2. Monitoring inclusive and sustainable growth in Japan

The proposed measurement framework is intended to help monitor the contribution of economic and industrial policies to Japan’s inclusive and sustainable growth. It builds on the OECD Inclusive Growth Dashboard (OECD, 2018[1]) and is informed by Japan’s priorities, as enshrined in its vision of a “New Form of Capitalism”. The measurement framework reflects the challenges of the post-COVID-19 recovery as well as broader megatrends that Japan is facing, contextualised by a set of indicators according to specific criteria (see Box 2.1).

The framework is organised around four dimensions that look at the extent to which growth is working to the benefit of all, as well as how growth could be made equitable by design through investments in people as well as sustainable and inclusive business and innovation. The framework (Table 2.1) distinguishes:

  • Sustainable growth and equitable sharing of benefits from growth. This dimension looks at the pace and trickle-down of economic growth, as shaped by the post COVID-19 recovery and broader megatrends, such as population ageing, digitalisation and climate change.

  • Equal opportunities and foundations of future prosperity. This dimension focuses on the quality of human capital as one of the key foundations of sustainable growth. It considers various dimensions of material and non-material well-being by different groups of population, such as inclusion and diversity in workplaces, wage gaps, education, training, health and work-life balance and satisfaction.

  • Inclusive and sustainable business and innovation. This dimension explores economic dynamism in conjunction with productivity dynamics across enterprises and sectors. It also considers the financing of small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) relative to the rest, environmentally related and inclusive innovation, business entries and exits, and composition and participation in value chains.

  • Responsive and inclusive governance, providing selected information on trust and participation of women in a policy-making process.

Japan’s economic growth gap with the OECD average has been gradually narrowing since the early 2010s. Since the stock price bubbles burst in the early 1990s, Japan has faced two major shocks: the 2008 global financial crisis and the 2011 earthquake. While Japan's per capita output growth averaged just below the OECD average in the early 1990s, it has remained well below the rate of the OECD area until 2010 (Figure 2.1, Panel A).

Per capita output has declined significantly in relative terms during almost two decades of weak growth (Figure 2.1, Panel B). Since 2013, though, monetary easing and flexible fiscal policy has contributed positively to economic growth (OECD, 2015[3]). GDP per capita growth rate accelerated above 1% per year by 2015, approaching the OECD average rate, but per capita output fell below the average in 2017 (Figure 2.1, Panel B). In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic led to a significant downward shock as in nearly all OECD countries driven by sanitary restrictions that restrained consumption and investment.

Government support and reopening of the economy has since contributed to stabilisation, but the energy shock that has pushed up inflation since the onset of aggression against Ukraine is lowering economic growth around the world (OECD, 2022[4]; 2021[5]). Energy and food prices remain the biggest driver of headline consumer price inflation, which reached 3% in August and September 2022. Higher costs have been only partly passed through into prices, and government measures, such as price caps on oil, have contributed to containing inflation relatively muted to the extent possible. Supply chain disruptions arising from Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine and China’s zero-COVID-19 measures have held back production, investment and exports. In 2022, the labour market has continued to tighten and the nominal wage has increased moderately, although the real wage has decreased due to rise in prices. Japan’s government has reacted to the shock to moderate the price surge and support vulnerable households and businesses.

Against the lacklustre Japan’s economic growth and the labour force shrinking more rapidly than the population improvements in labour productivity, specific policies are needed to support the living standards of the Japanese population (see also Productivity and value added and Labour market sections). This requires policies promoting productivity gains while at the same time maintaining strong incentives to create prosperity in the first place. Some of these policies were identified through the OECD research on the Productivity-Inclusiveness Nexus (OECD, 2018[6]) and discussed in detail in this chapter.

In order to understand whether growth is inclusive and is translating into living standards improvements across the board, it is key to go beyond GDP and look at the distribution of household income.

Gross disposable income per capita1 has been stagnating for most of the past decade. While GDP growth has been catching up with the OECD average over the past ten years, disposable income has remained relatively stable until 2020 – supported by a 50.8% increase of social benefits2 received in cash by the household sector in response to the crisis induced by the COVID-19 pandemic (Figure 2.2, Panel A). While this trend may be partially attributable to the increasing number of elderly people in households, who earn less on average than younger cohorts3, it is critically important to go beyond the average and zoom in on households and individuals living below the poverty rate to understand who is the most disadvantaged.

Figure 2.2, Panel B shows that on average the relative poverty rate in Japan is high at 16%. In comparison to other OECD countries, the relative poverty appears to be high when it comes to the elderly and individuals living in households with at least one worker (i.e. the “in-work” relative poverty rate). This partially reflects the weak impact of the tax and benefit system, which primarily redistributes income between rather than within generations (Jones and Jin, 2017[7]).

Japan, along with most OECD countries, has experienced an increase in the income inequality during the last 30 years (Jones, 2007[8]; Jones and Jin, 2017[7]). Japan is doing worse than most European countries, yet remains less unequal than the United States – which has the highest income inequality among OECD countries (Figure 2.3, Panel A). The upward sloping trend of income inequality in Japan, particularly during the 1980s and 1990s, has been significantly related to ageing and shrinking of Japanese population.

However, unlike income inequality, wealth inequality is lower in Japan than in most OECD countries (Figure 2.3, Panel B). These very different patterns between income and wealth inequalities in Japan are confirmed by Balestra and Tonkin (2018[9]) showing that the association between income and wealth in Japan is among the weakest among OECD countries.

While a sign of improvement has been seen recently, income inequality in Japan has slightly increased from 2006 to 2018 and the degree of income inequality varies depending on the age group (See Box 2.2). The change in household compositions accounts for an estimated 40 to 50% increase in the overall income inequality in the 1990s; and 30 to 40% of the estimated increase in the 2000s (Hori, Maeda and Suga, 2020[10]). Rising income inequality is to some degree also related to the increasing share of non-regular workers who are often paid less than regular workers for the same jobs (see Labour market section).

The OECD has long recognised the importance of reducing income inequality and relative poverty. Inequalities can have detrimental effects on the prosperity and well-being of all, as large degrees of inequality negatively affect the potential of future growth (OECD, 2018[1]). Good jobs are key to reducing inequality and poverty. In addition, the quality of people’s working environment is an important driver of increased labour force participation, labour productivity and the overall economic growth.

Policies effective at tackling inequalities and relevant in the Japanese context include (OECD, 2011[16]):

  • increasing women’s participation in economic and social spheres, with measures to eliminate the unequal treatment of men and women in the labour market (see Labour market section);

  • improving access to high-quality jobs, particularly by addressing issues of low-pay and in-work poverty as well as improving accessibility to the institutions of higher education that may not reach workers in jobs at high risk of automation, typically non-regular workers in routine jobs, and leave private tertiary educational institutions and companies responsible for providing job-specific skills (Jones, 2019[17]);

  • adapting further social protection systems, including by linking entitlements to individuals rather than jobs, incorporating non-standard workers into existing social protection systems and exploring new forms of social protection;

  • investing in skills and education for all and at all stages of life from early childhood care and education onward (i.e. lifelong learning) can reduce inequality in educational outcomes, so that labour market demands are aligned with skills supply (see Education section);

  • continuing “work-style” reforms, expanding social security coverage for non-standard workers, and enhancing vocational education and training could boost labour productivity and labour supply and offset the effects of an ageing population; and

  • lowering further the barriers to immigrants and foreign direct investment, while securing and reallocating employment in global supply chains.

The world is in the midst of historic transformations, on the heels of the post-COVID-19 recovery. In Japan, as in many other OECD countries, megatrends include: i) demographic changes, notably ageing of the society; ii) climate changes, notably warming of the planet, acidification of oceans and seas, and biodiversity loss; and iii) technological changes, notably increasing digitalisation, information processing, big data sharing and bioengineering.

Rapid population ageing and shrinking of labour supply in Japan are major challenges that stand in the way of achieving further improvements in living standards, and weigh on the financial sustainability of public social expenditures. Japan's population is shrinking and ageing more rapidly than in most other OECD countries. Total population is projected to decrease from 127 million inhabitants in 2015 to less than 90 million by 2065 (Figure 2.7, Panel A).

Meanwhile, the share of population over 65 years old is projected to increase from around one quarter to almost 40% over the same period (Figure 2.7, Panel B). This would increase the elderly dependency ratio (the elderly population as a share of the working-age population), to more than 0.8 by 2065 and put the Japanese fiscal system under great pressure. Population ageing will also make it difficult for Japan to catch up with leading OECD countries in terms of per capita income.

