figure 2.6). More generally, households with lower income levels are significantly more likely to be completely informal.

The lower earnings of informal workers, coupled with the fact that labour earnings are often their only source of income, exacerbates informal workers’ vulnerability to various other risks. For example, unexpected out-of-pocket medical expenses may simply be unaffordable to poor informal workers, preventing them from seeking the necessary healthcare (Oliveira, Islam and Nuruzzaman, 2019[31]; OECD, 2023[1]). Lower earnings also disproportionately increase the risk of income insecurity and income poverty in old age, because of both the lack of pension social protection and an inability to save for retirement (OECD, 2019[32]). These risks are especially pronounced for women.

Low pay for informal workers also reduces potential economic resources available to other household members. As such, it can influence choices for other household members such as education (as shown in subsequent chapters), labour market participation, healthcare and retirement. It can also translate into limited social capital, as well as limited educational and labour market opportunities for household members (Domínguez and Watkins, 2003[33]).

Moreover, both poverty and informal employment are highly persistent circumstances that can reinforce each other. Past poverty can determine current informal employment, and past informal employment, in turn, can lead to higher chances of current poverty (Devicienti, Groisman and Poggi, 2010[28]). This opens space for specific policies to break the poverty–informal employment cycle for informal workers, especially for those in the lower tier of informal employment, as well as for their families.

This chapter has shown that informal workers and their family members often face a greater range of risks compared with formal workers. These include risks associated with poorer protection by labour laws and absent or inadequate social protection. As the recent COVID-19 crisis has shown, informal workers may also face higher risks of losing their job. Informal workers also tend to earn lower incomes compared with formal workers. Moreover, informal employment in the majority of developing and emerging economies with available data features two tiers. The lower tier, often comprising the greatest number of workers, is composed of low-skilled, low-productivity workers earning low incomes; the upper tier, which is usually relatively small, is composed of informal workers with higher-level skills and earning high incomes. If all informal workers face a greater range of socio-economic risks, workers in the lower tier, as well as their household members, are particularly vulnerable to poverty because, in the absence of social protection, they cannot afford to cover these risks on their own. Taken together, these risks and poorer outcomes of the majority of informal workers point to the high costs that informal employment presents to individuals and to society.

The next chapter shows that opportunities to transition from informal to formal employment remain quite limited. Moreover, such transitions have a potential to increase labour income only for those workers who are already high earners, confirming the two-tier view of informal employment.

As will be argued later in this report, the two-tier nature of the informal employment sector begs for different policy actions for each of the two tiers.

One type of action concerns the skills development of informally employed adults and of their children in order to equip them with higher-order skills, and thus allow them to break the skills barrier of the lower tier of informal employment that features low productivity. Chapters 4 and 5 inquire into the specificities of such potential policy actions.

Another type of action concerns redistribution and social protection. Indeed, informal workers’ individual earnings are one of the key indicators that can help identify social protection extension strategies, as discussed in Chapter 6.

On the one hand, informal workers in the lower tier lack the contributory capacity to pay for social protection. For these workers, informal employment is most likely not a choice, but the outcome of a lack of formal employment opportunities. With this lack of social protection, informal work is also often the only option to survive (OECD/ILO, 2019[2]; Banerjee and Duflo, 2011[34]; Margolis, 2014[35]; Günther and Launov, 2012[36]; La Porta and Shleifer, 2014[37]). As such, informal employment earnings do play a role in reducing poverty when the alternative is no earnings at all, and in a certain sense already substitute for nonexistent social protection. It is therefore important to recognise the role that the informal economy is playing in sustaining people’s livelihoods. For informal workers, contributory social protection schemes would have to be either subsidised by the government and/or complemented with employer contributions when possible. Some of these schemes should also include other vulnerable household members of informal workers, such as children or elderly family members. This subsidisation of lower-tier informal workers and their families should be seen as an investment into a more inclusive growth process and as a way to break the poverty–informal employment cycle (OECD, 2019[32]).

On the other hand, informal workers in the upper tier actually do have some individual capacity to contribute to social insurance schemes. As such, there is scope for including them in the existing schemes, either by extending coverage or by improving access, compliance and enforcement.

More broadly, since income is an important determinant of general well-being, life satisfaction, political engagement and social cohesion (Frank-Borge, Wietzke and McLeod, 2013[38]), lower pay of informal workers presents broader social limitations to these workers, making the case for continued efforts to create more formal employment opportunities and decent, better-paying jobs at all levels of skill, and in all sectors and occupations.

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