Projected population ageing affects the economic growth, labour productivity, income inequality within and between generations, and the sustainability of public finances. While old-age dependency ratios are expected to rise in all G20 members in the next decades, Japan will be experiencing one of the fastest ageing rates (i.e. forecasted at 80.7% in 2050) – compared to other G20 countries with next highest ageing rates expected by 2050: Korea (78.8%), Italy (74.4%) and Germany (58.1%) (OECD, 2021[18]).

In order to increase the employment opportunities at older ages, the OECD Council adopted the OECD Recommendation on Ageing and Employment Policies. Among best OECD practices considered are to shift from seniority-based wages to merit-based performance and job-based pay systems; as well as amending the statutory retirement age to facilitate temporary working contracts after reaching the minimum retirement age (see Box 2.3). This calls for a comprehensive approach to promote equal opportunities for all and address the costs associated with ageing. Tax and transfer systems are under pressure due to ageing, placing additional constraints on the magnitude and scope of redistribution influenced by the country’s institutional and policy settings as well as more general social preferences.

For Japan, OECD policy work (OECD, 2018[19]; 2021[5]) recommends:

  • reducing incentives for employers to hire workers using precarious forms of employment;

  • investing in lifelong learning to support the good foundational skills among older and younger Japanese adults and reduce inequalities in training participation by age, skills and type of employment contract;

  • improving job quality to increase opportunities for workers to continue working at an older age by tackling excessive hours of work, adequately implementing the work-style reforms, and adopting systematic and psycho-social risk assessment of working practices;

  • enhancing opportunities to combine work and care for children and elderly parents, helping workers to (re-) enter and stay longer in the workforce.

Digitalisation has been deepening in Japan. In 2020, more than 80% of large Japanese enterprises are purchasing cloud services, as compared to around 60% in 2016 (Figure 2.8, Panel A). This purchase rate by large Japanese enterprises is among the highest in OECD countries. In medium-sized Japanese enterprises, the purchase rate of cloud services was around 40% in 2016 and increased to around 60% in the latest year (Figure 2.8, Panel B). Data for Japan only include companies with 100 or more employees while other OECD countries’ data include the companies, which employ equal or more than 50 people.4

Japan is also an important global developer of digital and automation technologies. Japan accounts for a substantial share of the patents in rapidly growing digital technologies (OECD, 2021[5]). Japan produces nearly half of industrial robots globally and the use of robots in manufacturing sector is the third, after Korea and Singapore, with the estimated number of robots per 10 000 workers of 364 in 2019 (IFR, 2021[22]).

Digitalisation is crucial for productivity growth and a source of jobs; however, it may also raise concerns in terms of inequality. Digitalisation brings about new forms of employment that provide opportunities to those who have been previously excluded from participation in the labour market, but may also raise concerns of low-pay for non-regular Japanese workers as well as limited employment protection and social security coverage. At the same time, digitalisation offers great scope for improving production methods, but enterprises’ uptake of new technologies is uneven among Japanese enterprises. For digitalisation to strengthen the overall growth prospects, the divide between frontier and lagging enterprises needs closing. In terms of wellbeing enhancement, there is no guarantee that the benefits of higher levels of growth or productivity will be broadly shared across the Japanese population without policies to ensure the equality of opportunity emerging from digitalisation. For example, school education in Japan may need to better integrate teaching of the information and communications technologies (ICT), and teachers may need further training to integrate ICT into lessons, while levereging on Japanese progress made with introduction of the ICT equipment in schools.

The OECD (2021[5]) recommends:

  • supporting the development of business services outsourcing that would lessen the need for small enterprises to invest in ICT equipment;

  • providing training and support for teachers to integrate ICT into their lessons;

  • disseminating best practices from those school districts that already use ICT widely.

In 2020, GHG emissions decreased by 18% compared to 2013 (Figure 2.9, Panel A), back to the level of 1988 (JRC/PBL, 2022[23]). Despite relying greatly on the nuclear power and stepping up energy efficiency measures, Japan remains heavily reliant on imported fossil fuels and the carbon intensity of Japan’s energy mix remains one of the highest among OECD countries (IEA, 2021[24]). Japan has also increased resource efficiency (measured in per capita per tonne of domestic material consumption) over the last two decades, being the third most resource-efficient OECD country in terms of material consumption per capita.

At the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, governments’ priorities have been to overcome the health emergency and to implement rescue measures. As the emergency of the health crisis gradually phases out, attention is now turning to triggering economic recovery in a global context compromised by the war in Ukraine. While these short-term challenges influence governments’ abilities to deliver in the long term, sustainable growth requires a genuine transition towards more equal and resilient societies with net-zero GHG emissions with reduced impacts on the nature. In the context of energy price movements in 2022, any prolonged price caps distort market-based signals and risk reducing incentives to shift to renewables (OECD, 2022[4]).

For Japan, previous OECD work (OECD, 2021[5]; IEA, 2021[24]) recommends:

  • mapping out energy scenarios, including concrete and feasible agenda for achieving the 2050 decarbonisation goals and the investments towards non-fossil fuelled energy mix;

  • strengthening the use of market-based instruments (such as the carbon tax and a trading system of carbon-credit market) with price signals to encourage investments in efficient and low carbon technologies while taking into account the social and economic impact; and

  • encouraging investment in the electricity network and improving electricity system operations to facilitate the cost-effective integration of variable renewable electricity sources.

In the context of the 3Rs principles (reduction of waste, reusing and recycling of used products and raw materials) (OECD, 2021[25]), additional efforts in Japan could be made by strengthening the upstream policies for waste management, reducing the amount of material used in production and consumption, and reusing more materials and products (OECD, 2018[26]). Also, further attention is needed on increasing the recycling rates of municipal solid waste upwards of 20% in 2019 (OECD, 2022[27]).

In Japan, the first case of COVID-19 was confirmed on 16 January 2020. Since then, the number of reported new deaths (60 000 as of January 2023) has been mostly contained below the OECD average. Approximately 82% of the population has been fully vaccinated in Japan (i.e. 104 million persons as of January 2023). Still, infections proved difficult to control with the spread of new and more contagious variants in 2021 and particularly in 2022 (Figure 2.10). The 7th wave of COVID-19, in the summer of 2022, recorded the highest number of infections and deaths, but no legally binding confinement measures were introduced in sight of reducing potential impact on economic activity.

Although the relation is between the vaccine coverage and the excess mortality rates is unclear, Japan is among the few OECD countries with a negative excess mortality rate estimated over the first two years of the pandemic (Figure 2.11, Panel A). Looking beyond the cumulative excess mortality rate shows that besides a few peaks in 2020, excess mortality rate was positive since April 2021 – i.e. during the 4th wave (Figure 2.11, Panel B). This may reflect the deaths of non-infected people owing to the disruption that the pandemic has caused (Nomura et al., 2022[28]).

As infection numbers are still significant in many OECD countries, the OECD recommends to keep:

  • Strengthening the surveillance, healthcare systems, and overall pandemic preparedness will remain key in the coming years. it is essential to continue to roll-out vaccinations and increase the capacity of the health sector to withstand such shocks, including through effective investment in primary care, health promotion and disease prevention (OECD, 2021[5]; OECD, 2021[29]).

In Japan, public expenditure on education per student is close to the OECD average and has slightly decreased in recent years. Public expenditure on primary to tertiary education per student relative to GDP per capita was 21% in 2019, declining slightly from 2010, and close to the OECD average in 2019 and earlier in 2010 (Figure 2.12, Panel A).

Looking at expenditure by the level of education, Japan's public expenditure ratio was lower than the OECD average in tertiary education and was higher than that in primary to post-secondary non-tertiary education (Figure 2.12, Panel B). For tertiary education, public expenditure per student relative to GDP per capita was 15% in Japan, below the OECD average (25%). The ratio was 23% for primary to post-secondary non-tertiary education, above the OECD average (21%).

The quality of human capital, as measured by strong educational outcomes of young students and adults, is high in Japan. International comparisons have long established the high performance of Japan at every stage of the education system. In the 2018 OECD Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA), 15-year old Japanese students ranked among the top performers in science (2nd), mathematics (1st) and less well in reading (11th) (OECD, 2019[31]). In the 2012 OECD Survey of Adult Skills, adults in Japan had the highest levels of proficiency in literacy and numeracy among participating countries (Grotlüschen et al., 2016[32]). The good performance of the Japanese education systems goes beyond average outcomes. Along with Estonia and Finland, Japan is one of the OECD countries with the lowest share of students and adults at the lowest levels of achievement (Figure 2.13).

Japan reports high levels of literacy and numeracy skills. Yet, the latest PIAAC survey shows that in Japan the actual use of reading and writing skills in the workplace is around the OECD average. While Japan is among the most important global players in the development of digital and automation technologies, it performs less well when it comes to the new types of skills that digitalisation is bringing about5 (Nedelkoska and Quintini, 2018[35]). First, the share of 16-24 year-old adults with limited or no digital skills is just below the OECD average (OECD, 2021[5]). Second, the provision of computers per student was well below the average in OECD countries (Figure 2.20 in (OECD, 2021[5])), although there has been substantial progress under the Global Innovation Gateway for All (GIGA) School programme.

The mismatch between a highly digitalised society and average ICT outcomes is also accompanied by a large gender gap in the science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) field. At the age of 15, the gender gap in STEM field exceeds the OECD average in STEM disciplines. Also, Japan ranks third among OECD countries at a higher level of education with merely 8% of women graduating from STEM disciplines – the lowest rate among OECD countries (Figure 2.14). Worth noting though that Japan’s data do not include the Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) category as other OECD countries.

Despite Japan’s strong performance shown by outstanding educational outcomes, the ongoing structural transformations and digitisation stand to challenge the effectiveness of acquired knowledge and skills. At the same time, Japan needs to address the gender gap in education and can usefully draw on best practices of other OECD countries; such as the US Department of Education’s Race to the Top grant programme that prioritises STEM education for under-represented groups including women, the UK government’s “Your Daughter’s Future” guide to help parents support daughters in career choices as well as Germany’s “Go Mint” National Pact for Women Careers in STEM disciplines (see Box 2.4). Recent work from the OECD (2021[5]) highlights how the pandemic also revealed some weaknesses as households, enterprises and government struggled to make use of digital technologies. Considering these issues in the case of Japan, some of the main recommendations include (OECD, 2022[36]; OECD, 2021[5]; OECD, 2021[37]):

  • Investing in human capital to improve the employability and affordability of education and training at all ages by:

    • increasing targeted spending on R&D, investment, education and training to boost productivity growth;

    • expanding digital infrastructure and provision of effective software so that every student can enjoy online communication and education, which can be tailored to the needs and abilities of students;

    • enhancing vocational education and training to further support the digital transformation with the development of IT skills through training programmes targeted at young and older adults who would benefit from improving the knowledge on artificial intelligence, the internet of things, cloud computing and data science more generally;

    • enhancing the curriculum for STEM areas and increasing the number of students in STEM in universities, with a strong focus on promoting girl’s and women’s participation in STEM fields.

Japan’s lifetime employment system6 has contributed to high and stable employment patterns for men, but faces strong challenges in the wake of demographic challenges. From an economic perspective, Japan’s traditional model was broadly effective when Japan had a young and growing population. At present, it appears less suited to an ageing and shrinking population with low birth rates, as it discourages the employment of the elderly and women, and limits labour mobility (OECD, 2019[38]). Challenges related to ageing are significant (see Megatrends section): the working-age population peaked in the mid-1990s and has been decreasing by almost 1% per year since then. While contributing to relatively low unemployment rates (below 3% since 2017 and 2.2% before the pandemic), ageing creates inevitable tensions in the Japanese labour market. For example, the active job openings-to-applicants ratio has been increasing since 2009 and has exceeded parity since November 2013 (Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, 2020[39]). In 2018, it reached the highest level since 1973. Labour shortages may intensify as Japan's population is projected to fall by one-fifth to around 100 million by 2050. While the employment-to-population ratio is high for men between 25 and 64 years-old (Figure 2.15), Japan has been increasingly looking for alternative channels to increase its labour force.

Women’s labour force participation has risen in recent decades, reducing the gender gap in employment-to-population ratio by half for 25-54 year-olds and by one-third for 55-64 year-olds between 2000 and 2020. Such an increase was due to labour shortages related to demographics as well as gender-targeted policies; such as the introduction of working hour caps and provision of childcare places aimed at supporting young mothers to remain employed. Recently, the number of childcare facilities has increased further, partially funded by the revenues raised from the consumption tax increase in 2019 (OECD, 2021[5]).

The employment rate for older workers over 65 years has been on the rise since the early 2000s (at 34% for men in 2021), but for women is still 16% points lower than for men. The rise in Japan was driven by a number of factors: i) improved health and longer longevity; ii) increased educational attainment; iii) transition toward less physically demanding jobs; and iv) policy reforms encouraging older persons to continue working (Jones and Jin, 2017[7]), for example, by raising the compulsory retirement age that enterprises set for their own employees. Overall, the impact of reforms has offset pressures from ageing, with Japan currently having one of the highest participation rates for elderly amongst G7 countries (OECD, 2021[5]).

Against the background of an ageing and shrinking population, boosting the number of foreign workers has only marginally increased the labour supply. While the number of foreign workers (including trainees) reported by enterprises more than doubled from 0.7 million in 2013 to 1.7 million in 2021, they only account for about 2% of Japan’s labour force; which is one of the lowest shares in the OECD (Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, 2022[41]). In addition, Japan only partially meets the requirements to facilitate orderly, safe, regular and responsible migration (OECD, 2022[42]).

Japan's social model has been based on "jobs for life" employment contracts and steady career progression based on seniority. This model is gradually being replaced by a dualistic system, which includes regular employees who receive traditional benefits and non-regular employees with fixed-term contracts. As Japan's "jobs for life" model has lessened the need for employers to adjust wages and retain or attract the most productive workers, the ongoing shift in the structure of employment towards non-regular jobs has negatively affected average wages and worsened inequality and relative poverty rates. Per hour, non-regular workers earn around 60% of the regular workers’ pay, which contributes to higher relative poverty rates of non-regular workers.

In July 2022, 37% of employees were estimated by Japanese national statistics to be in non-regular employment – including fixed-term, part-time and dispatched workers (i.e. workers sent from private employment agencies). Non-regular employment is concentrated among women, who accounted for 68% of non-regular workers in July 2022, while among men, non-regular employment is concentrated among those over 55 (Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, 2022[43]). Non-regular employment has increased markedly over the past decades, from 29% of total employed persons in 2002 to 37% in 2021 (Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, 2022[43]). The rate of temporary workers in Japan is around the average for men (Figure 2.16, Panel A), but almost twice the OECD average and among the highest in the OECD for women (Figure 2.16, Panel B).

The negative consequences of dualism are further exacerbated by limited horizontal mobility in the Japanese segmented labour market, in contrast with many other OECD countries, where temporary work is frequently a stepping stone to permanent employment (Jones and Jin, 2017[7]). While this practice has contributed to low youth unemployment rates during economic upswings, the public authorities and the business sector are gradually implementing measures to increase mid-career recruitment and link wages more tightly to productivity rather than seniority. Non-regular workers are often not covered by employers’ training provision, which limits their productivity growth potential (OECD, 2021[44]) (see section on Human resource development).

Non-regular employment contracts are important in Japan particularly for small and medium enterprises (SMEs) that have long subcontracted workers to support their supply of intermediate products and services to larger enterprises. While the overall employment share of medium-sized enterprises is relatively small in Japan, it is nevertheless significant by international standards: the 55% share of people employed by SMEs in industry (except construction) is close to the OECD median and the share of micro enterprises (i.e. with 1-9 employees) is the third-highest among OECD countries (Figure 2.17).

SMEs also account for a substantial share of the total number of Japanese enterprises. The Small and Medium Enterprises Basic Act defines SMEs based on the number of employees or the amount of capital, and the criteria vary depending on the sector (Table 2.2). According to the definition of the Act, Japan had 3.6 million SMEs in private non-primary industries in 2016 and this accounted for 99.7% of the total number of enterprises (Small and Medium Enterprise Agency, 2022[45]). Among those SMEs, 3 million companies were small enterprises, accounting for 84.9% of the total. SMEs’ value added consists of approximately 53% of the total value added in private non-primary industries in 2015. Among them, the value added of micro enterprises was 35.7 trillion JPY and it accounts for 14.0% of total.

According to the definition of Small and Medium Enterprises Basic Act, approximately half of the persons engaged (workers and sole proprietors) in private non-primary industries are working in SMEs in the service sector (2022[45]). Private non-primary industries had 46.8 million persons engaged in 2016 and 33.4 million (71%) were working in the services sector. Within the services sector, 22.7 million people engaged were in SMEs – i.e. 49% of the total in private non-primary industries and 68% of the total services sector. In addition, 29% of persons engaged in the services sector were in small enterprises with 5 or less employees (see Box 2.5).

The gender wage gap in Japan has been decreasing over time, although still among the largest across OECD countries. The gap exceeded 30% in Japan at the beginning of the 2000s and has since declined steadily, reaching 22% in 2021 (Figure 2.19, Panel A). It is the third highest in OECD countries and 10 percentage points higher than the OECD average (Figure 2.19, Panel B).

Compared to other OECD countries, wages in Japanese SMEs are relatively low and to some extent depending on the size of SMEs. Figure 2.20 shows the ratio of compensation per employee relative to large enterprises in the same sector. In the manufacturing industry, except in construction, the relative compensation ratio of SMEs with 50-249 employees was 0.71 in Japan (in 2014) — the 5th lowest among the OECD countries where comparable data are available. On the other hand, the ratios of SMEs with less than 50 employees are in the range of 0.49 and 0.60; around the OECD median value (in 2014).

Recent labour market reforms have boosted participation and employment of the elderly, women and immigrants; however, the pandemic contributed to job losses. In light of the structural change spurred by digitalisation calling for new skills (see Box 2.6 and Human resource development section), the OECD recommends (OECD, 2022[36]; OECD, 2021[5]):

  • continuing “work style” reforms, including equal pay for equal work, flexible working arrangements with better child-care provision; and further increasing or abolishing the compulsory retirement age;

  • building on current immigration policies, gradually increasing labour supply, e.g. leveraging on the Points-Based System for Highly-Skilled Foreign Professionals from 2012 and the Specified Skilled Worker System from 2019 to extend coverage for foreign workers with specific skills and expertise;

  • expanding the coverage of employee’s pension and health insurance and reducing disincentives for secondary earners.

In Japan, few workers engage in work-related trainings, which could help the workforce respond to changing needs. The PIAAC survey estimated that in the early 2010s, around 40% of adults in Japan engaged in work-related training in a given year, which is less than in most other OECD countries. While workers from the public sector tend to have greater access to training in all OECD countries, the difference observed in Japan is below the OECD average (Figure 2.21, Panel A).

Focusing on the enterprises’ size, the gap with OECD peers is pronounced in large companies in terms of ease of workers’ access to training at all levels (Figure 2.21, Panel B). Beyond the workplace, very few adults undertake education and training with formal degree or certificates. Japan has the lowest shares of trainings across all age groups (Figure 2.21, Panel C). Participation in training of non-regular workers is below the rate observed among regular employees (see section on the Labour market).

Willingness to participate in training is, on average, very low in Japan. As in other OECD countries, including France, Poland, Lithuania, Slovak Republic, Italy, Greece and Türkiye, in Japan more than one in two employees did not participate in any form of education and was not keen to participate (Figure 2.22; see Box 2.7). Even among employees that participated in training, more than two-thirds of them did not want to participate. Conversely, only one in five adults aged between 25 and 64 years old reported being keen to engage in training. While this rate is just below the OECD median (at 26%), it is much below what can be observed in countries such as Sweden, Korea, Chile, Denmark, United States and New Zealand, where it ranges between 33% and 40%.

The lack of time appears to be the main reason for not engaging in training. The majority of employees did not want to engage in training, but 30% of those willing to engage were not able to. In this case, the main reasons given relate to the lack of time: 38% of adults mentioned they were too busy (this share is the 3rd highest among OECD countries after Korea and Italy), while 22% of them answered that the course or programme was offered at inconvenient time or place (this share is the highest among OECD countries).

In total, 60% of employees willing to engage in trainings were not able to do it because of time-related issues. This share is far higher than what can be observed in other OECD countries (besides Korea, which shares a similar pattern with Japan). Conversely, the lack of financial resources or lack of employer support appears to be a much less common barrier in Japan than on average across OECD countries. The lack of time to engage in training may partly relate to long working hours in Japan.

Monitoring participation in adult learning programmes is crucial to the assessment of training programmes, providing relevant stakeholders with valuable information about the quality of and needs for improving training practices and programmes. Several OECD countries have made such information publicly available to inform about measures for encouraging participation of adults in training. The Slovenian Statistical Office, for instance, discloses openly public spending for achieving education objectives in a similar fashion as Scandinavian countries do for publicly regulated education (see Box 2.7).

The share of public spending on training is lower in Japan than in most OECD countries. In 2020, public funding on training was 0.01% of GDP in Japan, that is, 10-times lower than the OECD average as well as other European and OECD countries, but at the levels of the United Kingdom and the Slovak Republic (Figure 2.23).

In the context of rapidly evolving demand for new skills, Japanese adults need better access to career guidance to make informed choices about their career and relevant skills’ development opportunities. Online distance learning has the potential to address some of the barriers to adult learning by providing a more flexible form of learning that is compatible with learners’ responsibilities and can be provided at a lower cost than equivalent face-to-face training (see Box 2.8). However, inclusiveness needs to be considered since online courses can facilitate access to training for adults with disabilities or those living in rural communities, but require basic digital skills, appropriate devices and reliable internet infrastructure (OECD, 2022[47]).

Distance learning is being embraced by businesses as well, which recognise its potential to enhance the engagement of employees and their ability to work flexibly and effectively. With a recently published "Ito Report for Human Capital Management 2.0" in 2022, the Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry has encouraged enterprises to implement a human capital strategy that is closely linked to the business strategy and embraces diversity and inclusion of employees’ knowledge and experience (see Box 2.9).

Learning from good practices to foster the development of responsive and more widespread adult learning opportunities in Japan, relevant OECD reports (OECD, 2022[47]; OECD, 2021[44]) recommend:

  • reducing barriers to regular education and training, for example, by improving support for paid education and training leave for learning programmes that develop in-demand skills, ensuring government-provided training in a modular way that allows for distance or flexible learning, making adult learning more accessible for non-regular and older workers by relaxing the conditions to access training grants and subsidies for education and training leave so that non-regular workers can also benefit from them, expanding the adult learning market by systematically monitoring participation in adult learning programmes and identifying gap areas, and developing further quality assurance mechanisms in the non-formal, private training sector;

  • targeting workers at risk of being affected by structural changes and providing upskilling/reskilling support, for example, by providing basic digital skills development programmes to adults who lack the digital skills demanded by the labour market, by promoting career guidance services through further online provision, accompanying online career guidance with in-person counselling to provide comprehensive support to those removed from the labour market.

  • supporting internal career progression, for example, by raising awareness about the possibility to consult qualified external career guidance counsellors, especially among workers in SMEs, promoting and facilitating the integration of Japanese “Job-Card System” into existing HR systems by sharing among employers the information about employment and training records,

  • supporting external career transitions and career guidance for jobseekers, for example, by developing an interactive, easy-to-use online career guidance portal that brings together information on occupations and training from different sources, and providing targeted information and guidance to jobseekers who were previously in non-regular employment.

  • considering ways to further amend long working hours in the interest of setting a minimum number of training hours in both public and private sectors; although recent work (OECD, 2022[47]) indicates that education and lack of time due to long working hours may not be the biggest barrier to career guidance.

Similar to other OECD countries, labour underutilisation has declined in Japan over the last decade, but could further diminish. The labour underutilisation rate refers to the share of the labour force that is either unemployed, underemployed or discouraged. This rate provides a more comprehensive view of joblessness and unrealised potential compared to the standard unemployment rate, which is typically around 25% to 70% of labour underutilisation rate.

Labour underutilisation decreased from more than 15% in 2010 to 10% in 2020 in Japan, placed at the lower half of the OECD distribution though above than what could have been expected by looking merely at the unemployment rate. The COVID-19 pandemic strongly affected this downward trend, and Japan, like other benchmark countries used in this study, experienced a substantial increase in labour underutilisation in 2020. While the latest available data show that labour underutilisation is declining again, it was at 13% in 2021 – the level observed in 2013.

In terms of gender-inclusiveness, the business sector in Japan has seen recent improvement but remains among the most unequal in OECD countries. The share of women on the executive boards in the largest publicly listed companies has been gradually increasing in recent years: in 2021, it was twice the level observed five years before (Figure 2.25, Panel A). Still, Japan remains among the five OECD countries with the lowest level of women’s participation in the labour market. While no OECD country has reached equal representation at such higher levels of decision-making, some countries such as New Zealand, France and Iceland are exceeding 40%. In Japan, this share is at 12.6%, less than half the OECD average of 28.0% (Figure 2.25, Panel B). Furthermore, Japan ranks last among OECD countries with available data when it comes to the share of women at the executive level in companies.

Overall job quality is relatively high in Japan, but too many workers experience job strain. OECD research shows that working conditions and job quality are significantly associated with mental health. It implies that adaptation of working conditions more closely to the needs of specific and underrepresented groups of workers can enhance their productivity and participation in the labour market, while improving their job satisfaction, work engagement and overall well-being (see Box 2.10).

Recognising that a variety of socio-economic factors that generate job strain can increase the risk of injury and negatively impact mental health, OECD countries are considering ways to better balance the demands of the job and the resources that are available to workers to meet those demands. For example, the US National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) has put forward a conceptual framework for understanding the structure of stressors and their effect on mental health. Based on this framework, the OECD has investigated the factors causing mental health problems among Japanese workers using microdata from the Japanese Panel Study of Employment Dynamics (JPSED) in 2015 and 2016 (OECD, 2019[50]). The analysis has confirmed that long working hours in Japan have a significant effect on mental health, with negative impacts increasing with age of workers particularly when working more than 80 hours per week. The workplace environment and work-life balance factors also have a significant impact on mental health, especially for older women (OECD, 2019[50]). Negative impacts of stress-factors like high work intensity, intimidation and discrimination at the workplace can hold back the productive potential of workforce, which can be boosted by work environment improvements such as adequate social support, opportunity for career advancement and organisational participation (see Box 2.10).

The OECD job quality framework relies on three main pillars: i) earnings quality, ii) labour market security and iii) quality of the working environment. Earnings quality is measured by the adjusted gross hourly wages of employees, an index that accounts for both the level of earnings and their distribution across the workforce. On this topic, Japan’s performance is close to the OECD average with an adjusted gross hourly wage of USD 17.50 (constant 2015 PPP). This is similar to what is observed in Spain, Ireland and New Zealand, but well below top performers such as Luxembourg, Denmark, Belgium and Switzerland with an adjusted gross hourly wage of above USD 30 or Germany, Norway and the Netherlands, where the earnings are in the range of USD 25 and USD 30 per hour.

The second pillar of job quality is labour market insecurity, defined by the unemployment risk and the unemployment benefits. Given a low unemployment rate, Japan is among the top OECD performers on this dimension of job quality. The third pillar of job quality refers to the quality of the working environment. It is measured by job strain – i.e. a situation where the job demands experienced by workers (physical demands, work intensity, inflexible working hours) exceed the resources available to them (task discretion, training, career advancement). Like ten other OECD countries (Poland, Latvia, Lithuania, Slovenia, Slovak Republic, Portugal, Spain, Hungary, Türkiye and Greece), over 30% of employees experience job strain in Japan. This is much higher than what can be observed in some northern European countries where the number of people suffering from job strain is below 20% (Figure 2.26). Looking at different subcomponents of job strain shows that Japan’s results are affected by the “job demand”, reflecting a high level of long and inflexible working hours.

There is a relatively high share of employees in Japan who suffer from excessively long hours of work. For several decades, Japan has had some of the longest working hours among OECD countries. At the macro-level, the average annual hours worked in Japan have fallen substantially over the past decades, which may be partly related to the Work Style Reform Legislation introduced in 2018 to limit overtime. This Reform initially applied to large enterprises, and then in April 2019 also to small and medium-sized enterprises.

At the individual level, working hours have been decreasing. In addition, there has been a substantial increase in female and older workers with non-regular work contracts whose working hours were shorter than for regular workers. In 2021, the average number of hours worked annually per worker in dependant employment was 1 633 – below the OECD average of 1 706 hours; within the group of benchmark countries only the United States and Korea appear to have a greater number of average hours worked (Figure 2.27, Panel A).

Focusing on employees, the complementary data from the ILO on the average number and distribution of hours worked show that Japan still is among the countries with the longest hours worked (Figure 2.27, Panel B). Japan appears on the top right corner together with Iceland, Korea and Costa Rica (but also Colombia, Mexico and Türkiye not shown in the Figure due to scaling issues). This suggests that Japanese employees are, on average, working more than usually observed among OECD countries but also that a higher share of employees suffer from long hours (see Box 2.10).

Professional obligations and unpaid work can leave individuals with little time for themselves, their family and their friends. For example, looking at average time off (i.e. time spent on leisure and personal care, including sleeping) of full-time employed people informs on the work-life balance across OECD countries.

While the time spent on unpaid work is lower in Japan than in most OECD countries, unpaid work for 15-64 year-old people required 132 minutes per day in Japan in 2016 – the second shortest time among OECD countries with comparable data. Women are worse off than men in Japan. The share of unpaid work calculated as the ratio of women’s unpaid work to the sum of the unpaid works both by women and men is 85% in Japan, the highest among the OECD countries with comparable data. The average time off in Japan is just over 14 hours per day for full-time employed people, while the average of available OECD countries is around 15 hours per day, including personal care and leisure time.

Mental health is an important factor to consider as it is adversely related to inadequate work-life balance, as vividly shown during the pandemic. According to the OECD (2021[58]), 10.2% of the respondents in Japan reported severe mental distress and 15.3% were at risk of moderate mental distress from April to December 2020, and the rate of severe mental distress rose slightly to 9.3% between January and June 2021 from 8.8% between April and December 2020. Approximately one-quarter of the respondents in Japan were also at risk of anxiety and depression in 2020, although with signs of improvement in 2021 (OECD, 2021[58]).

Deaths of despair is another factor measured in the assessment of poor mental health, in conjunction with addiction. Fatalities from suicide, acute alcohol abuse and drug overdose have recently been called “deaths of despair” (Case, 2017[59]). On average, 14.8 people per 100 000 in OECD countries die from such causes, which is only a small share (1.8%) of overall deaths (OECD, 2020[60]) – which is an indication of severe mental illness and addiction among the population (OECD, 2019[61]).

In Japan, deaths from despair are decreasing overall (albeit not for younger groups, see Box 2.11). The deaths from suicide and substance abuse in Japan in total were 28 per 100 000 people in 2004 and declined to 19 per 100 000 people in 2017, ranking among the middle of OECD countries. Deaths from despair in Japan have become less than those in the United States from 2012 and were close to those of Sweden, Germany, and the UK in 2017. Similar to other OECD countries, the rate of death from suicide and substance abuse is higher for men than women in Japan, with the gender gap of around 16 per 100 000 people (see Box 2.11 and Box 2.12).

Quality jobs are an important driver of increased labour force participation, productivity and economic performance, and work is strongly related to the quality of individuals’ lives and their well-being. While Japan’s unemployment rate is among the lowest of the OECD, some challenges remain to further improve job quality. In particular, more efforts are needed to integrate all workers sufficiently in the labour market as well as to improve working conditions. Beyond inclusion, non-economic aspects of jobs, including working-time arrangements, could be further enhanced. To foster such developments in Japan, the OECD recommends to ensure and protect worker’s health and job quality (OECD, 2022[66]; OECD, 2019[67]; OECD, 2015[68]), for example, by:

  • introducing a mandatory minimum period of rest between periods of work;

  • monitoring the scheme that exempts skilled professional workers from overtime regulation to avoid excessive working hours and improve well-being – for example, workplace-based health programmes that improve employee well-being and benefit employers in that they can in turn reduce health-related costs and increase productivity (see Box 2.14);

  • reforming the tax-benefit system so that both earners in a shared household have similar financial incentives to work;

  • strengthening measures to prevent discrimination against women in education and employment, including policies to stop indirect discrimination and reinforce legislation against age discrimination (see Box 2.13);

  • improving further the legislation supporting female employment and increasing the take-up rate of both maternity and paternity leave.

Labour productivity has stagnated in Japan, consistently below the OECD average in the last 20 years (see Box 2.16 and Box 2.17). At the beginning of the 2000s, GDP per hour worked, which is typically used as an indicator to measure labour productivity, was above 93% of OECD average in Japan, but fell below 91% in recent years (Figure 2.32, Panel A). In 2021, GDP per hour worked in Japan was 47 USD in real terms (Figure 2.32, Panel B).

In Japan, there is a relatively larger productivity gap between large enterprises and SMEs, as compared to other OECD countries (In Japan, labour productivity dispersion within industry is larger than in other OECD countries. Figure 2.35 shows the dispersion of labour productivity between frontier and laggard enterprises in manufacturing sector. All the industries in the manufacturing sector in Japan show larger labour productivity dispersion than in other OECD countries. Pharmaceutical industry, which is known for its high R&D intensity, has the largest productivity dispersion. The average labour productivity growth rate of frontier pharmaceutical manufacturers in Japan is about 13 times higher than for laggard enterprises in the pharmaceutical industry, while it is around 6 times higher in other OECD countries.

Figure 2.34, Panel A). In particular, lower labour productivity growth is observed in enterprises that employ less than 50 people in Japan than in other OECD countries. The labour productivity growth rates of small enterprises employing 1-9 persons, 10-49 persons and 20-49 persons were, respectively, 37%, 44% and 50% of that of large enterprises in manufacturing sector with more than 250 employees respectively.In Japan, labour productivity dispersion within industry is larger than in other OECD countries. Figure 2.35 shows the dispersion of labour productivity between frontier and laggard enterprises in manufacturing sector. All the industries in the manufacturing sector in Japan show larger labour productivity dispersion than in other OECD countries. Pharmaceutical industry, which is known for its high R&D intensity, has the largest productivity dispersion. The average labour productivity growth rate of frontier pharmaceutical manufacturers in Japan is about 13 times higher than for laggard enterprises in the pharmaceutical industry, while it is around 6 times higher in other OECD countries.

Figure 2.34, Panel B). In general, labour productivity performance of smaller Japanese SMEs is lower than that of enterprises of comparable sizes in other OECD countries.

In Japan, labour productivity dispersion within industry is larger than in other OECD countries. Figure 2.35 shows the dispersion of labour productivity between frontier and laggard enterprises in manufacturing sector. All the industries in the manufacturing sector in Japan show larger labour productivity dispersion than in other OECD countries. Pharmaceutical industry, which is known for its high R&D intensity, has the largest productivity dispersion. The average labour productivity growth rate of frontier pharmaceutical manufacturers in Japan is about 13 times higher than for laggard enterprises in the pharmaceutical industry, while it is around 6 times higher in other OECD countries.

Promoting investment in human capital is key for closing the productivity gap, with adult education and training being crucial drivers of labour productivity (see Box 2.17, Figure 2.21, Figure 2.22 and Figure 2.36). Although typical Japanese job-rotation practice would need to be considered, the skill shortages also affect labour productivity in Japan (Figure 2.37). The OECD Priorities for Adult Learning Dashboard indicates that Japan’s growth performance is weak and partly related to a poor alignment of education to labour market needs (OECD, 2019[74]). In addition, it is important to use the elderly people’s talents, who are often hired under non-regular contracts and less likely to undergo sufficient training. Training either just before or after retirement not only increases the chance of re-employment, but also increases the odds of being re-employed under regular contract; although only around 14% of full-time employees regain regular full-time employment after mandatory retirement (Sato, 2017[75]). The majority of elderly workers’ shifts to non-regular employment, mostly part-time employment, are also accompanied by a change in occupation or sector, resulting in a loss in sector-specific human capital.

Japan, labour productivity dispersion within industry is larger than in other OECD countries. Figure 2.35 shows the dispersion of labour productivity between frontier and laggard enterprises in manufacturing sector. All the industries in the manufacturing sector in Japan show larger labour productivity dispersion than in other OECD countries. Pharmaceutical industry, which is known for its high R&D intensity, has the largest productivity dispersion. The average labour productivity growth rate of frontier pharmaceutical manufacturers in Japan is about 13 times higher than for laggard enterprises in the pharmaceutical industry, while it is around 6 times higher in other OECD countries.

In recent years, value added per person employed, which measures productivity based on employment – as opposed to hours worked – has been sluggish in Japan. Value added per person employed did not grow between 2013 and 2019 on the whole and decreased by around 1% (Figure 2.38, Panel A). Panel B of Figure 2.38 shows value added per person employed in 2019 by industry in OECD countries.

In Japan, the industries showing progress between 2013 and 2019 are construction, mining and utilities, manufacturing, and financial and insurance activities and 5% or more decrease was observed in agriculture, forestry and fishing, information and communication, professional, scientific and technical activities, administrative and support service activities, and wholesale retail trade accommodation food services, transportation and storage (OECD, 2020[77]). The decline in the laggard industries is non-negligible compared to the same industries in other OECD countries.

In Japan, labour productivity growth in the manufacturing sector was an important driver of the overall productivity growth in the late 1990s and the early 2000s, but has weakened since the 2010s (Figure 2.39, Panel A), but the productivity growth in the services sector has had a large impact on the overall productivity growth. In OECD countries, where labour productivity has been rising in recent years, labour productivity growth in the services sector has significantly contributed to the overall productivity growth (Figure 2.39, Panel B).

Capital deepening has slowed in Japan compared to other benchmark countries considered in this study. Capital deepening is expressed as capital intensity, defined as the ratio of capital services per unit of hour worked, and capital intensity defined as the volume of capital services per hour worked. Capital deepening represents the extent to which capital is (increasingly or decreasingly) used relative to labour. In Japan, the use of the total produced capital increased by 3% from 2019 to 2010, although less than in the benchmark countries (Figure 2.40, Panel A), largely on the account of the ICT capital deepening (Figure 2.40, Panel B) and far less in the case of non-ICT capital deepening (Figure 2.40, Panel C).

Policies need to ensure better sharing of productivity gains while maintaining strong incentives to create prosperity. Productivity growth is essential for reducing poverty and unemployment and for creating jobs. Japanese stagnation in growth has been marked by lacklustre business dynamism and productivity gaps between enterprises, with some of them successfully seizing the opportunities to grow enabled by rapid technological progress, while others lagging behind. As the productivity frontier is advancing, the benefits from digitalisation have not been equally diffused throughout the economy and, to some extent, contributed to further wage dispersion between enterprises and within them. In Japan, labour productivity growth is lower in SMEs than large enterprises due to specific labour market structure (see Employment structure section) as well as capacity constraints and smaller economies of scale of SMEs.

Innovation is one of the main drivers of long-term productivity and income growth, yet Japan’s public support for R&D investment is largely skewed to tax support that is not effectively used by SMEs. At the same time, government and personal guarantees for loans to SMEs in Japan may have delayed the industrial restructuring and limited exit of non-viable enterprises (OECD, 2017[79]). Strengthening business dynamism is crucial to enhance productivity in Japan through a better allocation of resources. Promoting investment in human capital can help improve productivity growth and reduce inequalities. Skill shortages that negatively affect labour productivity rates in Japan need to be overcome, including by strengthening Japanese job-rotation practice, as well as reducing skills mismatch that risks trapping human capital in less productive tasks.

Fostering equality of opportunity, policies need to support the job-skills’ matching and training to meet the required skills and competencies where necessary (OECD, 2021[44]). With an ageing and shrinking population, a greater diversity of entrepreneurs and the workforce could contribute to the growth of the economy by mobilising underutilised human capital. While it is important to further use the talents of elderly people, due attention needs to be paid to the ageing managerial structure of Japanese enterprises. More than half of SMEs are expected to managed by people over 70 in the coming years (Small and Medium Enterprise Agency, 2018[80]), which may further drag down investment, sales growth, profitability and productivity as evidenced in other countries (Belenzon, Shamshur and Zarutskie, 2019[81]).

In order to address these issues, the OECD (2021[5]; 2017[82]; 2019[83]; 2017[82]; OECD, 2019[83]) recommends:

  • revising SME and entrepreneurship policies, for example, by promoting mergers and acquisitions of SMES with consolidation of managerial resources in viable enterprises, facilitating personal bankruptcy to promote exit and entry, strengthening R&D links between enterprises and universities, upgrading managerial and workforce skills through firm-level training, and supporting the venture capital market and the development of business services outsourcing as well as expanding access to entrepreneurial training and finance, in particular for women (see Box 2.19);

  • strengthening human capital development, for example, by increasing targeted spending on R&D, investment and education and training, improving the coverage and inclusiveness of adult learning, ensuring that the skills of older adults remain relevant and up to date, providing targeted career guidance, and improving the quality, offering and impact of training opportunities;

  • promoting investment in ICT and intangible assets, for example, by assessing the feasibility of using targeted incentives to upgrade critical ICT equipment and processes, and further developing financing methods serving enterprises with high shares of intangible capital; and

  • further reforming the employment system, for example, by expanding the coverage of employee’s pension and health insurance and reducing disincentives for second earners, further revising the compulsory retirement age as well as working with companies on seniority wage schemes and mid-career hires.

Japan has become more integrated into the global economy over the past thirty years. Figure 2.42 shows the trade-to-GDP ratios of Japan, Germany, Korea, Sweden, the United Kingdom and the United States. Trade-to-GDP ratio is calculated as the simple sum of exports and imports relative to GDP and it measures the importance of international transactions relative to domestic transactions, although a low ratio does not necessarily mean high trade barriers as other factors, such as size of the economy and geographic remoteness of countries, must be considered too.

The trade-to-GDP ratio of Japan has been gradually becoming higher since the 2000s and constantly exceeded 30% in recent years. With the exception of the United States, the benchmark countries used in the analysis have higher trade-to-GDP ratios than Japan and international transactions, relative to the size of the economy, are of higher importance in these countries than in Japan.

The efforts to ease barriers to trade could yield substantial economic benefits in reducing trade costs for enterprises that operate across borders. The 2018 Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP Agreement), which realises high-standard trade liberalisation in Member countries, and the 2022 Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement, which aims to improve the market access in member countries and sets the ground rules in a wide range of areas – such as the intellectual property and e-commerce.

The OECD Services Trade Restrictiveness Index (STRI) is one of the indicators to measure trade costs by focusing on the barriers to services’ trade. This index takes values between zero and one, one being the most restrictive. Japan has maintained a relatively low restrictiveness in the services trade: the STRI score of Japan remained stable around 0.13, below the score of the benchmark countries in this study (Figure 2.43, Panel A). In 2021, Japan recorded the second-best regulatory performance on average among OECD countries (Figure 2.43, Panel B).

The participation of Japan in the Global Value Chain (GVC) is characterised by a relatively high degree of forward participation, indicating that Japanese intermediates are widely used in other countries’ exports. Backward participation in the GVC of Japan is growing from 2000s. It indicates that Japanese exports embed other countries’ value added to a larger extent. This trend suggests that Japan is becoming increasingly integrated into the GVC. Concerning resilience in the context of GVC, Japan’s participation in the GVC is contributing to sustainable growth, but excessive reliance on a small set of trade partners is not necessarily sustainable.

Japan has made progress in reducing trade barriers and promoting trade facilitation, including with agreements facilitating trade in the Asia-Pacific region. Overall, Japan’s explicit barriers to trade and investment are below the OECD average. Trade barriers increase prices for consumers and distort the market, causing misallocation of resources and lower productivity (OECD, 2017[79]). With respect to trade in services, the regulatory environment is already very open even though competition is fairly restrictive in the air transport, telecommunications and legal services’ sectors (OECD, 2021[84]). Integration into the global economy generally promotes FDI (OECD, 2015[3]; Thangavelu, 2011[85]), but the inward FDI flow to Japan (0.48% of GDP in 2021) has been considerably below the OECD average (1.42% of GDP in 2021). To address these issues, the OECD (2017[79]) has recommended approaches to gain more from trade and global value chains, for example by:

  • encouraging FDI inflows by addressing the outstanding issues in the mergers and acquisitions’ market, corporate governance, regulation and employment flexibility;

  • continuing to pursue regional and bilateral free trade agreements.

Japan’s spending on R&D per capita has consistently exceeded the OECD average; however, stagnating over the past decade and growing less per year than in the benchmark countries (Figure 2.45, Panel A). The intensity of R&D expenditure in Japan varies across sectors. Panel B of Figure 2.45 shows the log of Business Enterprise R&D (BERD) expenditure as a percentage of gross value added of each industry in OECD countries. Japan is leading in the construction, manufacturing, mining and quarrying, and transportation and storage sectors, while under-performing other OECD countries in financial and insurance activities, information and communications, and professional, scientific and technical activities.

Business R&D spending in Japan is concentrated in large enterprises, especially in the manufacturing sector. The OECD (2021[5]) highlighted that business R&D spending is skewed towards large enterprises and just 10% accounts to SMEs, whereas the average across the OECD is closer to 50%. In the meantime, over 80% of business R&D spending in Japan took place in the manufacturing sector, particularly in the automotive industry, but less in the ICT sector (OECD, 2021[5]).

Japan has more researchers per thousand workers than most other OECD countries, with the ratio increasing slowly in the last two decades from 5.8 in 2000 to 10.0 in 2000 (Figure 2.46, Panels A and B). Japan’s R&D environment is on its way to become more gender-minded. The share of female researchers among internal R&D personnel is gradually increasing in Japan, but it is still lower than that in most other OECD countries. The share of female researchers was 8% in 2012 in Japan, and has slightly increased to 10% in 2019 but still the second lowest among OECD countries where the average is about 20% (Figure 2.46, Panel C and D).

The people who have advanced degrees with highly specialised knowledge are less utilised for R&D in Japan. The share of doctoral or equivalent researchers among internal R&D staff has stayed nearly at the same level since 2001. The share of doctoral or equivalent researchers in Japan has remained around 4% between 2001 and 2019, which is among the OECD lowest (Figure 2.46, Panels E and F).

In the last decade, investment in intellectual property, which is often used as the proxy of innovation activities, represented 23% of gross fixed capital formation in 2020. The advancement in benchmark countries varies depending on the country and Japan significantly increased its investment in intellectual property products relative to the size of the gross fixed capital formation (Figure 2.47, Panel A). In the latest available data, Japan’s investment in intellectual property – as a percentage of gross fixed capital formation – is around the middle range of OECD countries (Figure 2.47, Panel B). In the top group of OECD countries, the investment in intellectual property products is around or beyond 25% of gross fixed capital formation, while it remains at around 10% or less in the bottom group.

In Japan, venture capital investment is relatively modest relative to the size of economy, below the OECD average. Between 2010 and 2021, the ratio of venture capital investment to GDP increased from 0.02% to 0.06% in Japan (Figure 2.48, Panel A). In the United States, where the venture capital industry is more mature, the amount of investment surpassed 0.6% of GDP from 2018. Although the ratios are smaller than in the United States, venture capital investment has substantially grown in Korea, Sweden and the United Kingdom as well. The ratios of venture capital investment to GDP in these countries increased from 0.05%, 0.07% and 0.04% in 2010 to 0.26%, 0.17% and 0.16% in 2021 respectively. In the latest years for which data are available, the ratio of venture capital investment to GDP in Japan is below the median of OECD countries (Figure 2.48, Panel B).

Japan is one of the leading countries in climate change mitigation technologies. Japan’s number of patent applications in climate change mitigation technologies was among the top of benchmark countries until the early 2000s and is the second largest after the United States in the latest available data (Figure 2.49, Panel A and B). From the latter half of 1990s to the early 2000s, Japan had a higher share of patents on climate change mitigation technologies of total patents than benchmark countries. However, the shares in the benchmark countries has considerably increased from the mid-2000s and the share in Japan became lower than OECD average in the last available years (Figure 2.49, Panel C and D).

Invention is becoming more gender-inclusive on a long-term basis in Japan but gender-inclusivity is still less advanced than in the majority of other OECD countries. In the early 1990s, the share of female inventors was between 5 to 6% in Japan, gradually increasing and reaching 8% in 2019 (Figure 2.50, Panel A). However, the progress was slower than in other OECD countries as a whole and Japan’s share of female inventors was below the OECD average in the last available years (Figure 2.50, Panel B).

According to WIPO (2020[86]), female inventors in general tend to be concentrated in chemistry-related disciplines. In 2019, approximately 60% of the filing applications in the fields of biotechnology, pharmaceuticals and organic fine chemistry are by women, while the applications in the fields of engines, pumps and turbines, and mechanical elements are mostly by men.

Digital transformation, which is commonly defined as business transformation enabled by digitalisation, is still in its development stage in Japan. Big data analysis can be regarded as a key application of recent digital data analytics for digital transformation. Only 5% of companies that employ 10 or more employees use big data analysis in their operations (Figure 2.51). Looking at these ratios by enterprise’s size, 19% of large companies use big data analysis but only 7% of medium-sized enterprises and 4% of small enterprises do. These ratios for Japan are among the lowest among OECD countries.

The capacity of adults who use technology for problem solving in Japan is above the OECD average. Panel C of Figure 2.52 shows the gap between 35-44 years old adults and 55-64 years old adults and the gap in Japan is the second largest among the OECD countries, where comparable data is available. The gap between 25-34 years old adults and 55-65 years old adults is the fourth largest among the OECD countries.

Diversity is a big challenge for Japan’s innovation performance that needs to be overcome, since women represented only 10% of total internal R&D personnel in 2019. The participation of young women in doctoral science and engineering programmes is low (OECD, 2017[87]), which calls for measures to support the development of STEM and other skills by women as well as their use. One issue to be reassessed is that doctoral or equivalent women researchers are rarely employed under Japanese mass recruitment of new graduates, and are potentially not fully utilised as highly skilled labour force. Industry-university co-operation needs to be strengthened. Recognising the importance of organisational and digital capital for growth and performance of business (Tambe, 2021[88]; Hosono, 2020[89]), investment in intangibles needs to be promoted in SMEs given its current concentration in large enterprises (OECD, 2021[5]).

Further efforts are also needed to promote inclusion of foreign knowledge and technology from abroad, including via migrants and foreign business. Japan could improve openness to foreign knowledge and technology, since the low levels of international co-authorship and co-invention and small inward FDI in proportion to the size of the economy present issues in this aspect (2017[87]). Commensurate policy efforts will be key to narrow the skill gaps and accelerate digital literacy by all groups of population. Currently, 47% of adults between 35-44 years old and 54% of adults between 25-34 years old are showing medium and high performance in technology-rich environments while 10% of adults between 55-65 years old are performing at the same level (Figure 2.52). These skill gaps between young and old working-age people in Japan are among the largest in OECD countries: merely 30% of low-skilled workers are receiving firm-based training that can help them adapt to digital transformation (OECD, 2019[90]).

Taking these issues into consideration, the OECD (2021[5]; 2017[87]; 2017[87]) recommends:

  • increasing targeted spending on R&D, investment and education and training to boost productivity growth;

  • continuing to develop financing methods serving enterprises with high shares of intangible capital;

  • expanding access to entrepreneurial training and finance, in particular for women;

  • supporting the venture capital market;

  • continuing to strengthen the quality of public research, including the links between universities and business;

  • further enhancing the openness of the Japanese economy to foreign knowledge and technology, including by continuing to encourage greater international mobility of researchers;

  • fostering the effective use of digital technologies by governments, enterprises and individuals.

Business environment has been less dynamic in Japan than in other OECD countries. Panel A of Figure 2.53 shows the average entry and exit rates between 1998 and 2015. Enterprises’ entry rate in Japan (2%) was among the lowest in the OECD countries while the exit rate stayed around 7%. Using census data and a large‐scale micro data, (Ikeuchi et al., 2022[91]) show that there is a negative exit effect in Japan and that this is driven significantly by the exit of a small number of highly productive firms.

The post-entry employment growth in Japan was comparatively weak. Employment growth after entry in Japan remained at slightly over 1% p.a. between 1998 and 2015, and the growth was the weakest among the benchmark countries (Figure 2.53, Panel B). Figure 2.54 shows that job creation in Japan by small and new companies was relatively small and job destruction by small and old companies was relatively large compared to the rates of benchmark countries over the period of 2000-2014.

Business dynamics is not only essential from an economic efficiency perspective, but also from the equity perspective. International research has clarified that young enterprises tend to disproportionately hire their staff from disadvantaged groups (Davis, 2019[93]; Fackler, 2019[94]; Nyström, 2012[95]). The findings from this research suggest that strong job creation by young enterprises is an important factor for an economy to maintain and enhance its inclusiveness. In addition to promoting the merger, acquisition or divestiture of small enterprises, the OECD (2021[5]) recommends to enhance business dynamism by:

  • adjusting SME support to give greater emphasis to new enterprises;

  • supporting the venture capital market;

  • expanding access to entrepreneurial training and finance, in particular for women (see Box 2.20).

Japan ranks among the top countries by several OECD indicators of quality of health, education and justice – such as the indicator of 30-day mortality following stroke hospitalisation and health care coverage (OECD, 2021[98]). While Japan performs generally well on the quality of public services, the people have traditionally had less confidence in the government compared to other OECD countries. Although there was only a small gap in 2013, the share of people showing trust in government has been always below the OECD average from 2006 to 2021, and 29% of the population had trust in government in 2021 while it was 46% on average in OECD countries (Figure 2.55, Panel A). OECD research shows that the relationship between trust in government and demand for redistribution is complex, depending on various factors (see (OECD, forthcoming[48]). On the whole, the participation rate in the national elections in Japan has been below the average of OECD countries. The participation rates of the elections in 2005, 2009, 2012, 2014 and 2021 are generally lower than the average of the same years in OECD countries though the gap varies depending on the year (Figure 2.55, Panel B). Panel B of Figure 2.55 also shows that the participation rates of the last three national elections are 60% or below while the OECD average largely moves between 65 and 75% throughout the period.

According to the estimates from the OECD Family Database (OECD, 2023[99]), differences in voter participation by age may be considerable. In general, younger voters are less likely to cast their vote than the electorate in general: voter turnout among 18-to-24-year-olds is, on average across OECD countries, 17 percent lower than for adults aged 25 to 50 inclusive, with relative turnout among young people particularly low in France (35 p.p. lower), the United Kingdom (53 p.p. lower) and somewhat less In Japan (22 p.p. lower). Only in Belgium and Korea are younger voters more likely to cast their vote than individuals aged 25-50.

Women’s participation in politics, measured as the proportion of female parliamentarians in the national legislator is low compared to the OECD average. Although there was increase in the share of women in the House of Councillors recently, the female shares both in the House of Representatives and the House of Councillors are still well below the average of OECD countries (Figure 2.55, Panel C). Panel C of Figure 2.55 suggests that the gap between Japan and the OECD average is particularly prominent over time in the lower house, the House of Representatives.

The quality of public services in Japan is generally better than in most OECD countries, but confidence in government is reported as lower in Japan compared to the OECD average. This is reflected by a relatively low voter turnout compared to OECD countries. In the general election for the House of Representatives in 2021, the turnout of voters among all age groups was 55.93%, while 43.21% of those aged 18-20, 36.50% of those in their 20s, and 47.12% of those in their 30s (Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, 2021[100]). In the regular election for the House of Councilors in 2019, the turnout rate for all age groups was 48.80%, while 32.28% of those in their 10s, 30.96% of those in their 20s, and 38.78% of those in their 30s (Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, 2019[101]). As being discussed generally in the context of OECD countries as a whole, population ageing is reshaping the composition of voters by age groups with implications for decision-making process (OECD, 2020[102]).

More needs to be done for inclusion of women in the political and decision-making processes. The Act on Promotion of Gender Equality in the Political Field was enforced in 2018, requiring political parties to voluntarily work on setting targets for the shares of male and female candidates. Several parties set numerical targets for the share of female candidates in the House of Representatives election of 2021, however, they were not set by the ruling parties (Liberal Democratic Party and Kōmeitō). In the House of Councilors’ election in 2022, not only the opposition parties but also the ruling Liberal Democratic Party set a target of 30% for the share of female candidates in the proportional-representation constituencies. For more inclusive governance, the OECD (2016[103]; 2022[104]) recommends:

  • removing barriers to and promote youth participation in civic and democratic processes and decision-making, and representation in public institutions at all levels;

  • promoting meaningful youth participation in public decision-making and spaces for intergenerational dialogue at all levels, with targeted measures to engage disadvantaged and under-represented groups for more responsive, inclusive and accountable policy outcomes; and

  • encouraging greater participation of women in government at all levels, as well as in parliaments, judiciaries and other public institutions.

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Notes

← 1. This is based on a measure from the System of National Accounts (SNA), and income available for the households for consumption and saving, once social and fiscal contributions have been deducted from their primary income and some welfare benefits have been added.

← 2. The estimate is a combination of social benefits in cash received by households and net other current transfers received by the household sector, due to the Japanese Cabinet Office allocating stimulus payments made to the household sector in this category.

← 3. According to the OECD Income Distribution Database, in 2018, the mean income of individuals aged 66 and over was more than 20% below the mean income of individuals below 65.

← 4. In general, smaller firms tend to lag behind on advanced technologies. Therefore, it is possible that the cloud service purchase rate of medium-sized Japanese firms would become lower than the level shown in the figure if the same definition with other OECD countries was applied.

← 5. The spread of automation threatens existing jobs or demands significant changes in how some jobs are performed. The number of such jobs is estimated to be relatively large in comparison with the rest of the OECD.

← 6. Under this system, most large corporations hire new graduates to work as generalists across different jobs with the promise of seniority-based wage increases until workers are in their 50s and guaranteed employment until the mandatory retirement age.

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